Benfica vs Marseille: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 April

Benfica

L D W W W

No standing data

2-1

11/04/2024 15:00

Marseille

L L L L W

2nd place in Group B

UEFA Europa League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Benfica vs Marseille on 11 April 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Benfica vs Marseille preview before placing your bet.

Marseille sit 2nd with 11 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Benfica to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors Benfica, who have won 2 of the last 5 meetings. Marseille have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2024-04-11

Benfica vs Marseille - Prediction & Odds

Benfica

Marseille

2024-04-11 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/04/2024

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Brighton Hove Albion	13	6	4	1	1	10	5	5
02 Marseille	11	6	3	2	1	14	10	4
03 AFC Ajax	5	6	1	2	3	10	13	-3
04 AEK Athens	4	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6

Head To Head

25/07/2021 15:00

Benfica

1 - 1

Marseille

INT CF

23/07/2014 14:00

Marseille

2 - 1

Benfica

INT CF

13/07/2012 14:45

Marseille

0 - 2

Benfica

INT CF

18/03/2010 14:00

Marseille

1 - 2

Benfica

UEFA EL

11/03/2010 16:05

Benfica

1 - 1

Marseille

UEFA EL

Benfica

40%

Draw

40%

Marseille

20%

Benfica Last 6 matches

06/04/2024 15:30

Sporting CP 2 - 1 Benfica POR D1

02/04/2024 15:45

Benfica 2 - 2 Sporting CP POR CN

29/03/2024 14:00

Benfica 1 - 0 GD Chaves POR D1

17/03/2024 14:00

Casa Pia AC 0 - 1 Benfica POR D1

14/03/2024 13:45

Glasgow Rangers 0 - 1 Benfica UEFA EL

10/03/2024 16:30

Benfica 3 - 1 Estoril POR D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Marseille

05/04/2024 15:00

Lille 3 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

31/03/2024 14:45

Marseille 0 - 2 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1

17/03/2024 12:05

Rennes 2 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

14/03/2024 13:45

Villarreal 3 - 1 Marseille UEFA EL

10/03/2024 15:45

Marseille 2 - 0 Nantes FRA D1

07/03/2024 16:00

Marseille 4 - 0 Villarreal UEFA EL

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

341

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

151

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored

294

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

212

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

204 (68%)96 (32%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

183 (61%)117 (39%)

Benfica

Recent matches

Marseille

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Benfica

Marseille

Shots

Benfica

Total shots

15.17 avg / game

Blocked

928 total

Avg. 4.14

Marseille

Total shots

13.20 avg / game

Blocked

796 total

Avg. 3.52

Benfica Pass Marseille

Total passes

127763

Avg. 505 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

138946

Avg. 541 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Benfica

300

Played games

Marseille

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.43

128

Clean sheets

0.26

6.59

1977

Corners

1612

5.37

15.46

4638

Throw-ins

4458

14.86

1.83

549

Offsides

471

1.57

2.28

683

GK saves

689

2.30

Benfica

DISCIPLINARY

Marseille

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.89

567

552

1.84

0.07

0.12

10.72

3215

Fouls

3137

10.46

14.00

4200

Tackles

3867

12.89

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA

How We Build the Benfica vs Marseille Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Benfica vs Marseille on 11 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Benfica vs Marseille Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Benfica's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Marseille's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa League standings and the UEFA Europa League form table to understand exactly where Benfica and Marseille sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More UEFA Europa League Predictions

Find every upcoming UEFA Europa League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less