Basingstoke Town vs Merthyr Town: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 April

Basingstoke Town

D L L D W

15th place in England Southern Premier League

4-0

26/04/2025 10:00

Merthyr Town

W L L W W

1st place in England Southern Premier League

England Southern Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Basingstoke Town vs Merthyr Town on 26 April 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Basingstoke Town vs Merthyr Town preview before placing your bet.

Basingstoke Town are currently 15th with 48 points after 42 matches.
Merthyr Town sit 1st with 91 points from 42 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Merthyr Town to win with probability 48%.
Head-to-head history favors Merthyr Town, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Basingstoke Town have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2025-04-26

Basingstoke Town vs Merthyr Town - Prediction & Odds

Basingstoke Town

Merthyr Town

2025-04-26 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 26/04/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Merthyr Town	91	42	27	10	5	105	46	59
02 AFC Totton	88	42	25	13	4	85	35	50
03 Walton Hersham	83	42	24	11	7	90	54	36
04 Gloucester City	77	42	21	14	7	81	53	28
05 Dorchester Town	75	42	19	18	5	75	48	27
06 Havant Waterlooville	74	42	21	11	10	84	49	35
07 Hungerford Town	59	42	16	11	15	63	55	8
08 Hanwell Town	58	42	15	13	14	58	62	-4
09 Taunton Town	57	42	13	18	11	64	58	6
10 Wimborne Town	57	42	15	12	15	49	56	-7
11 Sholing FC	52	42	14	10	18	59	68	-9
12 Gosport Borough	51	42	13	12	17	53	61	-8
13 Plymouth Parkway	50	42	14	8	20	63	77	-14
14 Poole Town	49	42	13	10	19	48	62	-14
15 Basingstoke Town	48	42	11	15	16	62	64	-2
16 Chertsey Town	47	42	14	5	23	67	82	-15
17 Tiverton Town	47	42	12	11	19	39	71	-32
18 Bracknell Town	46	42	11	13	18	57	72	-15
19 Winchester City	46	42	12	10	20	54	74	-20
20 Swindon Supermarine	44	42	12	8	22	60	78	-18
21 Frome Town	40	42	9	13	20	39	60	-21
22 Marlow	21	42	5	6	31	45	115	-70

Head To Head

04/02/2025 15:45

Merthyr Town

1 - 1

Basingstoke Town

ENG-S PR

06/01/2024 11:00

Merthyr Town

4 - 1

Basingstoke Town

ENG-S PR

03/10/2023 14:45

Basingstoke Town

1 - 3

Merthyr Town

ENG-S PR

19/01/2019 11:00

Merthyr Town

1 - 0

Basingstoke Town

ENG-S PR

17/11/2018 11:00

Basingstoke Town

0 - 3

Merthyr Town

ENG-S PR

19/12/2017 15:45

Merthyr Town

1 - 1

Basingstoke Town

ENG-S PR

Basingstoke Town

Draw

33%

Merthyr Town

67%

Basingstoke Town Last 6 matches

18/04/2025 10:00

Basingstoke Town 0 - 0 AFC Totton ENG-S PR

12/04/2025 10:00

Wimborne Town 1 - 0 Basingstoke Town ENG-S PR

05/04/2025 10:30

Basingstoke Town 0 - 1 Gosport Borough ENG-S PR

29/03/2025 11:00

Walton Hersham 1 - 1 Basingstoke Town ENG-S PR

22/03/2025 11:00

Basingstoke Town 0 - 1 Frome Town ENG-S PR

15/03/2025 11:00

Sholing FC 2 - 2 Basingstoke Town ENG-S PR

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Merthyr Town

18/04/2025 10:00

Sholing FC 0 - 3 Merthyr Town ENG-S PR

12/04/2025 10:10

Merthyr Town 1 - 2 Poole Town ENG-S PR

05/04/2025 10:00

Hanwell Town 2 - 1 Merthyr Town ENG-S PR

29/03/2025 11:00

Winchester City 1 - 3 Merthyr Town ENG-S PR

22/03/2025 11:00

Merthyr Town 3 - 1 Chertsey Town ENG-S PR

15/03/2025 11:00

Gosport Borough 1 - 3 Merthyr Town ENG-S PR

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Southern Premi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

139

Avg. per game

0.86

Conceded

153

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored

266

Avg. per game

1.02

Conceded

252

Avg. per game

0.96

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 161 matches

YesNo

94 (58%)67 (42%)

In last 161 matches

NoYes

155 (59%)107 (41%)

Basingstoke Town

Recent matches

Merthyr Town

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

/Yes

(73%)33 12(27%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(73%)33 12(27%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Basingstoke Town

Merthyr Town

Shots

Basingstoke Town

Total shots

10.71 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Merthyr Town

Total shots

11.70 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Basingstoke Town Pass Merthyr Town

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Basingstoke Town

161

Played games

Merthyr Town

262

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.18

Clean sheets

0.17

1.63

263

Corners

543

2.07

0.00

Throw-ins

0.07

0.04

Offsides

0.02

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Basingstoke Town

DISCIPLINARY

Merthyr Town

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.60

158

0.60

0.05

0.04

0.15

Fouls

0.08

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Basingstoke Town vs Merthyr Town Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Basingstoke Town vs Merthyr Town on 26 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Southern Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Basingstoke Town vs Merthyr Town Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Basingstoke Town's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Merthyr Town's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Southern Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Southern Premier League standings and the England Southern Premier League form table to understand exactly where Basingstoke Town and Merthyr Town sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Southern Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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