Benfica vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 02 October

Benfica

W W W W D

16th place in Group A

4-0

02/10/2024 19:00

Atletico Madrid

D W D W W

5th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Benfica vs Atletico Madrid on 02 October 2024 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Benfica vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Benfica are currently 16th with 13 points after 8 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 5th with 18 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Benfica have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2024-10-02

Benfica vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Benfica

Atletico Madrid

2024-10-02 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 02/10/2024

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	21	8	7	0	1	17	5	12
02 FC Barcelona	19	8	6	1	1	28	13	15
03 Arsenal	19	8	6	1	1	16	3	13
04 Inter Milan	19	8	6	1	1	11	1	10
05 Atletico Madrid	18	8	6	0	2	20	12	8
06 Bayer Leverkusen	16	8	5	1	2	15	7	8
07 Lille	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
08 Aston Villa	16	8	5	1	2	13	6	7
09 Atalanta	15	8	4	3	1	20	6	14
10 Borussia Dortmund	15	8	5	0	3	22	12	10
11 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	20	12	8
12 Bayern Munchen	15	8	5	0	3	20	12	8
13 AC Milan	15	8	5	0	3	14	11	3
14 PSV Eindhoven	14	8	4	2	2	16	12	4
15 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	13	8	4	1	3	14	9	5
16 Benfica	13	8	4	1	3	16	12	4
17 Monaco	13	8	4	1	3	13	13	0
18 Stade Brestois	13	8	4	1	3	10	11	-1
19 Feyenoord	13	8	4	1	3	18	21	-3
20 Juventus	12	8	3	3	2	9	7	2
21 Celtic FC	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
22 Manchester City	11	8	3	2	3	18	14	4
23 Sporting CP	11	8	3	2	3	13	12	1
24 Club Brugge	11	8	3	2	3	7	11	-4
25 Dinamo Zagreb	11	8	3	2	3	12	19	-7
26 VfB Stuttgart	10	8	3	1	4	13	17	-4
27 FC Shakhtar Donetsk	7	8	2	1	5	8	16	-8
28 Bologna	6	8	1	3	4	4	9	-5
29 Crvena Zvezda	6	8	2	0	6	13	22	-9
30 Sturm Graz	6	8	2	0	6	5	14	-9
31 Sparta Praha	4	8	1	1	6	7	21	-14
32 RB Leipzig	3	8	1	0	7	8	15	-7
33 Girona	3	8	1	0	7	5	13	-8
34 Red Bull Salzburg	3	8	1	0	7	5	27	-22
35 Slovan Bratislava	0	8	0	0	8	7	27	-20
36 Young Boys	0	8	0	0	8	3	24	-21

Head To Head

08/12/2015 19:45

Benfica

1 - 2

Atletico Madrid

UEFA CL

30/09/2015 18:45

Atletico Madrid

1 - 2

Benfica

UEFA CL

21/07/2009 19:00

Benfica

1 - 2

Atletico Madrid

INT CF

Benfica

33%

Draw

Atletico Madrid

67%

Benfica Last 6 matches

28/09/2024 19:30

Benfica 5 - 1 Gil Vicente POR D1

23/09/2024 19:15

Boavista FC 0 - 3 Benfica POR D1

19/09/2024 16:45

Crvena Zvezda 1 - 2 Benfica UEFA CL

14/09/2024 19:30

Benfica 4 - 1 Santa Clara POR D1

30/08/2024 19:15

Moreirense 1 - 1 Benfica POR D1

24/08/2024 19:30

Benfica 1 - 0 Estrela da Amadora POR D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

29/09/2024 19:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

26/09/2024 19:00

Celta Vigo 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

22/09/2024 19:00

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

19/09/2024 19:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 RB Leipzig UEFA CL

15/09/2024 19:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Valencia SPA D1

31/08/2024 17:00

Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

341

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

151

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored

309

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

204 (68%)96 (32%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

193 (64%)107 (36%)

Benfica

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Benfica

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Benfica

Total shots

15.17 avg / game

Blocked

928 total

Avg. 4.14

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.84 avg / game

Blocked

740 total

Avg. 2.91

Benfica Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

127763

Avg. 505 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

134010

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Benfica

300

Played games

Atletico Madrid

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.43

128

Clean sheets

0.33

6.59

1977

Corners

1529

5.10

15.46

4638

Throw-ins

4975

16.58

1.83

549

Offsides

650

2.17

2.28

683

GK saves

762

2.54

Benfica

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.89

567

643

2.14

0.07

0.13

10.72

3215

Fouls

3334

11.11

14.00

4200

Tackles

4090

13.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Benfica vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Benfica vs Atletico Madrid on 02 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Benfica vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Benfica's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Benfica and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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