Burnley vs Manchester United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 September

Burnley

D W D L L

19th place in English Premier League

0-1

23/09/2023 15:00

Manchester United

W D L L W

8th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Manchester United on 23 September 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Manchester United preview before placing your bet.

Burnley are currently 19th with 24 points after 38 matches.
Manchester United sit 8th with 60 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Manchester United to win with probability 57%.
Head-to-head history favors Manchester United, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2023-09-23

Burnley vs Manchester United - Prediction & Odds

Burnley

Manchester United

2023-09-23 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 23/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

21/12/2022 16:00

Manchester United

2 - 0

Burnley

ENG LC

08/02/2022 16:00

Burnley

1 - 1

Manchester United

ENG PR

30/12/2021 16:15

Manchester United

3 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

18/04/2021 11:00

Manchester United

3 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

12/01/2021 16:15

Burnley

0 - 1

Manchester United

ENG PR

22/01/2020 16:15

Manchester United

0 - 2

Burnley

ENG PR

Burnley

17%

Draw

17%

Manchester United

67%

Burnley Last 6 matches

02/09/2023 10:00

Burnley 2 - 5 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

30/08/2023 14:45

Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Burnley ENG LC

27/08/2023 09:00

Burnley 1 - 3 Aston Villa ENG PR

11/08/2023 15:00

Burnley 0 - 3 Manchester City ENG PR

05/08/2023 09:30

FSV Mainz 05 1 - 0 Burnley INT CF

28/07/2023 13:30

Real Betis 1 - 1 Burnley INT CF

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Manchester United

16/09/2023 10:00

Manchester United 1 - 3 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

03/09/2023 11:30

Arsenal 3 - 1 Manchester United ENG PR

26/08/2023 10:00

Manchester United 3 - 2 Nottingham Forest ENG PR

19/08/2023 12:30

Tottenham Hotspur 2 - 0 Manchester United ENG PR

14/08/2023 15:00

Manchester United 1 - 0 Wolves ENG PR

06/08/2023 11:00

Manchester United 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

298

Avg. per game

0.99

Conceded

229

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 297 matches

YesNo

143 (48%)154 (52%)

In last 297 matches

NoYes

185 (62%)115 (38%)

Burnley

Recent matches

Manchester United

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)32 13(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burnley

Manchester United

Shots

Burnley

Total shots

11.36 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

Manchester United

Total shots

14.56 avg / game

Blocked

1064 total

Avg. 4.27

Burnley Pass Manchester United

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

136517

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burnley

297

Played games

Manchester United

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.27

4.71

1400

Corners

1535

5.12

17.20

5108

Throw-ins

4805

16.02

1.76

524

Offsides

560

1.87

2.76

820

GK saves

839

2.80

Burnley

DISCIPLINARY

Manchester United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

472

557

1.86

0.06

0.07

9.68

2875

Fouls

3084

10.28

12.53

3720

Tackles

4561

15.20

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Burnley vs Manchester United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Manchester United on 23 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Manchester United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Manchester United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Manchester United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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