Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munchen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 February

Borussia Dortmund

L L W L W

2nd place in German Bundesliga

2-3

28/02/2026 13:30

Bayern Munchen

W W W D W

1st place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munchen on 28 February 2026 (kick-off: 13:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munchen preview before placing your bet.

Borussia Dortmund are currently 2nd with 73 points after 34 matches.
Bayern Munchen sit 1st with 89 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bayern Munchen to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history favors Bayern Munchen, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Borussia Dortmund have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:30

2026-02-28

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munchen - Prediction & Odds

Borussia Dortmund

Bayern Munchen

2026-02-28 13:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

18/10/2025 12:30

Bayern Munchen

2 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

12/04/2025 12:30

Bayern Munchen

2 - 2

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

30/11/2024 13:30

Borussia Dortmund

1 - 1

Bayern Munchen

GER D1

30/03/2024 13:30

Bayern Munchen

0 - 2

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

04/11/2023 13:30

Borussia Dortmund

0 - 4

Bayern Munchen

GER D1

01/04/2023 12:30

Bayern Munchen

4 - 2

Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

Borussia Dortmund

17%

Draw

33%

Bayern Munchen

50%

Borussia Dortmund Last 6 matches

17/02/2026 16:10

Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Atalanta UEFA CL

13/02/2026 15:30

Borussia Dortmund 4 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

07/02/2026 10:30

VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 2 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

01/02/2026 12:30

Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 Heidenheimer GER D1

28/01/2026 16:00

Borussia Dortmund 0 - 2 Inter Milan UEFA CL

24/01/2026 13:30

Union Berlin 0 - 3 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Bayern Munchen

21/02/2026 10:30

Bayern Munchen 3 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER D1

14/02/2026 10:30

Werder Bremen 0 - 3 Bayern Munchen GER D1

11/02/2026 15:45

Bayern Munchen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig GERC

08/02/2026 12:30

Bayern Munchen 5 - 1 TSG Hoffenheim GER D1

31/01/2026 13:30

Hamburger SV 2 - 2 Bayern Munchen GER D1

28/01/2026 16:00

PSV Eindhoven 1 - 2 Bayern Munchen UEFA CL

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

335

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

223

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored

444

Avg. per game

1.48

Conceded

196

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

203 (68%)97 (32%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

228 (76%)72 (24%)

Borussia Dortmund

Recent matches

Bayern Munchen

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(98%)44 1(2%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Borussia Dortmund

Bayern Munchen

Shots

Borussia Dortmund

Total shots

13.91 avg / game

Blocked

917 total

Avg. 3.54

Bayern Munchen

Total shots

18.04 avg / game

Blocked

1265 total

Avg. 4.72

Borussia Dortmund Pass Bayern Munchen

Total passes

147028

Avg. 537 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

183972

Avg. 639 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

63%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Borussia Dortmund

300

Played games

Bayern Munchen

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

106

0.35

5.32

1597

Corners

1883

6.28

16.52

4956

Throw-ins

5080

16.93

1.45

436

Offsides

614

2.05

2.78

834

GK saves

660

2.20

Borussia Dortmund

DISCIPLINARY

Bayern Munchen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.66

497

407

1.36

0.07

0.06

9.79

2937

Fouls

2805

9.35

13.61

4082

Tackles

4152

13.84

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munchen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munchen on 28 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munchen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Borussia Dortmund's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bayern Munchen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munchen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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