Bastia vs Troyes: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 February

Bastia

D L W D W

17th place in France Ligue 2

0-0

16/02/2026 15:45

Troyes

D L W W W

1st place in France Ligue 2

France Ligue 2

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bastia vs Troyes on 16 February 2026 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bastia vs Troyes preview before placing your bet.

Bastia are currently 17th with 28 points after 34 matches.
Troyes sit 1st with 67 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Troyes to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Troyes, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Bastia have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2026-02-16

Bastia vs Troyes - Prediction & Odds

Bastia

Troyes

2026-02-16 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 16/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Troyes	67	34	20	7	7	60	33	27
02 Le Mans	62	34	16	14	4	50	31	19
03 Saint Etienne	60	34	18	6	10	59	38	21
04 Red Star FC 93	58	34	16	10	8	48	37	11
05 Rodez Aveyron	58	34	15	13	6	45	39	6
06 Reims	56	34	14	14	6	53	35	18
07 FC Annecy	52	34	15	7	12	49	39	10
08 Montpellier	51	34	14	9	11	41	31	10
09 Pau FC	45	34	12	9	13	48	62	-14
10 USL Dunkerque	43	34	11	10	13	53	45	8
11 Guingamp	40	34	10	10	14	42	49	-7
12 Grenoble	39	34	8	15	11	33	39	-6
13 Clermont	37	34	9	10	15	38	44	-6
14 Nancy	37	34	9	10	15	35	52	-17
15 Boulogne	36	34	9	9	16	34	49	-15
16 Stade Lavallois MFC	32	34	6	14	14	30	48	-18
17 Bastia	28	34	5	13	16	23	42	-19
18 Amiens	24	34	6	6	22	37	65	-28

Head To Head

10/01/2026 10:30

Bastia

0 - 2

Troyes

FRAC

17/10/2025 14:00

Troyes

1 - 0

Bastia

FRA D2

28/02/2025 15:00

Troyes

2 - 0

Bastia

FRA D2

13/09/2024 14:00

Bastia

0 - 0

Troyes

FRA D2

09/03/2024 14:00

Troyes

2 - 0

Bastia

FRA D2

26/08/2023 13:00

Bastia

3 - 2

Troyes

FRA D2

Bastia

17%

Draw

17%

Troyes

67%

Bastia Last 6 matches

06/02/2026 15:00

Reims 0 - 0 Bastia FRA D2

30/01/2026 15:00

Bastia 0 - 0 Nancy FRA D2

23/01/2026 15:00

Bastia 0 - 2 Montpellier FRA D2

16/01/2026 15:00

Stade Lavallois MFC 0 - 2 Bastia FRA D2

10/01/2026 10:30

Bastia 0 - 2 Troyes FRAC

03/01/2026 15:00

Bastia 1 - 0 Grenoble FRA D2

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Troyes

07/02/2026 09:00

Nancy 2 - 1 Troyes FRA D2

04/02/2026 16:00

Troyes 2 - 4 Lens FRAC

31/01/2026 09:00

Troyes 0 - 2 Le Mans FRA D2

24/01/2026 09:00

Guingamp 1 - 0 Troyes FRA D2

17/01/2026 09:00

Troyes 2 - 1 Reims FRA D2

10/01/2026 10:30

Bastia 0 - 2 Troyes FRAC

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 2

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

184

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

149

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored

196

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

202

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 265 matches

YesNo

125 (47%)140 (53%)

In last 265 matches

NoYes

130 (49%)136 (51%)

Bastia

Recent matches

Troyes

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bastia

Troyes

Shots

Bastia

Total shots

10.29 avg / game

Blocked

377 total

Avg. 2.60

Troyes

Total shots

10.85 avg / game

Blocked

402 total

Avg. 2.68

Bastia Pass Troyes

Total passes

71632

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

76209

Avg. 408 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bastia

265

Played games

Troyes

266

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.30

3.90

1033

Corners

1048

3.94

7.85

2079

Throw-ins

2689

10.11

1.35

357

Offsides

374

1.41

1.66

441

GK saves

638

2.40

Bastia

DISCIPLINARY

Troyes

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.83

486

414

1.56

0.13

0.10

10.37

2749

Fouls

2727

10.25

10.18

2699

Tackles

2471

9.29

NEXT MATCHES

08/07

Bastia

Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bastia vs Troyes Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bastia vs Troyes on 16 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 2 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bastia vs Troyes Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bastia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Troyes's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 2 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 2 standings and the France Ligue 2 form table to understand exactly where Bastia and Troyes sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 2 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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