Bastia vs Caen Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – January 23

Bastia

W W L L W

13th place in France Ligue 2

1-2

23/01/2024 19:45

Caen

L W L W D

6th place in France Ligue 2

France Ligue 2

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bastia vs Caen on January 23, 2024 (kick-off: 19:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bastia vs Caen preview before placing for you.

Bastia are currently 13th with 50 points after 38 matches.
Caen sit 6th with 58 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bastia to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Caen, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Bastia have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:45

2024-01-23

Bastia vs Caen - Prediction & Odds

Bastia

Caen

2024-01-23 19:45

STANDINGS UP TO 23/01/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 AJ Auxerre	74	38	21	11	6	72	36	36
02 Angers	68	38	20	8	10	56	42	14
03 Saint Etienne	65	38	19	8	11	48	31	17
04 Rodez Aveyron	60	38	16	12	10	62	51	11
05 Paris FC	59	38	16	11	11	49	42	7
06 Caen	58	38	17	7	14	51	45	6
07 Stade Lavallois MFC	55	38	15	10	13	40	45	-5
08 Amiens	53	38	12	17	9	36	36	0
09 Guingamp	51	38	13	12	13	44	40	4
10 Pau FC	51	38	13	12	13	60	57	3
11 Grenoble	51	38	13	12	13	43	44	-1
12 Bordeaux	50	38	14	9	15	50	52	-2
13 Bastia	50	38	14	9	15	44	48	-4
14 FC Annecy	46	38	12	10	16	49	50	-1
15 Ajaccio	46	38	12	10	16	35	46	-11
16 USL Dunkerque	46	38	12	10	16	36	52	-16
17 Troyes	41	37	9	14	14	42	49	-7
18 Quevilly	38	38	7	17	14	51	55	-4
19 Concarneau	38	38	10	8	20	39	57	-18
20 Valenciennes	26	37	5	11	21	25	54	-29

Head To Head

02/12/2023 18:00

Caen

1 - 0

Bastia

FRA D2

03/02/2023 19:45

Caen

3 - 1

Bastia

FRA D2

26/12/2022 20:00

Bastia

1 - 0

Caen

FRA D2

26/02/2022 18:00

Caen

2 - 1

Bastia

FRA D2

18/09/2021 17:00

Bastia

1 - 1

Caen

FRA D2

05/02/2019 20:00

Bastia

1 - 1

Caen

FRAC

Bastia

17%

Draw

33%

Caen

50%

Bastia Last 6 matches

13/01/2024 18:00

Bastia 2 - 0 Angers FRA D2

06/01/2024 12:00

Monaco B 1 - 1 Bastia INT CF

04/01/2024 15:00

Bastia 2 - 1 AS Furiani Agliani INT CF

19/12/2023 19:45

Saint Etienne 3 - 2 Bastia FRA D2

16/12/2023 18:00

Bastia 0 - 0 Quevilly FRA D2

05/12/2023 19:45

USL Dunkerque 0 - 5 Bastia FRA D2

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Caen

13/01/2024 18:00

Caen 1 - 0 Concarneau FRA D2

07/01/2024 13:30

Le Havre 2 - 1 Caen FRAC

19/12/2023 19:45

Amiens 0 - 0 Caen FRA D2

16/12/2023 18:00

Caen 1 - 0 USL Dunkerque FRA D2

09/12/2023 15:59

RC Calais 1 - 4 Caen FRAC

06/12/2023 18:00

FC Annecy 1 - 2 Caen FRA D2

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 2

Played games

Goals

Scored

173

Avg. per game

1.30

Conceded

124

Avg. per game

0.93

Scored

173

Avg. per game

1.28

Conceded

135

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 133 home matches

YesNo

95 (71%)38 (29%)

In last 133 home matches

NoYes

94 (70%)41 (30%)

Bastia

Recent matches

Caen

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bastia

Caen

Shots

Bastia

Total shots

11.50 avg / game

Blocked

219 total

Avg. 3.04

Caen

Total shots

10.43 avg / game

Blocked

163 total

Avg. 3.13

Bastia Pass Caen

Total passes

36749

Avg. 399 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

32520

Avg. 428 / game

Accurate

91%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bastia

133

Played games

Caen

135

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

Clean sheets

0.36

3.91

520

Corners

622

4.61

8.37

1113

Throw-ins

541

4.01

1.53

203

Offsides

145

1.07

1.60

213

GK saves

248

1.84

Bastia

DISCIPLINARY

Caen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.75

233

199

1.47

0.14

0.11

10.33

1374

Fouls

1276

9.45

9.56

1271

Tackles

1110

8.22

NEXT MATCHES

08/07

Bastia

Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bastia vs Caen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bastia vs Caen on 23 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 2 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bastia vs Caen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bastia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 2 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 2 standings and the France Ligue 2 form table to understand exactly where Bastia and Caen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 2 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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