Burnley vs Aston Villa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 August

Burnley

D W D L L

19th place in English Premier League

1-3

27/08/2023 13:00

Aston Villa

W W D L D

4th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Aston Villa on 27 August 2023 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Aston Villa preview before placing your bet.

Burnley are currently 19th with 24 points after 38 matches.
Aston Villa sit 4th with 68 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Aston Villa, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:00

2023-08-27

Burnley vs Aston Villa - Prediction & Odds

Burnley

Aston Villa

2023-08-27 13:00

STANDINGS UP TO 27/08/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

19/05/2022 19:00

Aston Villa

1 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

07/05/2022 14:00

Burnley

1 - 3

Aston Villa

ENG PR

27/01/2021 18:00

Burnley

3 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

17/12/2020 18:00

Aston Villa

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

01/01/2020 12:30

Burnley

1 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

28/09/2019 14:00

Aston Villa

2 - 2

Burnley

ENG PR

Burnley

17%

Draw

50%

Aston Villa

33%

Burnley Last 6 matches

11/08/2023 19:00

Burnley 0 - 3 Manchester City ENG PR

05/08/2023 13:30

FSV Mainz 05 1 - 0 Burnley INT CF

28/07/2023 17:30

Real Betis 1 - 1 Burnley INT CF

25/07/2023 19:30

Benfica 0 - 2 Burnley INT CF

22/07/2023 16:30

Racing Genk 2 - 0 Burnley INT CF

08/05/2023 14:00

Burnley 3 - 0 Cardiff City ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Aston Villa

23/08/2023 16:45

Hibernian 0 - 5 Aston Villa UEFA ECL

20/08/2023 13:00

Aston Villa 4 - 0 Everton ENG PR

12/08/2023 16:30

Newcastle United 5 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

05/08/2023 19:00

Valencia 1 - 2 Aston Villa INT CF

03/08/2023 18:30

Aston Villa 3 - 0 Lazio INT CF

30/07/2023 15:59

Aston Villa 3 - 3 Brentford INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

220

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 296 matches

YesNo

143 (48%)153 (52%)

In last 296 matches

NoYes

184 (61%)116 (39%)

Burnley

Recent matches

Aston Villa

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burnley

Aston Villa

Shots

Burnley

Total shots

11.36 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.12 avg / game

Blocked

833 total

Avg. 3.36

Burnley Pass Aston Villa

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

114242

Avg. 436 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burnley

296

Played games

Aston Villa

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.29

4.71

1393

Corners

1561

5.20

17.26

5108

Throw-ins

3972

13.24

1.77

524

Offsides

369

1.23

2.77

820

GK saves

793

2.64

Burnley

DISCIPLINARY

Aston Villa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

472

544

1.81

0.06

0.06

9.71

2875

Fouls

2895

9.65

12.57

3720

Tackles

3610

12.03

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Indonesia Super League All Star

Aston Villa

INT

08/16

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Aston Villa on 27 August 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Aston Villa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aston Villa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Aston Villa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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