Burnley vs Leeds United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 October

Burnley

L L L D L

19th place in English Premier League

2-0

18/10/2025 10:00

Leeds United

W D W D W

14th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Leeds United on 18 October 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Leeds United preview before placing your bet.

Burnley are currently 19th with 22 points after 38 matches.
Leeds United sit 14th with 47 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Leeds United to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Leeds United, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2025-10-18

Burnley vs Leeds United - Prediction & Odds

Burnley

Leeds United

2025-10-18 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 18/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

27/01/2025 16:00

Burnley

0 - 0

Leeds United

ENG LCH

14/09/2024 07:30

Leeds United

0 - 1

Burnley

ENG LCH

02/01/2022 10:00

Leeds United

3 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

29/08/2021 09:00

Burnley

1 - 1

Leeds United

ENG PR

15/05/2021 07:30

Burnley

0 - 4

Leeds United

ENG PR

27/12/2020 08:00

Leeds United

1 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

Burnley

17%

Draw

33%

Leeds United

50%

Burnley Last 6 matches

05/10/2025 09:00

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

27/09/2025 10:00

Manchester City 5 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

23/09/2025 14:45

Burnley 1 - 2 Cardiff City ENG LC

20/09/2025 10:00

Burnley 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest ENG PR

14/09/2025 09:00

Burnley 0 - 1 Liverpool ENG PR

30/08/2025 10:00

Manchester United 3 - 2 Burnley ENG PR

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Leeds United

04/10/2025 07:30

Leeds United 1 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

27/09/2025 10:00

Leeds United 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

20/09/2025 10:00

Wolves 1 - 3 Leeds United ENG PR

13/09/2025 10:00

Fulham 1 - 0 Leeds United ENG PR

30/08/2025 12:30

Leeds United 0 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

26/08/2025 15:00

Sheffield Wednesday 1 - 1 Leeds United ENG LC

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

254

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

222

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 297 matches

YesNo

143 (48%)154 (52%)

In last 297 matches

NoYes

174 (58%)126 (42%)

Burnley

Recent matches

Leeds United

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burnley

Leeds United

Shots

Burnley

Total shots

11.36 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

Leeds United

Total shots

13.98 avg / game

Blocked

1068 total

Avg. 4.27

Burnley Pass Leeds United

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

126027

Avg. 470 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burnley

297

Played games

Leeds United

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.29

4.71

1400

Corners

1652

5.51

17.20

5108

Throw-ins

5583

18.61

1.76

524

Offsides

509

1.70

2.76

820

GK saves

738

2.46

Burnley

DISCIPLINARY

Leeds United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

472

507

1.69

0.06

0.03

9.68

2875

Fouls

3013

10.04

12.53

3720

Tackles

4533

15.11

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Burnley vs Leeds United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Leeds United on 18 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Leeds United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leeds United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Leeds United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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