Bristol City vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 January

Bristol City

W D W L L

6th place in England Championship

1-0

04/01/2025 11:00

Derby County

D D L W W

19th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bristol City vs Derby County on 04 January 2025 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bristol City vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Bristol City are currently 6th with 68 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 19th with 50 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bristol City to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history favors Bristol City, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2025-01-04

Bristol City vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Bristol City

Derby County

2025-01-04 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/01/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

31/08/2024 10:00

Derby County

3 - 0

Bristol City

ENG LCH

23/04/2022 10:00

Derby County

1 - 3

Bristol City

ENG LCH

04/12/2021 11:00

Bristol City

1 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

30/01/2021 11:00

Derby County

1 - 0

Bristol City

ENG LCH

21/11/2020 11:00

Bristol City

1 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

12/02/2020 15:45

Bristol City

3 - 2

Derby County

ENG LCH

Bristol City

67%

Draw

Derby County

33%

Bristol City Last 6 matches

01/01/2025 08:30

Plymouth Argyle 2 - 2 Bristol City ENG LCH

29/12/2024 11:00

Bristol City 3 - 0 Portsmouth ENG LCH

26/12/2024 11:00

Bristol City 1 - 0 Luton Town ENG LCH

22/12/2024 11:00

West Bromwich(WBA) 2 - 0 Bristol City ENG LCH

14/12/2024 08:30

Bristol City 1 - 1 Queens Park Rangers (QPR) ENG LCH

10/12/2024 15:45

Sunderland A.F.C 1 - 1 Bristol City ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Derby County

01/01/2025 11:00

Sheffield Wednesday 4 - 2 Derby County ENG LCH

29/12/2024 13:45

Derby County 0 - 1 Leeds United ENG LCH

26/12/2024 13:30

Derby County 2 - 1 West Bromwich(WBA) ENG LCH

20/12/2024 16:00

Luton Town 2 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

13/12/2024 16:00

Derby County 4 - 0 Portsmouth ENG LCH

10/12/2024 15:45

Burnley 0 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

222

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

213

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Conceded

206

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

153 (51%)147 (49%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

161 (54%)139 (46%)

Bristol City

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bristol City

Derby County

Shots

Bristol City

Total shots

11.14 avg / game

Blocked

778 total

Avg. 3.26

Derby County

Total shots

11.41 avg / game

Blocked

826 total

Avg. 3.49

Bristol City Pass Derby County

Total passes

107443

Avg. 412 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

100064

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bristol City

300

Played games

Derby County

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.32

4.78

1433

Corners

1523

5.08

20.35

6104

Throw-ins

6324

21.08

1.72

516

Offsides

553

1.84

2.47

741

GK saves

682

2.27

Bristol City

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

441

528

1.76

0.03

0.05

8.75

2624

Fouls

2974

9.91

12.70

3811

Tackles

3651

12.17

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bristol City vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bristol City vs Derby County on 04 January 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bristol City vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bristol City's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Bristol City and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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