Basel vs Luzern: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 January

Basel

W L L D D

5th place in Swiss Super League

2 - 3

28/01/2023 19:30

Luzern

L D L D W

4th place in Swiss Super League

Swiss Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Basel vs Luzern on 28 January 2023 (kick-off: 19:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Basel vs Luzern preview before placing your bet.

Basel are currently 5th with 47 points after 36 matches.
Luzern sit 4th with 50 points from 36 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 28/01/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Young Boys	74	36	21	11	4	82	30	52
02 Servette	58	36	14	16	6	53	46	7
03 Lugano	57	36	15	12	9	59	47	12
04 Luzern	50	36	13	11	12	54	52	2
05 Basel	47	36	11	14	11	51	50	1
06 St. Gallen	45	36	11	12	13	66	52	14
07 Grasshopper	44	36	12	8	16	56	64	-8
08 FC Zurich	44	36	10	14	12	41	55	-14
09 Winterthur	32	36	8	8	20	32	66	-34
10 FC Sion	31	36	7	10	19	41	73	-32

Basel Last 6 matches

25/07/2026 23:00

Servette 0 - 1 Basel Switzerland Super League

18/07/2026 20:30

Basel 0 - 0 Juventus International Club Friendly

11/07/2026 18:00

Basel 2 - 2 Winterthur International Club Friendly

08/07/2026 19:00

Basel 0 - 3 Yverdon International Club Friendly

26/06/2026 23:00

FC Rapperswil-Jona 0 - 3 Basel International Club Friendly

17/05/2026 21:30

Lugano 4 - 0 Basel Switzerland Super League

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Luzern

26/07/2026 01:30

Luzern 1 - 3 Thun Switzerland Super League

18/07/2026 19:30

Luzern 1 - 2 Sint-Truidense International Club Friendly

10/07/2026 19:00

FC Wil 1900 0 - 2 Luzern International Club Friendly

04/07/2026 21:00

Luzern 3 - 2 Winterthur International Club Friendly

27/06/2026 21:00

Luzern 3 - 2 Stade Ouchy International Club Friendly

16/05/2026 23:00

Winterthur 0 - 3 Luzern Switzerland Super League

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Super League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

240

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

215

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

213

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

164 (55%)136 (45%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

155 (52%)145 (48%)

Basel

Recent matches

Luzern

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(96%)43 2(4%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(73%)33 12(27%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Basel

Luzern

Shots

Basel

Total shots

12.92 avg / game

Blocked

552 total

Avg. 3.63

Luzern

Total shots

12.89 avg / game

Blocked

499 total

Avg. 3.78

Basel Pass Luzern

Total passes

100023

Avg. 447 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

73419

Avg. 388 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Basel

300

Played games

Luzern

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.22

4.84

1452

Corners

1557

5.19

7.90

2371

Throw-ins

2071

6.90

1.46

438

Offsides

440

1.47

2.61

784

GK saves

736

2.45

Basel

DISCIPLINARY

Luzern

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

542

578

1.93

0.10

0.10

9.25

2774

Fouls

2716

9.05

9.92

2977

Tackles

2706

9.02

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Basel vs Luzern Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Basel vs Luzern on 28 January 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Basel vs Luzern Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Basel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Luzern's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Basel and Luzern sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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