BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 29 September

BFC Daugavpils

L W D D L

4th place in Latvian Higher League

0-1

29/09/2025 11:00

Riga FC

W W W D D

1st place in Latvian Higher League

Latvian Higher League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC on 29 September 2025 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC preview before placing your bet.

BFC Daugavpils are currently 4th with 48 points after 36 matches.
Riga FC sit 1st with 88 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Riga FC to win with probability 72%.
Head-to-head history favors Riga FC, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. BFC Daugavpils have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2025-09-29

BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC - Prediction & Odds

BFC Daugavpils

Riga FC

2025-09-29 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 29/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Riga FC	88	36	27	7	2	85	26	59
02 FK Rigas Futbola skola	87	36	28	3	5	100	39	61
03 FK Liepaja	61	36	18	7	11	59	55	4
04 BFC Daugavpils	48	36	13	9	14	52	62	-10
05 FK Auda Riga	45	36	13	6	17	44	49	-5
06 Jelgava	38	36	8	14	14	39	46	-7
07 Tukums-2000	36	36	9	9	18	39	63	-24
08 Grobina	32	36	8	8	20	33	64	-31
09 Super Nova	32	36	6	14	16	44	56	-12
10 Metta/LU Riga	31	36	8	7	21	39	74	-35

Head To Head

06/07/2025 12:00

Riga FC

1 - 1

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

14/05/2025 10:30

BFC Daugavpils

0 - 1

Riga FC

LAT D1

29/03/2025 09:00

Riga FC

1 - 2

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

19/10/2024 06:00

BFC Daugavpils

0 - 5

Riga FC

LAT D1

28/07/2024 11:00

Riga FC

1 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

24/05/2024 10:30

BFC Daugavpils

0 - 2

Riga FC

LAT D1

BFC Daugavpils

17%

Draw

17%

Riga FC

67%

BFC Daugavpils Last 6 matches

21/09/2025 11:00

FK Rigas Futbola skola 5 - 1 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

15/09/2025 10:30

BFC Daugavpils 3 - 2 Grobina LAT D1

30/08/2025 09:00

Tukums-2000 0 - 1 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

23/08/2025 10:00

BFC Daugavpils 4 - 2 Metta/LU Riga LAT D1

16/08/2025 09:00

BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 FK Liepaja LAT Cup

09/08/2025 09:00

FK Liepaja 2 - 1 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Riga FC

25/09/2025 12:00

FK Rigas Futbola skola 0 - 0 Riga FC LAT D1

21/09/2025 07:00

Jelgava 2 - 3 Riga FC LAT D1

18/09/2025 10:00

FK Liepaja 0 - 4 Riga FC LAT Cup

13/09/2025 11:00

Riga FC 6 - 0 FK Auda Riga LAT D1

30/08/2025 07:00

Super Nova 2 - 6 Riga FC LAT D1

27/08/2025 12:45

Riga FC 1 - 0 AC Sparta Prague UEFA ECL

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Latvian Higher League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

166

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

249

Avg. per game

1.01

Scored

367

Avg. per game

1.22

Conceded

155

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 246 matches

YesNo

114 (46%)132 (54%)

In last 246 matches

NoYes

217 (72%)83 (28%)

BFC Daugavpils

Recent matches

Riga FC

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

BFC Daugavpils

Riga FC

Shots

BFC Daugavpils

Total shots

9.68 avg / game

Blocked

143 total

Avg. 3.86

Riga FC

Total shots

14.82 avg / game

Blocked

209 total

Avg. 4.54

BFC Daugavpils Pass Riga FC

Total passes

13458

Avg. 374 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

18955

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

BFC Daugavpils

246

Played games

Riga FC

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

137

0.46

3.62

890

Corners

1707

5.69

3.04

747

Throw-ins

849

2.83

0.37

Offsides

177

0.59

0.51

126

GK saves

146

0.49

BFC Daugavpils

DISCIPLINARY

Riga FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.87

461

484

1.61

0.08

0.07

2.31

568

Fouls

1006

3.35

2.13

525

Tackles

562

1.87

NEXT MATCHES

FK Rigas Futbola skola

NEXT MATCHES

FK Rigas Futbola skola

Riga FC

LAT

How We Build the BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC on 29 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Latvian Higher League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess BFC Daugavpils's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Riga FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Latvian Higher League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Latvian Higher League standings and the Latvian Higher League form table to understand exactly where BFC Daugavpils and Riga FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Latvian Higher League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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