Bahia vs Cruzeiro Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 09

Bahia

L W W D D

5th place in Brazil Serie A

1-2

09/05/2026 20:00

Cruzeiro

D W D W L

7th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bahia vs Cruzeiro on May 09, 2026 (kick-off: 20:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bahia vs Cruzeiro preview before placing for you.

Bahia are currently 5th with 32 points after 21 matches.
Cruzeiro sit 7th with 30 points from 21 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bahia to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Cruzeiro, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Bahia have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:00

2026-05-09

Bahia vs Cruzeiro - Prediction & Odds

Bahia

Cruzeiro

2026-05-09 20:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	47	21	14	5	2	38	16	22
02 Flamengo	39	20	11	6	3	37	18	19
03 Atletico Paranaense	37	21	11	4	6	28	19	9
04 Fluminense RJ	34	21	9	7	5	30	25	5
05 Bahia	32	21	8	8	5	29	25	4
06 Bragantino	31	20	9	4	7	26	20	6
07 Cruzeiro	30	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3
08 Botafogo RJ	29	20	8	5	7	34	32	2
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	29	21	7	8	6	22	20	2
10 Atletico Mineiro	28	20	8	4	8	25	25	0
11 Coritiba PR	27	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3
12 Sao Paulo	26	20	7	5	8	25	23	2
13 Vitoria BA	26	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9
14 Mirassol	23	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4
15 Santos	22	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4
16 Internacional RS	22	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4
17 Gremio (RS)	22	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4
18 Vasco da Gama	21	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8
19 Remo Belem (PA)	21	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10
20 Chapecoense SC	10	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22

Head To Head

15/09/2025 19:00

Bahia

1 - 2

Cruzeiro

BRA D1

17/04/2025 20:30

Cruzeiro

3 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

18/10/2024 20:30

Cruzeiro

1 - 1

Bahia

BRA D1

23/06/2024 15:00

Bahia

4 - 1

Cruzeiro

BRA D1

25/10/2023 19:00

Cruzeiro

3 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

10/06/2023 17:30

Bahia

2 - 2

Cruzeiro

BRA D1

Bahia

17%

Draw

33%

Cruzeiro

50%

Bahia Last 6 matches

03/05/2026 15:00

Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Bahia BRA D1

25/04/2026 17:30

Bahia 2 - 2 Santos BRA D1

22/04/2026 18:00

Bahia 1 - 3 Remo Belem (PA) Copa do Brasil

19/04/2026 18:30

Flamengo 2 - 0 Bahia BRA D1

11/04/2026 17:30

Mirassol 1 - 2 Bahia BRA D1

05/04/2026 18:30

Bahia 1 - 2 Palmeiras BRA D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Cruzeiro

06/05/2026 22:00

Univ Catolica 0 - 0 Cruzeiro CON CLA

02/05/2026 20:00

Cruzeiro 1 - 3 Atletico Mineiro BRA D1

28/04/2026 20:30

Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Boca Juniors CON CLA

25/04/2026 17:30

Remo Belem (PA) 0 - 1 Cruzeiro BRA D1

22/04/2026 18:00

Goias 2 - 2 Cruzeiro Copa do Brasil

18/04/2026 19:30

Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Gremio (RS) BRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Bahia

Cruzeiro

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.27

Scored

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 11 home matches

YesNo

6 (55%)5 (45%)

In last 11 home matches

NoYes

6 (55%)5 (45%)

Bahia

Recent matches

Cruzeiro

Under /Over

(100%)11 0(0%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)9 2(18%)

Under /Over

(64%)7 4(36%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)4 7(64%)

Under /Over

(36%)4 7(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)4 7(64%)

/Yes

(73%)8 3(27%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)7 4(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bahia

Cruzeiro

Shots

Bahia

Total shots

14.27 avg / game

Blocked

35 total

Avg. 3.18

Cruzeiro

Total shots

11.09 avg / game

Blocked

29 total

Avg. 2.90

Bahia Pass Cruzeiro

Total passes

4409

Avg. 401 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

3683

Avg. 335 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

61%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bahia

Played games

Cruzeiro

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.27

6.18

Corners

5.00

17.09

188

Throw-ins

164

14.91

1.18

Offsides

0.91

2.18

GK saves

1.18

Bahia

DISCIPLINARY

Cruzeiro

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

1.55

0.18

0.18

14.18

156

Fouls

110

10.00

7.91

Tackles

6.18

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Corinthians Paulista (SP)

How We Build the Bahia vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bahia vs Cruzeiro on 09 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bahia vs Cruzeiro Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bahia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Cruzeiro's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Bahia and Cruzeiro sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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