Basel vs Luzern: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Basel

D D L W W

9th place in League

1 - 1

28/09/2023 18:30

Luzern

D D W D L

7th place in League

Swiss Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Basel vs Luzern on 28 September 2023 (kick-off: 18:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Basel vs Luzern preview before placing your bet.

Basel are currently 9th with 40 points after 33 matches.
Luzern sit 7th with 44 points from 33 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Basel, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Luzern have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2023

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Young Boys	65	33	19	8	6	67	32	35
02 Lugano	59	33	18	5	10	61	44	17
03 Servette	57	33	16	9	8	53	38	15
04 St. Gallen	50	33	14	8	11	53	44	9
05 Winterthur	49	33	13	10	10	55	56	-1
06 FC Zurich	48	33	12	12	9	44	35	9
07 Luzern	44	33	12	8	13	41	46	-5
08 Lausanne Sports	40	33	10	10	13	43	48	-5
09 Basel	40	33	11	7	15	41	51	-10
10 Yverdon	40	33	11	7	15	43	64	-21
11 Grasshopper	30	33	8	6	19	35	45	-10
12 Stade Ouchy	23	33	5	8	20	33	66	-33

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Young Boys	77	5	4	0	1	9	2	7
02 Lugano	65	5	2	0	3	6	7	-1
03 Servette	64	5	2	1	2	6	5	1
04 FC Zurich	60	5	4	0	1	9	6	3
05 St. Gallen	57	5	2	1	2	7	7	0
06 Winterthur	49	5	0	0	5	5	15	-10

Relegation Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Basel	49	5	2	3	0	4	1	3
02 Luzern	49	5	1	2	2	6	7	-1
03 Yverdon	47	5	2	1	2	7	7	0
04 Lausanne Sports	45	5	1	2	2	5	5	0
05 Grasshopper	38	5	2	2	1	6	4	2
06 Stade Ouchy	29	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4

Head To Head

23/04/2023 12:15

Basel

0 - 2

Luzern

SUI SL

04/03/2023 19:30

Luzern

0 - 1

Basel

SUI SL

28/01/2023 19:30

Basel

2 - 3

Luzern

SUI SL

09/11/2022 19:30

Luzern

0 - 2

Basel

SUI SL

24/04/2022 14:30

Basel

3 - 0

Luzern

SUI SL

30/01/2022 15:30

Luzern

0 - 3

Basel

SUI SL

Basel

67%

Draw

Luzern

33%

Basel Last 6 matches

24/09/2023 12:15

Yverdon 3 - 2 Basel SUI SL

16/09/2023 17:30

FC Bosporus Bern 0 - 8 Basel SUI Cup

03/09/2023 14:30

Basel 2 - 2 FC Zurich SUI SL

20/08/2023 12:00

FC Saint-Blaise 1 - 8 Basel SUI Cup

13/08/2023 12:15

Basel 1 - 2 Lausanne Sports SUI SL

06/08/2023 14:30

Grasshopper 3 - 1 Basel SUI SL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Luzern

24/09/2023 14:30

Luzern 2 - 0 Servette SUI SL

16/09/2023 16:30

Thun 1 - 1 Luzern SUI Cup

07/09/2023 13:30

TSG Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Luzern INT CF

03/09/2023 14:30

Luzern 3 - 2 Lugano SUI SL

27/08/2023 14:30

Grasshopper 0 - 1 Luzern SUI SL

20/08/2023 12:00

FC Winkeln SG 0 - 6 Luzern SUI Cup

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Super League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

240

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

215

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

213

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

164 (55%)136 (45%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

155 (52%)145 (48%)

Basel

Recent matches

Luzern

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(96%)43 2(4%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(73%)33 12(27%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Basel

Luzern

Shots

Basel

Total shots

12.92 avg / game

Blocked

552 total

Avg. 3.63

Luzern

Total shots

12.89 avg / game

Blocked

499 total

Avg. 3.78

Basel Pass Luzern

Total passes

100023

Avg. 447 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

73419

Avg. 388 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Basel

300

Played games

Luzern

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.22

4.84

1452

Corners

1557

5.19

7.90

2371

Throw-ins

2071

6.90

1.46

438

Offsides

440

1.47

2.61

784

GK saves

736

2.45

Basel

DISCIPLINARY

Luzern

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

542

578

1.93

0.10

0.10

9.25

2774

Fouls

2716

9.05

9.92

2977

Tackles

2706

9.02

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Basel vs Luzern Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Basel vs Luzern on 28 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Basel vs Luzern Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Basel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Luzern's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Basel and Luzern sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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