Bellinzona vs Thun Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 16

Bellinzona

W D W D W

7th place in Swiss Challenge League

3-1

16/05/2025 11:15

Thun

W W W D L

1st place in Swiss Challenge League

Swiss Challenge League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bellinzona vs Thun on May 16, 2025 (kick-off: 11:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bellinzona vs Thun preview before placing for you.

Bellinzona are currently 7th with 47 points after 36 matches.
Thun sit 1st with 72 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Thun to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Thun, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Bellinzona have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:15

2025-05-16

Bellinzona vs Thun - Prediction & Odds

Bellinzona

Thun

2025-05-16 11:15

STANDINGS UP TO 16/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	72	36	21	9	6	70	39	31
02 Aarau	61	36	16	13	7	63	45	18
03 Etoile Carouge	54	36	15	9	12	58	47	11
04 Stade Ouchy	53	36	14	11	11	54	43	11
05 Vaduz	51	36	13	12	11	48	49	-1
06 FC Wil 1900	50	36	13	11	12	58	57	1
07 Bellinzona	47	36	12	11	13	48	57	-9
08 Neuchatel Xamax	41	36	12	5	19	57	65	-8
09 Stade Nyonnais	36	36	10	6	20	44	69	-25
10 Schaffhausen	28	36	7	7	22	40	69	-29

Head To Head

09/02/2025 08:30

Thun

2 - 0

Bellinzona

SUI CL

04/10/2024 11:15

Bellinzona

0 - 0

Thun

SUI CL

20/09/2024 11:15

Thun

1 - 2

Bellinzona

SUI CL

13/04/2024 08:59

Thun

1 - 0

Bellinzona

SUI CL

27/01/2024 10:00

Bellinzona

0 - 0

Thun

SUI CL

13/12/2023 11:00

Thun

3 - 1

Bellinzona

SUI CL

Bellinzona

17%

Draw

33%

Thun

50%

Bellinzona Last 6 matches

09/05/2025 10:30

Stade Ouchy 1 - 1 Bellinzona SUI CL

03/05/2025 09:00

Bellinzona 3 - 1 Neuchatel Xamax SUI CL

27/04/2025 05:15

FC Wil 1900 2 - 2 Bellinzona SUI CL

18/04/2025 10:30

Bellinzona 2 - 1 Stade Nyonnais SUI CL

12/04/2025 09:00

Bellinzona 3 - 1 Vaduz SUI CL

05/04/2025 09:00

Etoile Carouge 7 - 0 Bellinzona SUI CL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Thun

11/05/2025 05:15

Vaduz 3 - 3 Thun SUI CL

02/05/2025 11:15

Thun 2 - 1 Aarau SUI CL

25/04/2025 11:15

Neuchatel Xamax 0 - 2 Thun SUI CL

21/04/2025 07:30

Thun 7 - 0 FC Wil 1900 SUI CL

11/04/2025 10:30

Stade Nyonnais 0 - 2 Thun SUI CL

04/04/2025 11:15

Thun 3 - 0 Schaffhausen SUI CL

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Challenge League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

131

Avg. per game

0.59

Conceded

144

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

239

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

168

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 221 matches

YesNo

93 (42%)128 (58%)

In last 221 matches

NoYes

160 (55%)130 (45%)

Bellinzona

Recent matches

Thun

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bellinzona

Thun

Shots

Bellinzona

Total shots

10.70 avg / game

Blocked

136 total

Avg. 3.32

Thun

Total shots

12.80 avg / game

Blocked

224 total

Avg. 4.77

Bellinzona Pass Thun

Total passes

25937

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

24000

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bellinzona

221

Played games

Thun

290

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.26

3.53

781

Corners

1422

4.90

6.17

1363

Throw-ins

1644

5.67

1.19

264

Offsides

532

1.83

1.78

393

GK saves

635

2.19

Bellinzona

DISCIPLINARY

Thun

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.27

501

560

1.93

0.09

0.06

8.85

1955

Fouls

3117

10.75

4.43

979

Tackles

824

2.84

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bellinzona vs Thun Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bellinzona vs Thun on 16 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Challenge League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bellinzona vs Thun Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bellinzona's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Thun's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Challenge League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Challenge League standings and the Swiss Challenge League form table to understand exactly where Bellinzona and Thun sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Challenge League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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