Belgium vs Italy: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 November

Belgium

L D L W L

3rd place in Group B

0-1

14/11/2024 19:45

Italy

W D W W L

2nd place in Group B

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Belgium vs Italy on 14 November 2024 (kick-off: 19:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Belgium vs Italy preview before placing your bet.

Belgium are currently 3rd with 4 points after 6 matches.
Italy sit 2nd with 13 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Belgium to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Italy, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Belgium have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:45

2024-11-14

Belgium vs Italy - Prediction & Odds

Belgium

Italy

2024-11-14 19:45

STANDINGS UP TO 14/11/2024

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 France	13	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Italy	13	6	4	1	1	13	8	5
03 Belgium	4	6	1	1	4	6	9	-3
04 Israel	4	6	1	1	4	5	13	-8

Head To Head

10/10/2024 18:45

Italy

2 - 2

Belgium

UEFA NL

10/10/2021 13:00

Italy

2 - 1

Belgium

UEFA NL

02/07/2021 19:00

Belgium

1 - 2

Italy

EURO Cup

13/06/2016 19:00

Belgium

0 - 2

Italy

EURO Cup

13/11/2015 19:45

Belgium

3 - 1

Italy

INT FRL

30/05/2008 18:50

Italy

3 - 1

Belgium

INT CF

Belgium

17%

Draw

17%

Italy

67%

Belgium Last 6 matches

14/10/2024 18:45

Belgium 1 - 2 France UEFA NL

10/10/2024 18:45

Italy 2 - 2 Belgium UEFA NL

09/09/2024 18:45

France 2 - 0 Belgium UEFA NL

06/09/2024 18:45

Belgium 3 - 1 Israel UEFA NL

01/07/2024 15:59

France 1 - 0 Belgium EURO Cup

26/06/2024 15:59

Ukraine 0 - 0 Belgium EURO Cup

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Italy

14/10/2024 18:45

Italy 4 - 1 Israel UEFA NL

10/10/2024 18:45

Italy 2 - 2 Belgium UEFA NL

09/09/2024 18:45

Israel 1 - 2 Italy UEFA NL

06/09/2024 18:45

France 1 - 3 Italy UEFA NL

29/06/2024 15:59

Switzerland 2 - 0 Italy EURO Cup

24/06/2024 19:00

Croatia 1 - 1 Italy EURO Cup

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Belgium

Italy

Goals

Scored

109

Avg. per game

1.21

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 90 matches

YesNo

56 (62%)34 (38%)

In last 90 matches

NoYes

50 (59%)35 (41%)

Belgium

Recent matches

Italy

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Belgium

Italy

Shots

Belgium

Total shots

14.44 avg / game

Blocked

269 total

Avg. 4.08

Italy

Total shots

15.15 avg / game

Blocked

266 total

Avg. 4.59

Belgium Pass Italy

Total passes

38357

Avg. 572 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

33285

Avg. 546 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Belgium

Played games

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.43

Clean sheets

0.47

5.29

476

Corners

425

5.00

12.82

1154

Throw-ins

1131

13.31

1.53

138

Offsides

150

1.76

1.91

172

GK saves

161

1.89

Belgium

DISCIPLINARY

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.08

122

1.44

0.02

0.05

8.71

784

Fouls

830

9.76

8.36

752

Tackles

825

9.71

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Belgium vs Italy Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Belgium vs Italy on 14 November 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Belgium vs Italy Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Belgium's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Italy's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Belgium and Italy sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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