Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 March

Burnley

L L L D L

19th place in English Premier League

0-0

14/03/2026 15:00

AFC Bournemouth

W D W W D

6th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth on 14 March 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth preview before placing your bet.

Burnley are currently 19th with 22 points after 38 matches.
AFC Bournemouth sit 6th with 57 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Bournemouth to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Bournemouth, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-03-14

Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth - Prediction & Odds

Burnley

AFC Bournemouth

2026-03-14 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/03/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

20/12/2025 15:00

AFC Bournemouth

1 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

03/03/2024 13:00

Burnley

0 - 2

AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

28/10/2023 14:00

AFC Bournemouth

2 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

07/01/2023 15:00

AFC Bournemouth

2 - 4

Burnley

ENG FAC

09/02/2021 17:30

Burnley

0 - 2

AFC Bournemouth

ENG FAC

22/02/2020 15:00

Burnley

3 - 0

AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

Burnley

33%

Draw

17%

AFC Bournemouth

50%

Burnley Last 6 matches

03/03/2026 19:30

Everton 2 - 0 Burnley ENG PR

28/02/2026 15:00

Burnley 3 - 4 Brentford ENG PR

21/02/2026 15:00

Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

14/02/2026 15:00

Burnley 1 - 2 Mansfield Town ENG FAC

11/02/2026 19:40

Crystal Palace 2 - 3 Burnley ENG PR

07/02/2026 15:00

Burnley 0 - 2 West Ham United ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches AFC Bournemouth

03/03/2026 19:30

AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 Brentford ENG PR

28/02/2026 12:30

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Sunderland A.F.C ENG PR

21/02/2026 17:30

West Ham United 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

10/02/2026 19:30

Everton 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

07/02/2026 15:00

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

31/01/2026 15:00

Wolves 0 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

259

Avg. per game

0.87

Conceded

218

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 296 matches

YesNo

143 (48%)153 (52%)

In last 296 matches

NoYes

169 (57%)129 (43%)

Burnley

Recent matches

AFC Bournemouth

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burnley

AFC Bournemouth

Shots

Burnley

Total shots

11.36 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

AFC Bournemouth

Total shots

12.90 avg / game

Blocked

879 total

Avg. 3.54

Burnley Pass AFC Bournemouth

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

110626

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burnley

296

Played games

AFC Bournemouth

298

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.29

4.71

1393

Corners

1538

5.16

17.26

5108

Throw-ins

5525

18.54

1.77

524

Offsides

419

1.41

2.77

820

GK saves

793

2.66

Burnley

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Bournemouth

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

472

561

1.88

0.06

0.06

9.71

2875

Fouls

3357

11.27

12.57

3720

Tackles

3865

12.97

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth on 14 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Bournemouth's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Burnley and AFC Bournemouth sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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