Basel vs Lugano: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 May

Basel

W L L D D

5th place in Swiss Super League

1 - 1

21/05/2023 10:30

Lugano

W D W D W

3rd place in Swiss Super League

Swiss Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Basel vs Lugano on 21 May 2023 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Basel vs Lugano preview before placing your bet.

Basel are currently 5th with 47 points after 36 matches.
Lugano sit 3rd with 57 points from 36 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Basel, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Lugano have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 21/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Young Boys	74	36	21	11	4	82	30	52
02 Servette	58	36	14	16	6	53	46	7
03 Lugano	57	36	15	12	9	59	47	12
04 Luzern	50	36	13	11	12	54	52	2
05 Basel	47	36	11	14	11	51	50	1
06 St. Gallen	45	36	11	12	13	66	52	14
07 Grasshopper	44	36	12	8	16	56	64	-8
08 FC Zurich	44	36	10	14	12	41	55	-14
09 Winterthur	32	36	8	8	20	32	66	-34
10 FC Sion	31	36	7	10	19	41	73	-32

Head To Head

26/02/2023 11:30

Lugano

2 - 2

Basel

SUI SL

09/10/2022 10:30

Lugano

1 - 0

Basel

SUI SL

14/08/2022 10:30

Basel

0 - 2

Lugano

SUI SL

22/05/2022 10:30

Basel

2 - 1

Lugano

SUI SL

06/03/2022 09:15

Lugano

0 - 2

Basel

SUI SL

12/01/2022 08:30

Lugano

1 - 2

Basel

INT CF

Basel

50%

Draw

17%

Lugano

33%

Basel Last 6 matches

18/05/2023 15:00

Basel 1 - 2 Fiorentina UEFA ECL

14/05/2023 10:30

St. Gallen 6 - 1 Basel SUI SL

11/05/2023 15:00

Fiorentina 1 - 2 Basel UEFA ECL

07/05/2023 10:30

Basel 0 - 2 FC Zurich SUI SL

30/04/2023 10:30

Winterthur 1 - 4 Basel SUI SL

27/04/2023 14:30

FC Sion 1 - 2 Basel SUI SL

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Lugano

14/05/2023 10:30

Lugano 2 - 1 Winterthur SUI SL

07/05/2023 08:15

Luzern 2 - 2 Lugano SUI SL

29/04/2023 14:30

Lugano 5 - 1 Grasshopper SUI SL

26/04/2023 14:30

St. Gallen 1 - 2 Lugano SUI SL

23/04/2023 10:30

Lugano 2 - 0 FC Sion SUI SL

15/04/2023 11:59

Servette 0 - 0 Lugano SUI SL

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Super League

Played games

Goals

Scored

323

Avg. per game

1.87

Conceded

220

Avg. per game

1.27

Scored

264

Avg. per game

1.62

Conceded

216

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 173 home matches

YesNo

146 (84%)27 (16%)

In last 173 home matches

NoYes

136 (83%)27 (17%)

Basel

Recent matches

Lugano

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)32 13(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Basel

Lugano

Shots

Basel

Total shots

13.33 avg / game

Blocked

286 total

Avg. 3.86

Lugano

Total shots

12.60 avg / game

Blocked

245 total

Avg. 3.55

Basel Pass Lugano

Total passes

51350

Avg. 454 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

49758

Avg. 469 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Basel

173

Played games

Lugano

163

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.28

5.01

867

Corners

684

4.20

7.08

1224

Throw-ins

1105

6.78

1.53

265

Offsides

259

1.59

2.26

391

GK saves

376

2.31

Basel

DISCIPLINARY

Lugano

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.61

279

333

2.04

0.10

0.07

9.01

1559

Fouls

1491

9.15

8.86

1533

Tackles

1354

8.31

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Basel vs Lugano Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Basel vs Lugano on 21 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Basel vs Lugano Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Basel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lugano's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Basel and Lugano sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Swiss Super League Predictions

Find every upcoming Swiss Super League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less