Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 11

Boca Juniors

W W D W W

3rd place in League

1-1

11/03/2026 22:45

San Lorenzo

D W D D W

14th place in League

Argentine Division 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo on March 11, 2026 (kick-off: 22:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo preview before placing for you.

Boca Juniors are currently 3rd with 30 points after 16 matches.
San Lorenzo sit 14th with 22 points from 16 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Boca Juniors to win with probability 56%.
Head-to-head history favors Boca Juniors, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. San Lorenzo have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

22:45

2026-03-11

Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo - Prediction & Odds

Boca Juniors

San Lorenzo

2026-03-11 22:45

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2026

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente Rivadavia	34	16	10	4	2	29	15	14
02 Estudiantes La Plata	31	16	9	4	3	19	7	12
03 Boca Juniors	30	16	8	6	2	22	9	13
04 River Plate	29	16	9	2	5	22	12	10
05 Argentinos Juniors	29	16	8	5	3	17	13	4
06 Velez Sarsfield	28	16	7	7	2	18	12	6
07 Rosario Central	28	16	8	4	4	20	16	4
08 Belgrano	26	16	7	5	4	17	13	4
09 Talleres Cordoba	26	16	7	5	4	17	13	4
10 Gimnasia La Plata	26	16	8	2	6	19	19	0
11 Independiente	24	16	6	6	4	24	20	4
12 Lanus	24	16	6	6	4	18	15	3
13 CA Huracan	22	16	5	7	4	17	13	4
14 San Lorenzo	22	16	5	7	4	14	14	0
15 Club Atlético Unión	21	16	5	6	5	24	20	4
16 Racing Club	21	16	5	6	5	17	15	2
17 Instituto AC Cordoba	21	16	6	3	7	17	17	0
18 Barracas Central	21	16	5	6	5	15	15	0
19 Club Atletico Tigre	20	16	4	8	4	18	15	3
20 Defensa Y Justicia	19	16	4	7	5	18	21	-3
21 Sarmiento Junin	19	16	6	1	9	13	20	-7
22 Gimnasia Mendoza	19	16	5	4	7	14	22	-8
23 Banfield	18	16	5	3	8	17	19	-2
24 CA Platense	16	16	3	7	6	10	15	-5
25 Central Cordoba SDE	16	16	4	4	8	11	21	-10
26 Newells Old Boys	15	16	3	6	7	15	27	-12
27 Atletico Tucuman	14	16	3	5	8	15	20	-5
28 Deportivo Riestra	11	16	1	8	7	5	12	-7
29 Aldosivi Mar del Plata	8	16	0	8	8	6	19	-13
30 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	5	16	1	2	13	5	24	-19

2nd Stage	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Argentinos Juniors	9	3	3	0	0	7	2	5
02 Velez Sarsfield	9	3	3	0	0	5	1	4
03 Barracas Central	9	3	3	0	0	3	0	3
04 Independiente	6	3	2	0	1	3	1	2
05 Gimnasia Mendoza	6	3	2	0	1	3	1	2
06 Gimnasia La Plata	6	3	2	0	1	4	3	1
07 Instituto AC Cordoba	6	3	2	0	1	3	2	1
08 Atletico Tucuman	5	3	1	2	0	2	0	2
09 Newells Old Boys	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
10 Banfield	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
11 Independiente Rivadavia	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
12 Rosario Central	4	3	1	1	1	2	2	0
13 CA Huracan	4	3	1	1	1	2	2	0
14 Racing Club	4	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1
15 Defensa Y Justicia	4	3	1	1	1	3	5	-2
16 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	4	3	1	1	1	1	3	-2
17 Talleres Cordoba	3	3	1	0	2	5	4	1
18 Deportivo Riestra	3	3	1	0	2	4	3	1
19 Estudiantes La Plata	3	2	1	0	1	3	2	1
20 Club Atletico Tigre	3	2	1	0	1	3	2	1
21 Belgrano	3	2	1	0	1	2	2	0
22 Lanus	3	2	1	0	1	1	1	0
23 Sarmiento Junin	3	3	1	0	2	6	7	-1
24 San Lorenzo	3	3	1	0	2	1	2	-1
25 Central Cordoba SDE	3	3	1	0	2	1	3	-2
26 Club Atlético Unión	1	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2
27 Aldosivi Mar del Plata	1	3	0	1	2	2	4	-2
28 Boca Juniors	1	2	0	1	1	2	5	-3
29 CA Platense	1	3	0	1	2	3	8	-5
30 River Plate	0	3	0	0	3	0	3	-3

