Basel vs Lugano: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 July

Basel

L W W W W

1st place in League

1-2

27/07/2024 14:30

Lugano

W L W L D

5th place in League

Swiss Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Basel vs Lugano on 27 July 2024 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Basel vs Lugano preview before placing your bet.

Basel are currently 1st with 61 points after 33 matches.
Lugano sit 5th with 49 points from 33 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Basel to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Lugano, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Basel have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:30

2024-07-27

Basel vs Lugano - Prediction & Odds

Basel

Lugano

2024-07-27 14:30

STANDINGS UP TO 27/07/2024

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Basel	61	33	18	7	8	72	32	40
02 Servette	55	33	15	10	8	52	43	9
03 Young Boys	53	33	15	8	10	49	42	7
04 Luzern	51	33	14	9	10	61	51	10
05 Lugano	49	33	14	7	12	48	47	1
06 Lausanne Sports	47	33	13	8	12	52	44	8
07 St. Gallen	47	33	12	11	10	46	43	3
08 FC Zurich	47	33	13	8	12	44	48	-4
09 FC Sion	36	33	9	9	15	41	51	-10
10 Grasshopper	33	33	7	12	14	35	46	-11
11 Yverdon	33	33	8	9	16	33	57	-24
12 Winterthur	30	33	8	6	19	32	61	-29

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Basel	73	5	4	0	1	19	11	8
02 Servette	63	5	2	2	1	12	12	0
03 Young Boys	61	5	2	2	1	11	7	4
04 Lugano	54	5	1	2	2	7	11	-4
05 Lausanne Sports	53	5	1	3	1	10	10	0
06 Luzern	52	5	0	1	4	5	13	-8

Relegation Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Zurich	53	5	2	0	3	12	9	3
02 St. Gallen	52	5	1	2	2	6	10	-4
03 FC Sion	44	5	2	2	1	6	6	0
04 Winterthur	40	5	3	1	1	11	7	4
05 Grasshopper	39	5	2	0	3	8	7	1
06 Yverdon	39	5	1	3	1	7	11	-4

Head To Head

02/04/2024 14:30

Lugano

2 - 0

Basel

SUI SL

28/02/2024 15:30

Basel

2 - 2

Lugano

SUI Cup

03/02/2024 15:30

Basel

0 - 1

Lugano

SUI SL

06/12/2023 15:30

Lugano

1 - 3

Basel

SUI SL

21/05/2023 10:30

Basel

1 - 1

Lugano

SUI SL

26/02/2023 11:30

Lugano

2 - 2

Basel

SUI SL

Basel

17%

Draw

50%

Lugano

33%

Basel Last 6 matches

13/07/2024 09:00

Basel 1 - 1 SSV Ulm 1846 INT CF

10/07/2024 10:00

Basel 4 - 0 Bellinzona INT CF

06/07/2024 09:00

Basel 2 - 1 Gornik Zabrze INT CF

05/07/2024 09:20

Basel 1 - 1 Eintracht Braunschweig INT CF

21/05/2024 14:30

Basel 0 - 0 Yverdon SUI SL

18/05/2024 11:59

Grasshopper 0 - 1 Basel SUI SL

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Lugano

20/07/2024 11:59

Lugano 2 - 1 Grasshopper SUI SL

17/07/2024 12:30

Inter Milan 3 - 2 Lugano INT CF

13/07/2024 13:00

Lugano 3 - 1 Parma INT CF

06/07/2024 08:00

Lugano 0 - 1 Aarau INT CF

03/07/2024 11:30

Bellinzona 1 - 5 Lugano INT CF

29/06/2024 05:00

Lugano 2 - 0 Stade Nyonnais INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Super League

Played games

Goals

Scored

323

Avg. per game

1.86

Conceded

221

Avg. per game

1.27

Scored

264

Avg. per game

1.62

Conceded

216

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 174 home matches

YesNo

146 (84%)28 (16%)

In last 174 home matches

NoYes

136 (83%)27 (17%)

Basel

Recent matches

Lugano

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)32 13(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Basel

Lugano

Shots

Basel

Total shots

13.33 avg / game

Blocked

289 total

Avg. 3.85

Lugano

Total shots

12.60 avg / game

Blocked

245 total

Avg. 3.55

Basel Pass Lugano

Total passes

51803

Avg. 454 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

49758

Avg. 469 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Basel

174

Played games

Lugano

163

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.28

5.02

874

Corners

684

4.20

7.19

1251

Throw-ins

1105

6.78

1.53

266

Offsides

259

1.59

2.25

391

GK saves

376

2.31

Basel

DISCIPLINARY

Lugano

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.61

281

333

2.04

0.10

0.07

9.05

1575

Fouls

1491

9.15

8.85

1540

Tackles

1354

8.31

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Basel vs Lugano Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Basel vs Lugano on 27 July 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Basel vs Lugano Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Basel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lugano's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Basel and Lugano sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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