Basel vs Thun: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 02 May

Basel
WLWWD
4th place in League
1
3-1
FT
02/05/2026 14:30
Thun
DWWLL
1st place in League
Swiss Super League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Basel vs Thun on 02 May 2026 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Basel vs Thun preview before placing your bet.

  • Basel will face Thun in Swiss Super League on May 2, 2026 at 14:30.
  • Basel are currently 4th with 53 points after 33 matches.
  • Thun sit 1st with 74 points from 33 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 2 - 2 and average coefficient 2.29.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
14:30

2026-05-02

Basel vs Thun - Prediction & Odds

Basel
Basel
Thun
Thun
2026-05-02 14:30
41
23
36
1
2 - 2
2 - 2
3.50
2.29
FT
3-1 1-1
-
weather
21℃～22℃
STANDINGS UP TO 02/05/2026
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Thun Thun
74 33 24 2 7 75 37 38
02 St. Gallen St. Gallen
60 33 17 9 7 64 40 24
03 Lugano Lugano
57 33 16 9 8 50 38 12
04 Basel Basel
53 33 15 8 10 51 45 6
05 FC Sion FC Sion
52 33 13 13 7 51 35 16
06 Young Boys Young Boys
48 33 13 9 11 65 60 5
07 Luzern Luzern
40 33 10 10 13 64 61 3
08 Servette Servette
40 33 9 13 11 57 57 0
09 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports
39 33 10 9 14 47 57 -10
10 FC Zurich FC Zurich
34 33 10 4 19 45 63 -18
11 Grasshopper Grasshopper
27 33 6 9 18 40 65 -25
12 Winterthur Winterthur
19 33 4 7 22 35 86 -51
Championship Group PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Thun Thun
75 5 0 1 4 5 15 -10
02 St. Gallen St. Gallen
70 5 3 1 1 8 7 1
03 Lugano Lugano
67 5 3 1 1 9 4 5
04 FC Sion FC Sion
63 5 3 2 0 12 5 7
05 Basel Basel
56 5 1 0 4 4 13 -9
06 Young Boys Young Boys
55 5 2 1 2 15 9 6
Relegation PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Servette Servette
53 5 4 1 0 14 6 8
02 Luzern Luzern
53 5 4 1 0 12 5 7
03 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports
42 5 1 0 4 6 10 -4
04 FC Zurich FC Zurich
38 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5
05 Grasshopper Grasshopper
33 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1
06 Winterthur Winterthur
23 5 1 1 3 9 14 -5
Head To Head
18/04/2026 14:30
Thun Thun
3 - 1
Basel Basel
SUI SL
01/02/2026 11:30
Basel Basel
1 - 2
Thun Thun
SUI SL
13/09/2025 12:00
Thun Thun
1 - 3
Basel Basel
SUI SL
11/01/2025 10:00
Basel Basel
2 - 0
Thun Thun
INT CF
27/06/2021 08:30
Basel Basel
2 - 3
Thun Thun
INT CF
09/01/2021 06:00
Basel Basel
2 - 2
Thun Thun
INT CF
Thun
2
33%
Draw
1
17%
Basel
3
50%
Basel Basel Last 6 matches
26/04/2026 08:00
Basel 0 - 2 FC Sion
SUI SL
18/04/2026 14:30
Thun 3 - 1 Basel
SUI SL
04/04/2026 14:30
Basel 3 - 3 Young Boys
SUI SL
26/03/2026 08:00
Basel 2 - 5 Vaduz
INT CF
22/03/2026 09:00
Winterthur 0 - 2 Basel
SUI SL
15/03/2026 11:30
Basel 3 - 1 Servette
SUI SL
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Thun Thun
25/04/2026 14:30
Thun 0 - 1 Lugano
SUI SL
18/04/2026 14:30
Thun 3 - 1 Basel
SUI SL
04/04/2026 12:00
Lugano 1 - 0 Thun
SUI SL
21/03/2026 13:00
FC Zurich 2 - 1 Thun
SUI SL
14/03/2026 13:00
Thun 5 - 1 Grasshopper
SUI SL
08/03/2026 11:30
Young Boys 1 - 2 Thun
SUI SL
Win
50%
Draw
0%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Swiss Super League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Basel
Basel
52
 Thun
Thun
39
Goals
Scored
42
Avg. per game
0.81
Conceded
42
Avg. per game
0.81
Scored
46
Avg. per game
1.18
Conceded
28
Avg. per game
0.72
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 52 matches
YesNo
32 (62%)20 (38%)
In last 52 matches
NoYes
27 (69%)12 (31%)
Basel

Basel

Recent matches

Thun

Thun

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)32 7(18%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)19 20(51%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(54%)21 18(46%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)27 12(31%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Basel Basel
Thun Thun
Shots
Basel
Basel
Total shots
15.12 avg / game
Blocked
191 total
Avg. 4.34
Thun
Thun
Total shots
17.08 avg / game
Blocked
172 total
Avg. 4.78
Basel Basel Pass Thun Thun
Total passes
20920
Avg. 445 / game
Accurate
82%
Ball possession
54%
Total passes
11723
Avg. 317 / game
Accurate
71%
Ball possession
47%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Basel
Basel
4998
Avg. 96.12 / game
 Thun
Thun
3383
Avg. 86.74 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Basel
Basel
2555
Avg. 49.13 / game
 Thun
Thun
2200
Avg. 56.41 / game
OTHERS
Basel
Basel
52
Played games
Thun
Thun
39
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.19
10
Clean sheets
6
0.15
5.31
276
Corners
223
5.72
19.63
1021
Throw-ins
800
20.51
1.62
84
Offsides
79
2.03
3.40
177
GK saves
121
3.10
Basel
Basel
DISCIPLINARY
Thun
Thun
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.83
95
Yellow card
88
2.26
0.06
3
Red card
4
0.10
10.35
538
Fouls
578
14.82
9.40
489
Tackles
419
10.74
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How We Build the Basel vs Thun Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Basel vs Thun on 02 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Basel vs Thun Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Basel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Thun's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Basel and Thun sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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