BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 26

BFC Daugavpils

W D L L W

7th place in Latvian Higher League

5 - 2

26/05/2023 11:00

Jelgava

D D W L L

6th place in Latvian Higher League

Latvian Higher League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava on May 26, 2023 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava preview before placing for you.

BFC Daugavpils are currently 7th with 36 points after 36 matches.
Jelgava sit 6th with 40 points from 36 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Jelgava, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. BFC Daugavpils have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 26/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Rigas Futbola skola	89	36	27	8	1	96	18	78
02 Riga FC	88	36	27	7	2	89	21	68
03 FK Auda Riga	58	36	16	10	10	44	39	5
04 FK Valmiera	53	36	14	11	11	47	40	7
05 FK Liepaja	51	36	14	9	13	52	54	-2
06 Jelgava	40	36	10	10	16	42	57	-15
07 BFC Daugavpils	36	36	9	9	18	40	52	-12
08 Tukums-2000	35	36	9	8	19	47	83	-36
09 Metta/LU Riga	33	36	8	9	19	41	63	-22
10 Super Nova	14	36	3	5	28	25	96	-71

Head To Head

17/03/2023 11:59

Jelgava

2 - 1

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

27/09/2020 07:00

Jelgava

2 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

30/07/2020 11:00

BFC Daugavpils

0 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

20/06/2020 11:00

Jelgava

1 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

09/11/2019 08:00

BFC Daugavpils

2 - 2

Jelgava

LAT D1

25/08/2019 09:00

Jelgava

2 - 2

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

BFC Daugavpils

Draw

50%

Jelgava

50%

BFC Daugavpils Last 6 matches

22/05/2023 10:30

FK Valmiera 1 - 0 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

18/05/2023 11:00

BFC Daugavpils 1 - 1 Metta/LU Riga LAT D1

14/05/2023 09:00

Super Nova 0 - 4 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

08/05/2023 11:30

Riga FC 1 - 0 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

03/05/2023 11:00

BFC Daugavpils 3 - 3 Tukums-2000 LAT D1

28/04/2023 10:30

BFC Daugavpils 0 - 2 FK Auda Riga LAT D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Jelgava

22/05/2023 11:30

Jelgava 2 - 1 FK Liepaja LAT D1

18/05/2023 10:00

Super Nova 2 - 2 Jelgava LAT D1

13/05/2023 09:00

Rigas Futbola skola 4 - 0 Jelgava LAT D1

09/05/2023 11:00

Jelgava 2 - 3 Metta/LU Riga LAT D1

04/05/2023 10:00

Jelgava 1 - 3 Riga FC LAT D1

29/04/2023 09:00

Jelgava 2 - 2 Tukums-2000 LAT D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Latvian Higher League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

113

Avg. per game

0.46

Conceded

169

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

110

Avg. per game

0.57

Conceded

154

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 246 matches

YesNo

93 (38%)153 (62%)

In last 246 matches

NoYes

74 (38%)120 (62%)

BFC Daugavpils

Recent matches

Jelgava

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

BFC Daugavpils

Jelgava

Shots

BFC Daugavpils

Total shots

9.68 avg / game

Blocked

143 total

Avg. 3.86

Jelgava

Total shots

10.59 avg / game

Blocked

113 total

Avg. 3.14

BFC Daugavpils Pass Jelgava

Total passes

13458

Avg. 374 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

13292

Avg. 369 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

BFC Daugavpils

246

Played games

Jelgava

194

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.25

3.62

890

Corners

662

3.41

3.04

747

Throw-ins

810

4.18

0.37

Offsides

0.20

0.51

126

GK saves

142

0.73

BFC Daugavpils

DISCIPLINARY

Jelgava

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.87

461

324

1.67

0.08

0.07

2.31

568

Fouls

515

2.65

2.13

525

Tackles

491

2.53

NEXT MATCHES

FK Rigas Futbola skola

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava on 26 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Latvian Higher League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess BFC Daugavpils's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Jelgava's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Latvian Higher League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Latvian Higher League standings and the Latvian Higher League form table to understand exactly where BFC Daugavpils and Jelgava sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Latvian Higher League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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