Bastia vs Ajaccio: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 February

Bastia

W W L L W

13th place in France Ligue 2

1-0

05/02/2024 19:45

Ajaccio

W L D L L

15th place in France Ligue 2

France Ligue 2

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bastia vs Ajaccio on 05 February 2024 (kick-off: 19:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bastia vs Ajaccio preview before placing your bet.

Bastia are currently 13th with 50 points after 38 matches.
Ajaccio sit 15th with 46 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 31%.
Head-to-head history favors Ajaccio, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Bastia have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:45

2024-02-05

Bastia vs Ajaccio - Prediction & Odds

Bastia

Ajaccio

2024-02-05 19:45

STANDINGS UP TO 05/02/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 AJ Auxerre	74	38	21	11	6	72	36	36
02 Angers	68	38	20	8	10	56	42	14
03 Saint Etienne	65	38	19	8	11	48	31	17
04 Rodez Aveyron	60	38	16	12	10	62	51	11
05 Paris FC	59	38	16	11	11	49	42	7
06 Caen	58	38	17	7	14	51	45	6
07 Stade Lavallois MFC	55	38	15	10	13	40	45	-5
08 Amiens	53	38	12	17	9	36	36	0
09 Guingamp	51	38	13	12	13	44	40	4
10 Pau FC	51	38	13	12	13	60	57	3
11 Grenoble	51	38	13	12	13	43	44	-1
12 Bordeaux	50	38	14	9	15	50	52	-2
13 Bastia	50	38	14	9	15	44	48	-4
14 FC Annecy	46	38	12	10	16	49	50	-1
15 Ajaccio	46	38	12	10	16	35	46	-11
16 USL Dunkerque	46	38	12	10	16	36	52	-16
17 Troyes	41	37	9	14	14	42	49	-7
18 Quevilly	38	38	7	17	14	51	55	-4
19 Concarneau	38	38	10	8	20	39	57	-18
20 Valenciennes	26	37	5	11	21	25	54	-29

Head To Head

02/10/2023 18:45

Ajaccio

2 - 0

Bastia

FRA D2

12/03/2022 14:00

Ajaccio

0 - 1

Bastia

FRA D2

25/09/2021 13:00

Bastia

2 - 0

Ajaccio

FRA D2

17/07/2018 15:59

Ajaccio

5 - 1

Bastia

INT CF

16/07/2016 17:00

Bastia

0 - 4

Ajaccio

INT CF

10/07/2015 18:00

Bastia

1 - 1

Ajaccio

INT CF

Bastia

33%

Draw

17%

Ajaccio

50%

Bastia Last 6 matches

27/01/2024 18:00

Valenciennes 3 - 1 Bastia FRA D2

23/01/2024 19:45

Bastia 1 - 2 Caen FRA D2

13/01/2024 18:00

Bastia 2 - 0 Angers FRA D2

06/01/2024 12:00

Monaco B 1 - 1 Bastia INT CF

04/01/2024 15:00

Bastia 2 - 1 AS Furiani Agliani INT CF

19/12/2023 19:45

Saint Etienne 3 - 2 Bastia FRA D2

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Ajaccio

27/01/2024 18:00

Ajaccio 1 - 0 Concarneau FRA D2

23/01/2024 19:45

USL Dunkerque 2 - 0 Ajaccio FRA D2

13/01/2024 18:00

Troyes 3 - 1 Ajaccio FRA D2

19/12/2023 19:45

Ajaccio 2 - 1 Valenciennes FRA D2

16/12/2023 14:00

AJ Auxerre 2 - 0 Ajaccio FRA D2

09/12/2023 13:00

Ajaccio 1 - 2 Orleans US 45 FRAC

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 2

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

182

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

149

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored

114

Avg. per game

0.52

Conceded

131

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 264 matches

YesNo

124 (47%)140 (53%)

In last 264 matches

NoYes

87 (40%)131 (60%)

Bastia

Recent matches

Ajaccio

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bastia

Ajaccio

Shots

Bastia

Total shots

10.29 avg / game

Blocked

377 total

Avg. 2.60

Ajaccio

Total shots

8.34 avg / game

Blocked

249 total

Avg. 2.17

Bastia Pass Ajaccio

Total passes

71632

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

55692

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bastia

264

Played games

Ajaccio

218

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.34

3.90

1029

Corners

761

3.49

7.88

2079

Throw-ins

1325

6.08

1.35

357

Offsides

334

1.53

1.67

441

GK saves

409

1.88

Bastia

DISCIPLINARY

Ajaccio

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.84

486

381

1.75

0.13

0.15

10.41

2749

Fouls

2567

11.78

10.22

2699

Tackles

2182

10.01

NEXT MATCHES

08/07

Bastia

Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Bastia vs Ajaccio Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bastia vs Ajaccio on 05 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 2 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bastia vs Ajaccio Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bastia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Ajaccio's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 2 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 2 standings and the France Ligue 2 form table to understand exactly where Bastia and Ajaccio sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 2 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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