Benfica vs Rio Ave Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 23

Benfica

W W W D D

3rd place in Portugal Primera Liga

1-1

23/09/2025 19:15

Rio Ave

W D L D L

12th place in Portugal Primera Liga

Portugal Primera Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Benfica vs Rio Ave on September 23, 2025 (kick-off: 19:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Benfica vs Rio Ave preview before placing for you.

Benfica are currently 3rd with 80 points after 34 matches.
Rio Ave sit 12th with 36 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Benfica to win with probability 80%.
Head-to-head history favors Benfica, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Rio Ave have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:15

2025-09-23

Benfica vs Rio Ave - Prediction & Odds

Benfica

Rio Ave

2025-09-23 19:15

STANDINGS UP TO 23/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Porto	88	34	28	4	2	66	18	48
02 Sporting CP	82	34	25	7	2	89	24	65
03 Benfica	80	34	23	11	0	74	25	49
04 Sporting Braga	59	34	16	11	7	64	36	28
05 FC Famalicao	56	34	15	11	8	42	29	13
06 Gil Vicente	50	34	13	11	10	47	38	9
07 Moreirense	43	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12
08 FC Arouca	42	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes	42	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12
10 Estoril	39	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3
11 Alverca	39	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17
12 Rio Ave	36	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22
13 Santa Clara	36	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9
14 Nacional da Madeira	34	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8
15 Estrela da Amadora	30	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18
16 Casa Pia AC	30	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26
17 CD Tondela	28	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28
18 AVS Futebol SAD	21	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40

Head To Head

16/03/2025 18:00

Rio Ave

2 - 3

Benfica

POR D1

27/10/2024 18:00

Benfica

5 - 0

Rio Ave

POR D1

17/05/2024 19:45

Rio Ave

1 - 1

Benfica

POR D1

14/01/2024 18:00

Benfica

4 - 1

Rio Ave

POR D1

02/04/2023 17:00

Rio Ave

0 - 1

Benfica

POR D1

08/10/2022 17:00

Benfica

4 - 2

Rio Ave

POR D1

Benfica

83%

Draw

17%

Rio Ave

Benfica Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 17:00

AVS Futebol SAD 0 - 3 Benfica POR D1

16/09/2025 19:00

Benfica 2 - 3 Qarabag UEFA CL

12/09/2025 19:15

Benfica 1 - 1 Santa Clara POR D1

31/08/2025 17:00

Alverca 1 - 2 Benfica POR D1

27/08/2025 19:00

Benfica 1 - 0 Fenerbahce UEFA CL

23/08/2025 19:30

Benfica 3 - 0 CD Tondela POR D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Rio Ave

19/09/2025 19:15

Rio Ave 0 - 3 FC Porto POR D1

13/09/2025 14:30

Moreirense 3 - 1 Rio Ave POR D1

31/08/2025 19:30

Rio Ave 2 - 2 Sporting Braga POR D1

23/08/2025 19:30

FC Arouca 3 - 3 Rio Ave POR D1

17/08/2025 14:30

Rio Ave 1 - 1 Nacional da Madeira POR D1

07/08/2025 19:00

Rio Ave 0 - 4 Al-Nassr INT CF

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

316

Avg. per game

1.05

Conceded

121

Avg. per game

0.40

Scored

125

Avg. per game

0.48

Conceded

157

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

184 (61%)116 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

97 (37%)163 (63%)

Benfica

Recent matches

Rio Ave

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Benfica

Rio Ave

Shots

Benfica

Total shots

15.18 avg / game

Blocked

928 total

Avg. 4.14

Rio Ave

Total shots

10.87 avg / game

Blocked

408 total

Avg. 2.81

Benfica Pass Rio Ave

Total passes

127833

Avg. 505 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

67487

Avg. 407 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Benfica

300

Played games

Rio Ave

260

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.42

127

Clean sheets

0.26

6.58

1974

Corners

1087

4.18

15.44

4633

Throw-ins

3266

12.56

1.83

549

Offsides

365

1.40

2.27

682

GK saves

670

2.58

Benfica

DISCIPLINARY

Rio Ave

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.89

567

586

2.25

0.07

0.12

10.71

3214

Fouls

2879

11.07

13.97

4192

Tackles

2460

9.46

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Benfica vs Rio Ave Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Benfica vs Rio Ave on 23 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Benfica vs Rio Ave Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Benfica's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Rio Ave's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where Benfica and Rio Ave sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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