Basel vs Luzern: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 May

Basel

L W W W W

1st place in League

4-0

24/05/2025 12:00

Luzern

L W D L W

4th place in League

Swiss Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Basel vs Luzern on 24 May 2025 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Basel vs Luzern preview before placing your bet.

Basel are currently 1st with 61 points after 33 matches.
Luzern sit 4th with 51 points from 33 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Basel to win with probability 49%.
Head-to-head history favors Basel, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Luzern have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2025-05-24

Basel vs Luzern - Prediction & Odds

Basel

Luzern

2025-05-24 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 24/05/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Basel	61	33	18	7	8	72	32	40
02 Servette	55	33	15	10	8	52	43	9
03 Young Boys	53	33	15	8	10	49	42	7
04 Luzern	51	33	14	9	10	61	51	10
05 Lugano	49	33	14	7	12	48	47	1
06 Lausanne Sports	47	33	13	8	12	52	44	8
07 St. Gallen	47	33	12	11	10	46	43	3
08 FC Zurich	47	33	13	8	12	44	48	-4
09 FC Sion	36	33	9	9	15	41	51	-10
10 Grasshopper	33	33	7	12	14	35	46	-11
11 Yverdon	33	33	8	9	16	33	57	-24
12 Winterthur	30	33	8	6	19	32	61	-29

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Basel	73	5	4	0	1	19	11	8
02 Servette	63	5	2	2	1	12	12	0
03 Young Boys	61	5	2	2	1	11	7	4
04 Lugano	54	5	1	2	2	7	11	-4
05 Lausanne Sports	53	5	1	3	1	10	10	0
06 Luzern	52	5	0	1	4	5	13	-8

Relegation Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Zurich	53	5	2	0	3	12	9	3
02 St. Gallen	52	5	1	2	2	6	10	-4
03 FC Sion	44	5	2	2	1	6	6	0
04 Winterthur	40	5	3	1	1	11	7	4
05 Grasshopper	39	5	2	0	3	8	7	1
06 Yverdon	39	5	1	3	1	7	11	-4

Head To Head

09/03/2025 11:30

Luzern

1 - 1

Basel

SUI SL

06/02/2025 15:30

Basel

2 - 1

Luzern

SUI SL

29/09/2024 10:30

Luzern

1 - 0

Basel

SUI SL

05/05/2024 08:15

Basel

1 - 1

Luzern

SUI SL

21/04/2024 10:30

Luzern

1 - 1

Basel

SUI SL

17/12/2023 11:30

Luzern

0 - 1

Basel

SUI SL

Basel

33%

Draw

50%

Luzern

17%

Basel Last 6 matches

14/05/2025 14:30

Lausanne Sports 2 - 3 Basel SUI SL

10/05/2025 14:30

Lugano 2 - 5 Basel SUI SL

04/05/2025 10:30

Basel 5 - 1 Servette SUI SL

27/04/2025 09:30

Basel 2 - 2 Lausanne Sports SUI Cup

21/04/2025 10:30

Basel 5 - 0 Yverdon SUI SL

12/04/2025 14:30

FC Zurich 0 - 4 Basel SUI SL

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Luzern

15/05/2025 14:30

Young Boys 2 - 1 Luzern SUI SL

11/05/2025 08:15

Luzern 1 - 1 Lausanne Sports SUI SL

04/05/2025 10:30

Luzern 0 - 2 Lugano SUI SL

21/04/2025 10:30

Servette 2 - 1 Luzern SUI SL

13/04/2025 10:30

Luzern 5 - 0 Young Boys SUI SL

06/04/2025 10:30

Grasshopper 3 - 1 Luzern SUI SL

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Super League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

240

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

215

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

213

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

164 (55%)136 (45%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

155 (52%)145 (48%)

Basel

Recent matches

Luzern

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(96%)43 2(4%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(73%)33 12(27%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Basel

Luzern

Shots

Basel

Total shots

12.92 avg / game

Blocked

552 total

Avg. 3.63

Luzern

Total shots

12.89 avg / game

Blocked

499 total

Avg. 3.78

Basel Pass Luzern

Total passes

100023

Avg. 447 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

73419

Avg. 388 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Basel

300

Played games

Luzern

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.22

4.84

1452

Corners

1557

5.19

7.90

2371

Throw-ins

2071

6.90

1.46

438

Offsides

440

1.47

2.61

784

GK saves

736

2.45

Basel

DISCIPLINARY

Luzern

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

542

578

1.93

0.10

0.10

9.25

2774

Fouls

2716

9.05

9.92

2977

Tackles

2706

9.02

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Basel vs Luzern Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Basel vs Luzern on 24 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Basel vs Luzern Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Basel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Luzern's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Basel and Luzern sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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