Bahia vs Vitoria BA: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

Bahia

L W W D D

5th place in Brazil Serie A

1-1

11/03/2026 19:00

Vitoria BA

W L W D L

13th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bahia vs Vitoria BA on 11 March 2026 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bahia vs Vitoria BA preview before placing your bet.

Bahia are currently 5th with 32 points after 21 matches.
Vitoria BA sit 13th with 26 points from 21 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bahia to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history favors Bahia, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Vitoria BA have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2026-03-11

Bahia vs Vitoria BA - Prediction & Odds

Bahia

Vitoria BA

2026-03-11 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	47	21	14	5	2	38	16	22
02 Flamengo	39	20	11	6	3	37	18	19
03 Atletico Paranaense	37	21	11	4	6	28	19	9
04 Fluminense RJ	34	21	9	7	5	30	25	5
05 Bahia	32	21	8	8	5	29	25	4
06 Bragantino	31	20	9	4	7	26	20	6
07 Cruzeiro	30	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3
08 Botafogo RJ	29	20	8	5	7	34	32	2
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	29	21	7	8	6	22	20	2
10 Atletico Mineiro	28	20	8	4	8	25	25	0
11 Coritiba PR	27	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3
12 Sao Paulo	26	20	7	5	8	25	23	2
13 Vitoria BA	26	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9
14 Mirassol	23	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4
15 Santos	22	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4
16 Internacional RS	22	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4
17 Gremio (RS)	22	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4
18 Vasco da Gama	21	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8
19 Remo Belem (PA)	21	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10
20 Chapecoense SC	10	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22

Head To Head

07/03/2026 16:00

Bahia

2 - 1

Vitoria BA

BRA CBD

25/01/2026 15:00

Vitoria BA

0 - 1

Bahia

BRA CBD

16/10/2025 20:30

Vitoria BA

2 - 1

Bahia

BRA D1

18/05/2025 15:00

Bahia

2 - 1

Vitoria BA

BRA D1

23/03/2025 15:00

Vitoria BA

1 - 1

Bahia

BRA CBD

16/03/2025 17:00

Bahia

2 - 0

Vitoria BA

BRA CBD

Bahia

67%

Draw

17%

Vitoria BA

17%

Bahia Last 6 matches

07/03/2026 16:00

Bahia 2 - 1 Vitoria BA BRA CBD

28/02/2026 16:00

Bahia 4 - 2 Juazeirense BRA CBD

25/02/2026 18:00

Bahia 2 - 1 O.Higgins CON CLA

21/02/2026 19:00

Alagoinhas Atletico BA 2 - 4 Bahia BRA CBD

18/02/2026 18:00

O.Higgins 1 - 0 Bahia CON CLA

14/02/2026 15:00

Bahia 2 - 2 EC Jacuipense BRA CBD

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Vitoria BA

07/03/2026 16:00

Bahia 2 - 1 Vitoria BA BRA CBD

01/03/2026 16:00

Vitoria BA 1 - 1 EC Jacuipense BRA CBD

22/02/2026 15:00

Vitoria BA 3 - 0 Galicia BA BRA CBD

18/02/2026 18:15

Vitoria BA 1 - 0 Bahia de Feira BA BRA CBD

10/02/2026 20:30

Vitoria BA 1 - 2 Flamengo BRA D1

07/02/2026 15:00

Jequie BA 2 - 2 Vitoria BA BRA CBD

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

227

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

202

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

154 (51%)146 (49%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

144 (48%)156 (52%)

Bahia

Recent matches

Vitoria BA

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bahia

Vitoria BA

Shots

Bahia

Total shots

12.63 avg / game

Blocked

541 total

Avg. 3.30

Vitoria BA

Total shots

11.82 avg / game

Blocked

409 total

Avg. 3.10

Bahia Pass Vitoria BA

Total passes

82312

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

57898

Avg. 347 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bahia

300

Played games

Vitoria BA

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

102

Clean sheets

114

0.38

5.12

1537

Corners

1417

4.72

8.27

2481

Throw-ins

1745

5.82

0.93

280

Offsides

230

0.77

1.82

545

GK saves

489

1.63

Bahia

DISCIPLINARY

Vitoria BA

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.88

563

681

2.27

0.09

0.11

8.15

2444

Fouls

2251

7.50

8.77

2632

Tackles

2141

7.14

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bahia vs Vitoria BA Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bahia vs Vitoria BA on 11 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bahia vs Vitoria BA Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bahia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Vitoria BA's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Bahia and Vitoria BA sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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