BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 May

BFC Daugavpils

D L L L D

5th place in Latvian Higher League

1-0

03/05/2024 11:00

Jelgava

L L L L D

10th place in Latvian Higher League

Latvian Higher League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava on 03 May 2024 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava preview before placing your bet.

BFC Daugavpils are currently 5th with 42 points after 36 matches.
Jelgava sit 10th with 25 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: BFC Daugavpils to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Jelgava, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. BFC Daugavpils have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2024-05-03

BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava - Prediction & Odds

BFC Daugavpils

Jelgava

2024-05-03 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FK Rigas Futbola skola	90	36	29	3	4	103	25	78
02 Riga FC	87	36	27	6	3	99	23	76
03 FK Auda Riga	60	36	18	6	12	63	34	29
04 FK Valmiera	55	36	19	7	10	75	39	36
05 BFC Daugavpils	42	36	11	9	16	43	60	-17
06 FK Liepaja	39	36	10	9	17	37	56	-19
07 Metta/LU Riga	36	36	10	6	20	34	76	-42
08 Tukums-2000	35	36	9	8	19	38	81	-43
09 Grobina	29	36	8	5	23	34	78	-44
10 Jelgava	25	36	6	7	23	28	82	-54

Head To Head

09/03/2024 10:00

Jelgava

0 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

16/09/2023 07:00

Jelgava

0 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

30/06/2023 11:00

BFC Daugavpils

1 - 1

Jelgava

LAT D1

26/05/2023 11:00

BFC Daugavpils

5 - 2

Jelgava

LAT D1

17/03/2023 11:59

Jelgava

2 - 1

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

27/09/2020 07:00

Jelgava

2 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

BFC Daugavpils

17%

Draw

50%

Jelgava

33%

BFC Daugavpils Last 6 matches

28/04/2024 07:00

BFC Daugavpils 0 - 0 FK Liepaja LAT D1

22/04/2024 10:30

FK Valmiera 0 - 1 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

17/04/2024 10:30

FK Auda Riga 1 - 0 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

12/04/2024 11:00

Riga FC 2 - 0 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

07/04/2024 08:00

BFC Daugavpils 1 - 1 Rigas Futbola skola LAT D1

03/04/2024 10:00

Metta/LU Riga 0 - 1 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Jelgava

28/04/2024 09:00

Jelgava 2 - 1 Grobina LAT D1

23/04/2024 10:30

FK Liepaja 0 - 1 Jelgava LAT D1

18/04/2024 12:30

Jelgava 0 - 3 FK Valmiera LAT D1

13/04/2024 11:00

Jelgava 0 - 0 FK Auda Riga LAT D1

08/04/2024 11:59

Riga FC 2 - 0 Jelgava LAT D1

03/04/2024 11:59

Rigas Futbola skola 5 - 1 Jelgava LAT D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Latvian Higher League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

165

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

248

Avg. per game

1.01

Scored

143

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

167

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 245 matches

YesNo

113 (46%)132 (54%)

In last 245 matches

NoYes

91 (47%)102 (53%)

BFC Daugavpils

Recent matches

Jelgava

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

BFC Daugavpils

Jelgava

Shots

BFC Daugavpils

Total shots

9.62 avg / game

Blocked

133 total

Avg. 3.69

Jelgava

Total shots

10.59 avg / game

Blocked

111 total

Avg. 3.17

BFC Daugavpils Pass Jelgava

Total passes

13049

Avg. 373 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

12825

Avg. 366 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

BFC Daugavpils

245

Played games

Jelgava

193

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.25

3.59

880

Corners

662

3.43

2.96

726

Throw-ins

786

4.07

0.36

Offsides

0.20

0.50

122

GK saves

137

0.71

BFC Daugavpils

DISCIPLINARY

Jelgava

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.87

458

322

1.67

0.08

0.07

2.27

555

Fouls

501

2.60

2.11

517

Tackles

475

2.46

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava on 03 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Latvian Higher League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess BFC Daugavpils's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Jelgava's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Latvian Higher League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Latvian Higher League standings and the Latvian Higher League form table to understand exactly where BFC Daugavpils and Jelgava sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Latvian Higher League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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