Bahia vs Sao Paulo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 October

Prediction Match Centre

Bahia

DDLDL

6th place in Brazil Serie A

? - ?

28/10/2026 17:00

Sao Paulo

WDLLD

8th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bahia vs Sao Paulo on 28 October 2026 (kick-off: 17:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bahia vs Sao Paulo preview before placing your bet.

Bahia will face Sao Paulo in Brazil Serie A on October 28, 2026 at 17:00.
Bahia are currently 6th with 26 points after 17 matches.
Sao Paulo sit 8th with 25 points from 18 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 28/10/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	41	18	12	5	1	30	13	17
02 Flamengo	34	17	10	4	3	31	16	15
03 Fluminense RJ	31	18	9	4	5	28	23	5
04 Atletico Paranaense	30	18	9	3	6	24	18	6
05 Bragantino	29	18	9	2	7	25	19	6
06 Bahia	26	17	7	5	5	25	23	2
07 Coritiba PR	26	18	7	5	6	24	24	0
08 Sao Paulo	25	18	7	4	7	23	20	3
09 Atletico Mineiro	24	18	7	3	8	22	23	-1
10 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	24	18	6	6	6	18	19	-1
11 Cruzeiro	24	18	6	6	6	24	28	-4
12 Botafogo RJ	22	17	6	4	7	31	31	0
13 Vitoria BA	22	17	6	4	7	21	25	-4
14 Internacional RS	21	18	5	6	7	21	22	-1
15 Santos	21	18	5	6	7	26	29	-3
16 Gremio (RS)	21	18	5	6	7	20	23	-3
17 Vasco da Gama	20	18	5	5	8	22	29	-7
18 Remo Belem (PA)	18	18	4	6	8	21	29	-8
19 Mirassol	16	17	4	4	9	18	24	-6
20 Chapecoense SC	9	17	1	6	10	17	33	-16

Bahia Last 6 matches

04/07/2026 21:00

Bahia 4 - 1 Montevideo City Torque

International Club Friendly

31/05/2026 03:30

Bahia 2 - 1 Botafogo RJ

Brazil Serie A

26/05/2026 06:00

Coritiba PR 3 - 2 Bahia

Brazil Serie A

18/05/2026 02:00

Bahia 1 - 1 Gremio (RS)

Brazil Serie A

10/05/2026 07:00

Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro

Brazil Serie A

04/05/2026 02:00

Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Bahia

Brazil Serie A

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Sao Paulo

01/06/2026 06:30

Remo Belem (PA) 1 - 0 Sao Paulo

Brazil Serie A

27/05/2026 05:00

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Boston River

Copa Sudamericana

24/05/2026 03:00

Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Botafogo RJ

Brazil Serie A

20/05/2026 07:30

Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Millonarios

Copa Sudamericana

17/05/2026 05:00

Fluminense RJ 2 - 1 Sao Paulo

Brazil Serie A

11/05/2026 04:30

Corinthians Paulista (SP) 3 - 2 Sao Paulo

Brazil Serie A

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Bahia

Sao Paulo

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

19 (59%)13 (41%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

21 (60%)14 (40%)

Bahia

Recent matches

Sao Paulo

Under /Over

(88%)28 4(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)25 10(29%)

Under /Over

(53%)17 15(47%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(17%)6 29(83%)

Under /Over

(53%)17 15(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(37%)13 22(63%)

/Yes

(72%)23 9(28%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)18 17(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bahia

Sao Paulo

Shots

Bahia

Total shots

12.63 avg / game

Blocked

62 total

Avg. 3.10

Sao Paulo

Total shots

9.06 avg / game

Blocked

84 total

Avg. 2.63

Bahia Pass Sao Paulo

Total passes

7771

Avg. 389 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

11092

Avg. 326 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bahia

Played games

Sao Paulo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.34

5.91

189

Corners

179

5.11

10.16

325

Throw-ins

524

14.97

0.97

Offsides

1.00

1.69

GK saves

2.03

Bahia

DISCIPLINARY

Sao Paulo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.06

1.63

0.06

0.06

7.56

242

Fouls

350

10.00

5.28

169

Tackles

243

6.94

NEXT MATCHES

Corinthians Paulista (SP)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bahia vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bahia vs Sao Paulo on 28 October 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bahia vs Sao Paulo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bahia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Sao Paulo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Bahia and Sao Paulo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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