Benfica vs Rio Ave: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 September

Benfica
WWWDD
3rd place in Portugal Primera Liga
1
1-1
FT
23/09/2025 15:15
Rio Ave
WDLDL
12th place in Portugal Primera Liga
Portugal Primera Liga
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Benfica vs Rio Ave on 23 September 2025 (kick-off: 15:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Benfica vs Rio Ave preview before placing your bet.

  • Benfica are currently 3rd with 80 points after 34 matches.
  • Rio Ave sit 12th with 36 points from 34 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Benfica to win with probability 80%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Benfica, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Rio Ave have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:15

2025-09-23

Benfica vs Rio Ave - Prediction & Odds

Benfica
Benfica
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
2025-09-23 15:15
80
13
7
1
2 - 2
2 - 2
3.25
1.12
FT
1-1 0-0
-
weather
22℃～23℃
STANDINGS UP TO 23/09/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 FC Porto FC Porto
88 34 28 4 2 66 18 48
02 Sporting CP Sporting CP
82 34 25 7 2 89 24 65
03 Benfica Benfica
80 34 23 11 0 74 25 49
04 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga
59 34 16 11 7 64 36 28
05 FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
56 34 15 11 8 42 29 13
06 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
50 34 13 11 10 47 38 9
07 Moreirense Moreirense
43 34 12 7 15 37 49 -12
08 FC Arouca FC Arouca
42 34 12 6 16 47 64 -17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes
42 34 12 6 16 39 51 -12
10 Estoril Estoril
39 34 10 9 15 54 57 -3
11 Alverca Alverca
39 34 10 9 15 35 52 -17
12 Rio Ave Rio Ave
36 34 8 12 14 35 57 -22
13 Santa Clara Santa Clara
36 34 9 9 16 32 41 -9
14 Nacional da Madeira Nacional da Madeira
34 34 9 7 18 37 45 -8
15 Estrela da Amadora Estrela da Amadora
30 34 6 12 16 38 56 -18
16 Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
30 34 6 12 16 31 57 -26
17 CD Tondela CD Tondela
28 34 6 10 18 27 55 -28
18 AVS Futebol SAD AVS Futebol SAD
21 34 3 12 19 27 67 -40
Head To Head
16/03/2025 14:00
Rio Ave Rio Ave
2 - 3
Benfica Benfica
POR D1
27/10/2024 14:00
Benfica Benfica
5 - 0
Rio Ave Rio Ave
POR D1
17/05/2024 15:45
Rio Ave Rio Ave
1 - 1
Benfica Benfica
POR D1
14/01/2024 14:00
Benfica Benfica
4 - 1
Rio Ave Rio Ave
POR D1
02/04/2023 13:00
Rio Ave Rio Ave
0 - 1
Benfica Benfica
POR D1
08/10/2022 13:00
Benfica Benfica
4 - 2
Rio Ave Rio Ave
POR D1
Benfica
5
83%
Draw
1
17%
Rio Ave
0
0%
Benfica Benfica Last 6 matches
20/09/2025 13:00
AVS Futebol SAD 0 - 3 Benfica POR D1
16/09/2025 15:00
Benfica 2 - 3 Qarabag UEFA CL
12/09/2025 15:15
Benfica 1 - 1 Santa Clara POR D1
31/08/2025 13:00
Alverca 1 - 2 Benfica POR D1
27/08/2025 15:00
Benfica 1 - 0 Fenerbahce UEFA CL
23/08/2025 15:30
Benfica 3 - 0 CD Tondela POR D1
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Rio Ave Rio Ave
19/09/2025 15:15
Rio Ave 0 - 3 FC Porto POR D1
13/09/2025 10:30
Moreirense 3 - 1 Rio Ave POR D1
31/08/2025 15:30
Rio Ave 2 - 2 Sporting Braga POR D1
23/08/2025 15:30
FC Arouca 3 - 3 Rio Ave POR D1
17/08/2025 10:30
Rio Ave 1 - 1 Nacional da Madeira POR D1
07/08/2025 15:00
Rio Ave 0 - 4 Al-Nassr INT CF
Win
0%
Draw
50%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Benfica
Benfica
300
 Rio Ave
Rio Ave
259
Goals
Scored
337
Avg. per game
1.12
Conceded
152
Avg. per game
0.51
Scored
189
Avg. per game
0.73
Conceded
187
Avg. per game
0.72
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 300 matches
YesNo
203 (68%)97 (32%)
In last 300 matches
NoYes
133 (51%)126 (49%)
Benfica

Benfica

Recent matches

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Benfica Benfica
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Shots
Benfica
Benfica
Total shots
15.11 avg / game
Blocked
924 total
Avg. 4.13
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Total shots
10.86 avg / game
Blocked
408 total
Avg. 2.81
Benfica Benfica Pass Rio Ave Rio Ave
Total passes
127535
Avg. 504 / game
Accurate
84%
Ball possession
57%
Total passes
67487
Avg. 407 / game
Accurate
80%
Ball possession
50%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Benfica
Benfica
34417
Avg. 114.72 / game
 Rio Ave
Rio Ave
22195
Avg. 85.69 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Benfica
Benfica
18235
Avg. 60.78 / game
 Rio Ave
Rio Ave
10153
Avg. 39.20 / game
OTHERS
Benfica
Benfica
300
Played games
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
259
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.42
127
Clean sheets
68
0.26
6.57
1971
Corners
1087
4.20
15.37
4612
Throw-ins
3244
12.53
1.83
548
Offsides
364
1.41
2.29
686
GK saves
670
2.59
Benfica
Benfica
DISCIPLINARY
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.91
573
Yellow card
586
2.26
0.07
21
Red card
32
0.12
10.75
3226
Fouls
2879
11.12
14.02
4205
Tackles
2460
9.50
NEXT MATCHES
07/30
Benfica Benfica
VS
St. Gallen St. Gallen
UEF
08/09
Benfica Benfica
VS
Viseu Viseu
POR
08/16
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
VS
Benfica Benfica
POR
08/23
Moreirense Moreirense
VS
Benfica Benfica
POR
08/30
Benfica Benfica
VS
Estoril Estoril
POR
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Rio Ave Rio Ave
VS
CD Tondela CD Tondela
INT
08/09
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
VS
Rio Ave Rio Ave
POR
08/15
Rio Ave Rio Ave
VS
FC Porto FC Porto
POR
08/23
Estoril Estoril
VS
Rio Ave Rio Ave
POR
08/30
Rio Ave Rio Ave
VS
Sporting CP Sporting CP
POR

How We Build the Benfica vs Rio Ave Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Benfica vs Rio Ave on 23 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Benfica vs Rio Ave Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Benfica's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Rio Ave's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where Benfica and Rio Ave sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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