Burnley vs Chelsea: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 October

Burnley

D W D L L

19th place in English Premier League

1-4

07/10/2023 10:00

Chelsea

D W W W W

6th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Chelsea on 07 October 2023 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Chelsea preview before placing your bet.

Burnley are currently 19th with 24 points after 38 matches.
Chelsea sit 6th with 63 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history favors Chelsea, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2023-10-07

Burnley vs Chelsea - Prediction & Odds

Burnley

Chelsea

2023-10-07 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 07/10/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

05/03/2022 11:00

Burnley

0 - 4

Chelsea

ENG PR

06/11/2021 11:00

Chelsea

1 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

31/01/2021 08:00

Chelsea

2 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

31/10/2020 11:00

Burnley

0 - 3

Chelsea

ENG PR

11/01/2020 11:00

Chelsea

3 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

26/10/2019 12:30

Burnley

2 - 4

Chelsea

ENG PR

Burnley

Draw

17%

Chelsea

83%

Burnley Last 6 matches

26/09/2023 14:45

Salford City 0 - 4 Burnley ENG LC

23/09/2023 15:00

Burnley 0 - 1 Manchester United ENG PR

18/09/2023 14:45

Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

02/09/2023 10:00

Burnley 2 - 5 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

30/08/2023 14:45

Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Burnley ENG LC

27/08/2023 09:00

Burnley 1 - 3 Aston Villa ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Chelsea

27/09/2023 14:45

Chelsea 1 - 0 Brighton Hove Albion ENG LC

24/09/2023 09:00

Chelsea 0 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

17/09/2023 09:00

AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea ENG PR

02/09/2023 10:00

Chelsea 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest ENG PR

30/08/2023 14:45

Chelsea 2 - 1 AFC Wimbledon ENG LC

25/08/2023 15:00

Chelsea 3 - 0 Luton Town ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

197

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

197

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

294

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

204

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 295 matches

YesNo

142 (48%)153 (52%)

In last 295 matches

NoYes

180 (60%)120 (40%)

Burnley

Recent matches

Chelsea

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burnley

Chelsea

Shots

Burnley

Total shots

11.38 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

Chelsea

Total shots

14.78 avg / game

Blocked

1068 total

Avg. 4.17

Burnley Pass Chelsea

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

157357

Avg. 566 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burnley

295

Played games

Chelsea

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.31

4.70

1386

Corners

1731

5.77

17.32

5108

Throw-ins

4571

15.24

1.78

524

Offsides

530

1.77

2.78

820

GK saves

810

2.70

Burnley

DISCIPLINARY

Chelsea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.60

471

628

2.09

0.06

0.07

9.75

2875

Fouls

3307

11.02

12.61

3720

Tackles

4091

13.64

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Chelsea on 07 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Chelsea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chelsea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Chelsea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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