Burnley vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 10 December

Burnley

D W W W W

2nd place in England Championship

0-0

10/12/2024 15:45

Derby County

D D L W W

19th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Derby County on 10 December 2024 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Burnley are currently 2nd with 100 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 19th with 50 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Burnley to win with probability 57%.
Head-to-head history favors Burnley, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2024-12-10

Burnley vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Burnley

Derby County

2024-12-10 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 10/12/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

25/01/2016 15:45

Burnley

4 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

21/09/2015 14:45

Derby County

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG LCH

01/03/2014 11:00

Burnley

2 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

31/08/2013 10:00

Derby County

0 - 3

Burnley

ENG LCH

26/12/2012 11:00

Burnley

2 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

22/09/2012 10:00

Derby County

1 - 2

Burnley

ENG LCH

Burnley

83%

Draw

17%

Derby County

Burnley Last 6 matches

06/12/2024 16:00

Burnley 1 - 1 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

30/11/2024 11:00

Stoke City 0 - 2 Burnley ENG LCH

26/11/2024 15:45

Burnley 2 - 0 Coventry City ENG LCH

23/11/2024 08:30

Bristol City 0 - 1 Burnley ENG LCH

10/11/2024 11:00

Burnley 1 - 0 Swansea City ENG LCH

07/11/2024 16:00

West Bromwich(WBA) 0 - 0 Burnley ENG LCH

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Derby County

07/12/2024 08:30

Leeds United 2 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

01/12/2024 11:00

Derby County 1 - 2 Sheffield Wednesday ENG LCH

27/11/2024 16:00

Derby County 1 - 2 Swansea City ENG LCH

23/11/2024 11:00

Preston North End 1 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

09/11/2024 11:00

Derby County 1 - 1 Plymouth Argyle ENG LCH

06/11/2024 15:45

Coventry City 1 - 2 Derby County ENG LCH

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

167

Avg. per game

0.56

Conceded

185

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

183

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

141

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 296 matches

YesNo

117 (40%)179 (60%)

In last 296 matches

NoYes

139 (46%)161 (54%)

Burnley

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burnley

Derby County

Shots

Burnley

Total shots

11.36 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

Derby County

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

831 total

Avg. 3.48

Burnley Pass Derby County

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

100963

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burnley

296

Played games

Derby County

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.32

4.71

1393

Corners

1524

5.08

17.26

5108

Throw-ins

6384

21.28

1.77

524

Offsides

562

1.87

2.77

820

GK saves

684

2.28

Burnley

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

472

527

1.76

0.06

0.05

9.71

2875

Fouls

2991

9.97

12.57

3720

Tackles

3673

12.24

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Burnley vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Derby County on 10 December 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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