Basel vs Fiorentina: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 May

Basel

L W L W W

2nd place in Group H

1-2

AET 2-5

18/05/2023 15:00

Fiorentina

W L L D W

2nd place in Group A

UEFA Europa Conference League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Basel vs Fiorentina on 18 May 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Basel vs Fiorentina preview before placing your bet.

Basel are currently 2nd with 11 points after 6 matches.
Fiorentina sit 2nd with 13 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Fiorentina to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history favors Basel, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Fiorentina have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2023-05-18

Basel vs Fiorentina - Prediction & Odds

Basel

Fiorentina

2023-05-18 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 18/05/2023

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Istanbul Basaksehir	13	6	4	1	1	14	3	11
02 Fiorentina	13	6	4	1	1	14	6	8
03 Heart of Midlothian	6	6	2	0	4	6	16	-10
04 Rigas Futbola skola	2	6	0	2	4	2	11	-9

Group H	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Slovan Bratislava	11	6	3	2	1	9	7	2
02 Basel	11	6	3	2	1	11	9	2
03 FC Pyunik	6	6	2	0	4	8	9	-1
04 FK Zalgiris Vilnius	5	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3

Head To Head

11/05/2023 15:00

Fiorentina

1 - 2

Basel

UEFA ECL

26/11/2015 14:00

Basel

2 - 2

Fiorentina

UEFA EL

17/09/2015 15:05

Fiorentina

1 - 2

Basel

UEFA EL

Basel

67%

Draw

33%

Fiorentina

Basel Last 6 matches

14/05/2023 10:30

St. Gallen 6 - 1 Basel SUI SL

11/05/2023 15:00

Fiorentina 1 - 2 Basel UEFA ECL

07/05/2023 10:30

Basel 0 - 2 FC Zurich SUI SL

30/04/2023 10:30

Winterthur 1 - 4 Basel SUI SL

27/04/2023 14:30

FC Sion 1 - 2 Basel SUI SL

23/04/2023 08:15

Basel 0 - 2 Luzern SUI SL

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Fiorentina

14/05/2023 09:00

Fiorentina 2 - 0 Udinese ITA D1

11/05/2023 15:00

Fiorentina 1 - 2 Basel UEFA ECL

07/05/2023 11:59

Napoli 1 - 0 Fiorentina ITA D1

03/05/2023 11:59

Salernitana 3 - 3 Fiorentina ITA D1

30/04/2023 11:59

Fiorentina 5 - 0 Sampdoria ITA D1

27/04/2023 15:00

Fiorentina 0 - 0 Cremonese ITA Cup

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa Conference...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

239

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

230

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

164

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

163 (54%)137 (46%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

153 (51%)147 (49%)

Basel

Recent matches

Fiorentina

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Basel

Fiorentina

Shots

Basel

Total shots

12.94 avg / game

Blocked

555 total

Avg. 3.63

Fiorentina

Total shots

14.50 avg / game

Blocked

863 total

Avg. 3.90

Basel Pass Fiorentina

Total passes

100476

Avg. 447 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

120046

Avg. 464 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Basel

300

Played games

Fiorentina

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.29

4.86

1458

Corners

1584

5.28

7.99

2398

Throw-ins

4245

14.15

1.46

439

Offsides

475

1.58

2.61

784

GK saves

678

2.26

Basel

DISCIPLINARY

Fiorentina

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

542

628

2.09

0.10

0.06

9.30

2790

Fouls

3379

11.26

9.95

2984

Tackles

3204

10.68

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Basel vs Fiorentina Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Basel vs Fiorentina on 18 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Basel vs Fiorentina Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Basel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Fiorentina's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa Conference League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa Conference League standings and the UEFA Europa Conference League form table to understand exactly where Basel and Fiorentina sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa Conference League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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