Bari vs Padova: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 October

Bari

W L L L W

17th place in Italian Serie B

2-1

04/10/2025 09:00

Padova

L W W L W

9th place in Italian Serie B

Italian Serie B

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bari vs Padova on 04 October 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bari vs Padova preview before placing your bet.

Bari are currently 17th with 40 points after 38 matches.
Padova sit 9th with 46 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bari to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors Bari, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Padova have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2025-10-04

Bari vs Padova - Prediction & Odds

Bari

Padova

2025-10-04 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Venezia	82	38	24	10	4	77	31	46
02 Frosinone	81	38	23	12	3	76	34	42
03 Monza	76	38	22	10	6	61	32	29
04 Palermo	72	38	20	12	6	61	33	28
05 Catanzaro	59	38	15	14	9	62	51	11
06 Modena	55	38	15	10	13	49	36	13
07 Juve Stabia	51	38	11	18	9	44	45	-1
08 Avellino	49	38	13	10	15	43	55	-12
09 Padova	46	38	12	10	16	39	49	-10
10 Cesena	46	38	12	10	16	45	56	-11
11 Mantova	46	38	13	7	18	45	57	-12
12 Carrarese	44	38	10	14	14	47	52	-5
13 Sampdoria	44	38	11	11	16	35	48	-13
14 ACD Virtus Entella	42	38	10	12	16	36	51	-15
15 Empoli	41	38	9	14	15	47	54	-7
16 SudTirol	41	38	8	17	13	38	48	-10
17 Bari	40	38	10	10	18	38	60	-22
18 A.C. Reggiana 1919	37	38	9	10	19	36	56	-20
19 Pescara	35	38	7	14	17	51	66	-15
20 Spezia	35	38	8	11	19	43	59	-16

Head To Head

31/07/2022 15:00

Bari

3 - 0

Padova

ITA Cup

26/04/2014 09:00

Padova

1 - 2

Bari

ITA D2

23/11/2013 10:00

Bari

2 - 2

Padova

ITA D2

19/03/2013 15:45

Bari

3 - 0

Padova

ITA D2

27/10/2012 09:00

Padova

1 - 1

Bari

ITA D2

31/01/2012 15:45

Bari

3 - 1

Padova

ITA D2

Bari

67%

Draw

33%

Padova

Bari Last 6 matches

30/09/2025 14:30

ACD Virtus Entella 2 - 2 Bari ITA D2

27/09/2025 13:30

Bari 1 - 1 Sampdoria ITA D2

19/09/2025 15:00

Palermo 2 - 0 Bari ITA D2

13/09/2025 09:00

Modena 3 - 0 Bari ITA D2

31/08/2025 15:00

Bari 1 - 1 Monza ITA D2

24/08/2025 13:00

Venezia 2 - 1 Bari ITA D2

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Padova

30/09/2025 14:30

Padova 2 - 2 Avellino ITA D2

27/09/2025 11:15

Monza 0 - 1 Padova ITA D2

21/09/2025 13:30

Padova 2 - 1 ACD Virtus Entella ITA D2

13/09/2025 09:00

Padova 0 - 1 Frosinone ITA D2

31/08/2025 13:00

Carrarese 0 - 0 Padova ITA D2

23/08/2025 13:00

Empoli 3 - 1 Padova ITA D2

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie B

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

168

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

116

Avg. per game

0.45

Scored

184

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

123

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 256 matches

YesNo

125 (49%)131 (51%)

In last 256 matches

NoYes

140 (48%)150 (52%)

Bari

Recent matches

Padova

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bari

Padova

Shots

Bari

Total shots

11.19 avg / game

Blocked

326 total

Avg. 3.54

Padova

Total shots

10.65 avg / game

Blocked

121 total

Avg. 3.27

Bari Pass Padova

Total passes

63381

Avg. 394 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

14932

Avg. 393 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bari

256

Played games

Padova

290

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

118

0.41

4.69

1200

Corners

1366

4.71

7.57

1938

Throw-ins

713

2.46

0.77

196

Offsides

0.27

2.10

538

GK saves

142

0.49

Bari

DISCIPLINARY

Padova

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.39

612

609

2.10

0.10

0.10

8.94

2289

Fouls

628

2.17

7.02

1798

Tackles

390

1.34

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bari vs Padova Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bari vs Padova on 04 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie B fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bari vs Padova Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bari's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Padova's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie B Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie B standings and the Italian Serie B form table to understand exactly where Bari and Padova sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie B predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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