Bahia vs Cruzeiro Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 15

Bahia

D L W D W

7th place in Brazil Serie A

1-2

15/09/2025 19:00

Cruzeiro

D D W D D

3rd place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bahia vs Cruzeiro on September 15, 2025 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bahia vs Cruzeiro preview before placing for you.

Bahia are currently 7th with 60 points after 38 matches.
Cruzeiro sit 3rd with 70 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bahia to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Cruzeiro, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Bahia have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2025-09-15

Bahia vs Cruzeiro - Prediction & Odds

Bahia

Cruzeiro

2025-09-15 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 15/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Flamengo	79	38	23	10	5	78	27	51
02 Palmeiras	76	38	23	7	8	66	33	33
03 Cruzeiro	70	38	19	13	6	55	31	24
04 Mirassol	67	38	18	13	7	63	39	24
05 Fluminense RJ	64	38	19	7	12	50	39	11
06 Botafogo RJ	63	38	17	12	9	58	38	20
07 Bahia	60	38	17	9	12	50	46	4
08 Sao Paulo	51	38	14	9	15	43	47	-4
09 Gremio (RS)	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
10 Bragantino	48	38	14	6	18	45	57	-12
11 Atletico Mineiro	48	38	12	12	14	43	44	-1
12 Santos	47	38	12	11	15	45	50	-5
13 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	47	38	12	11	15	42	47	-5
14 Vasco da Gama	45	38	13	6	19	55	60	-5
15 Vitoria BA	45	38	11	12	15	35	52	-17
16 Internacional RS	44	38	11	11	16	44	57	-13
17 Ceara	43	38	11	10	17	34	40	-6
18 Fortaleza	43	38	11	10	17	43	58	-15
19 Juventude	35	38	9	8	21	35	69	-34
20 Sport Club do Recife	17	38	2	11	25	28	75	-47

Head To Head

17/04/2025 20:30

Cruzeiro

3 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

18/10/2024 20:30

Cruzeiro

1 - 1

Bahia

BRA D1

23/06/2024 15:00

Bahia

4 - 1

Cruzeiro

BRA D1

25/10/2023 19:00

Cruzeiro

3 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

10/06/2023 17:30

Bahia

2 - 2

Cruzeiro

BRA D1

23/07/2022 15:00

Cruzeiro

1 - 0

Bahia

BRA D2

Bahia

17%

Draw

33%

Cruzeiro

50%

Bahia Last 6 matches

10/09/2025 18:00

Fluminense RJ 2 - 0 Bahia Copa do Brasil

06/09/2025 16:30

Bahia 5 - 0 Confianca SE BRA CNF

03/09/2025 20:30

Confianca SE 1 - 4 Bahia BRA CNF

31/08/2025 17:30

Mirassol 5 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

28/08/2025 18:30

Bahia 1 - 0 Fluminense RJ Copa do Brasil

24/08/2025 15:00

Bahia 2 - 0 Santos BRA D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Cruzeiro

11/09/2025 18:30

Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro Copa do Brasil

30/08/2025 20:00

Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Sao Paulo BRA D1

27/08/2025 18:30

Atletico Mineiro 0 - 2 Cruzeiro Copa do Brasil

23/08/2025 17:30

Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Internacional RS BRA D1

18/08/2025 19:00

Mirassol 1 - 1 Cruzeiro BRA D1

10/08/2025 17:30

Cruzeiro 1 - 2 Santos BRA D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Bahia

Cruzeiro

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.05

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.37

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

14 (74%)5 (26%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

11 (58%)8 (42%)

Bahia

Recent matches

Cruzeiro

Under /Over

(68%)13 6(32%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

Under /Over

(21%)4 15(79%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

/Yes

(47%)9 10(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bahia

Cruzeiro

Shots

Bahia

Total shots

13.11 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 4.47

Cruzeiro

Total shots

11.37 avg / game

Blocked

39 total

Avg. 2.29

Bahia Pass Cruzeiro

Total passes

7959

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

5416

Avg. 285 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bahia

Played games

Cruzeiro

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.53

Clean sheets

0.42

4.21

Corners

4.68

13.16

250

Throw-ins

296

15.58

1.05

Offsides

0.95

2.11

GK saves

2.32

Bahia

DISCIPLINARY

Cruzeiro

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.58

1.95

0.11

0.00

10.37

197

Fouls

209

11.00

11.53

219

Tackles

211

11.11

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Corinthians Paulista (SP)

How We Build the Bahia vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bahia vs Cruzeiro on 15 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bahia vs Cruzeiro Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bahia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Cruzeiro's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Bahia and Cruzeiro sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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