Head To Head

18/08/2024 17:30

Boca Juniors

3 - 2

San Lorenzo

ARG D1

30/03/2024 20:00

Boca Juniors

2 - 1

San Lorenzo

ARG D1

08/11/2023 22:00

San Lorenzo

1 - 1

Boca Juniors

ARG D1

12/04/2023 20:30

San Lorenzo

1 - 0

Boca Juniors

ARG D1

09/07/2022 18:30

San Lorenzo

2 - 1

Boca Juniors

ARG D1

26/01/2022 00:10

Boca Juniors

1 - 0

San Lorenzo

ARG TPV

Boca Juniors

50%

Draw

17%

San Lorenzo

33%

Boca Juniors Last 6 matches

05/03/2026 00:00

Lanus 0 - 3 Boca Juniors ARG D1

28/02/2026 20:45

Boca Juniors 1 - 1 Gimnasia Mendoza ARG D1

25/02/2026 00:15

Boca Juniors 2 - 0 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy ARG C

20/02/2026 23:00

Boca Juniors 0 - 0 Racing Club ARG D1

15/02/2026 22:30

Boca Juniors 0 - 0 CA Platense ARG D1

09/02/2026 01:15

Velez Sarsfield 2 - 1 Boca Juniors ARG D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches San Lorenzo

01/03/2026 01:15

Talleres Cordoba 0 - 0 San Lorenzo ARG D1

24/02/2026 22:15

San Lorenzo 1 - 1 Instituto AC Cordoba ARG D1

22/02/2026 20:00

San Lorenzo 2 - 0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARG D1

14/02/2026 01:15

Club Atlético Unión 0 - 0 San Lorenzo ARG D1

08/02/2026 22:15

CA Huracan 1 - 0 San Lorenzo ARG D1

31/01/2026 20:30

San Lorenzo 1 - 0 Central Cordoba SDE ARG D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Argentine Division 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

216

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

127

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored

153

Avg. per game

0.52

Conceded

139

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

150 (50%)150 (50%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

129 (44%)167 (56%)

Boca Juniors

Recent matches

San Lorenzo

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)17 28(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Boca Juniors

San Lorenzo

Shots

Boca Juniors

Total shots

10.39 avg / game

Blocked

488 total

Avg. 2.64

San Lorenzo

Total shots

9.84 avg / game

Blocked

453 total

Avg. 2.66

Boca Juniors Pass San Lorenzo

Total passes

109430

Avg. 408 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

78205

Avg. 337 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Boca Juniors

300

Played games

San Lorenzo

296

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.43

130

Clean sheets

125

0.42

4.51

1353

Corners

1297

4.38

10.79

3238

Throw-ins

3420

11.55

1.33

400

Offsides

432

1.46

2.28

683

GK saves

662

2.24

Boca Juniors

DISCIPLINARY

San Lorenzo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.20

660

676

2.28

0.14

0.15

9.96

2989

Fouls

3409

11.52

12.01

3603

Tackles

3551

12.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

How We Build the Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo on 11 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Argentine Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Boca Juniors's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against San Lorenzo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Argentine Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Argentine Division 1 standings and the Argentine Division 1 form table to understand exactly where Boca Juniors and San Lorenzo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Argentine Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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