BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – July 27

BFC Daugavpils

L W D D L

4th place in Latvian Higher League

2-0

27/07/2025 08:00

Jelgava

D D D D D

6th place in Latvian Higher League

Latvian Higher League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava on July 27, 2025 (kick-off: 08:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava preview before placing for you.

BFC Daugavpils are currently 4th with 48 points after 36 matches.
Jelgava sit 6th with 38 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: BFC Daugavpils to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors BFC Daugavpils, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Jelgava have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:00

2025-07-27

BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava - Prediction & Odds

BFC Daugavpils

Jelgava

2025-07-27 08:00

STANDINGS UP TO 27/07/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Riga FC	88	36	27	7	2	85	26	59
02 FK Rigas Futbola skola	87	36	28	3	5	100	39	61
03 FK Liepaja	61	36	18	7	11	59	55	4
04 BFC Daugavpils	48	36	13	9	14	52	62	-10
05 FK Auda Riga	45	36	13	6	17	44	49	-5
06 Jelgava	38	36	8	14	14	39	46	-7
07 Tukums-2000	36	36	9	9	18	39	63	-24
08 Grobina	32	36	8	8	20	33	64	-31
09 Super Nova	32	36	6	14	16	44	56	-12
10 Metta/LU Riga	31	36	8	7	21	39	74	-35

Head To Head

25/05/2025 09:00

BFC Daugavpils

1 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

10/04/2025 10:30

Jelgava

4 - 1

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

01/09/2024 07:00

Jelgava

0 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

21/06/2024 11:00

BFC Daugavpils

3 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

03/05/2024 11:00

BFC Daugavpils

1 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

09/03/2024 10:00

Jelgava

0 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

BFC Daugavpils

50%

Draw

33%

Jelgava

17%

BFC Daugavpils Last 6 matches

20/07/2025 08:00

FK Auda Riga 1 - 3 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

17/07/2025 11:00

BFC Daugavpils 2 - 4 Vllaznia Shkoder UEFA ECL

13/07/2025 10:00

Saldus SS/Leevon 2 - 4 BFC Daugavpils LAT Cup

10/07/2025 14:00

Vllaznia Shkoder 0 - 1 BFC Daugavpils UEFA ECL

06/07/2025 12:00

Riga FC 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

30/06/2025 11:00

BFC Daugavpils 1 - 7 FK Rigas Futbola skola LAT D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Jelgava

20/07/2025 10:00

Jelgava 1 - 0 Super Nova LAT D1

12/07/2025 11:00

Jelgava 0 - 1 FK Rigas Futbola skola LAT Cup

05/07/2025 11:00

FK Auda Riga 2 - 0 Jelgava LAT D1

01/07/2025 13:00

Riga FC 3 - 0 Jelgava LAT D1

26/06/2025 12:00

Jelgava 0 - 1 FK Rigas Futbola skola LAT D1

22/06/2025 09:00

Jelgava 0 - 1 Grobina LAT D1

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Latvian Higher League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

113

Avg. per game

0.46

Conceded

169

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

110

Avg. per game

0.57

Conceded

154

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 246 matches

YesNo

93 (38%)153 (62%)

In last 246 matches

NoYes

74 (38%)120 (62%)

BFC Daugavpils

Recent matches

Jelgava

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

BFC Daugavpils

Jelgava

Shots

BFC Daugavpils

Total shots

9.68 avg / game

Blocked

143 total

Avg. 3.86

Jelgava

Total shots

10.59 avg / game

Blocked

113 total

Avg. 3.14

BFC Daugavpils Pass Jelgava

Total passes

13458

Avg. 374 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

13292

Avg. 369 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

BFC Daugavpils

246

Played games

Jelgava

194

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.25

3.62

890

Corners

662

3.41

3.04

747

Throw-ins

810

4.18

0.37

Offsides

0.20

0.51

126

GK saves

142

0.73

BFC Daugavpils

DISCIPLINARY

Jelgava

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.87

461

324

1.67

0.08

0.07

2.31

568

Fouls

515

2.65

2.13

525

Tackles

491

2.53

NEXT MATCHES

FK Rigas Futbola skola

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava on 27 July 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Latvian Higher League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess BFC Daugavpils's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Jelgava's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Latvian Higher League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Latvian Higher League standings and the Latvian Higher League form table to understand exactly where BFC Daugavpils and Jelgava sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Latvian Higher League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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