Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 October

Baglan Dragons

L L D L L

14th place in South

1-1

04/10/2025 09:55

Llantwit Major

W L L L D

8th place in South

Wales FAW Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major on 04 October 2025 (kick-off: 09:55) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major preview before placing your bet.

Baglan Dragons are currently 14th with 25 points after 30 matches.
Llantwit Major sit 8th with 38 points from 31 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Llantwit Major to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Baglan Dragons, who have won 2 of the last 5 meetings. Llantwit Major have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:55

2025-10-04

Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major - Prediction & Odds

Baglan Dragons

Llantwit Major

2025-10-04 09:55

STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2025

South	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Trefelin	78	30	25	3	2	83	17	66
02 Cambrian Clydach	76	30	24	4	2	75	20	55
03 Ammanford	58	30	16	10	4	48	26	22
04 Caerau Ely	57	30	17	6	7	66	34	32
05 Carmarthen	45	30	11	12	7	45	38	7
06 Aberystwyth Town	44	30	13	5	12	35	38	-3
07 Cardiff Draconians FC	40	30	12	4	14	50	48	2
08 Llantwit Major	38	31	9	11	11	44	47	-3
09 Treowen Stars	37	30	10	7	13	51	63	-12
10 Newport City	37	30	9	10	11	36	48	-12
11 Pontypridd	34	30	9	7	14	46	51	-5
12 Afan Lido	30	30	9	3	18	32	57	-25
13 Trey Thomas Drossel	29	30	6	11	13	45	62	-17
14 Baglan Dragons	25	30	5	10	15	26	52	-26
15 Ynyshir Albions	23	30	5	8	17	27	56	-29
16 Cwmbran Celtic	12	31	1	9	21	25	77	-52

North	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Llandudno	80	30	26	2	2	77	22	55
02 Airbus UK Broughton	75	30	24	3	3	93	22	71
03 Holywell	60	30	18	6	6	78	40	38
04 Newtown AFC	48	30	15	3	12	51	49	2
05 Rhyl FC	46	30	14	4	12	46	55	-9
06 Guilsfield	43	30	13	4	13	50	48	2
07 Mold Alexandra	41	30	12	5	13	38	45	-7
08 Denbigh Town	40	30	12	4	14	52	59	-7
09 Caersws	37	30	11	4	15	46	51	-5
10 Brickfield Rangers	37	60	22	8	30	78	98	-20
11 Holyhead	36	30	10	6	14	44	49	-5
12 Penrhyncoch	35	30	10	5	15	45	53	-8
13 Buckley Town	30	30	9	3	18	50	77	-27
14 Flint Mountain	29	30	9	2	19	39	61	-22
15 Gresford	28	30	8	4	18	47	87	-40
16 Ruthin Town FC	23	30	6	5	19	36	64	-28

Head To Head

20/09/2025 09:00

Llantwit Major

2 - 0

Baglan Dragons

WALC

08/03/2025 10:00

Llantwit Major

0 - 1

Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

30/11/2024 10:00

Baglan Dragons

0 - 0

Llantwit Major

WAL FAWC

29/03/2024 10:00

Baglan Dragons

0 - 0

Llantwit Major

WAL FAWC

12/08/2023 09:30

Llantwit Major

1 - 4

Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

Baglan Dragons

40%

Draw

40%

Llantwit Major

20%

Baglan Dragons Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 09:00

Llantwit Major 2 - 0 Baglan Dragons WALC

17/09/2025 14:30

Caerau Ely 2 - 1 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC

13/09/2025 09:30

Baglan Dragons 0 - 0 Cardiff Draconians FC WAL FAWC

06/09/2025 09:30

Baglan Dragons 1 - 1 Trefelin WAL FAWC

25/08/2025 09:30

Carmarthen 0 - 0 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC

17/08/2025 09:30

Baglan Dragons 3 - 3 Newport City WAL FAWC

Win

Draw

67%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Llantwit Major

20/09/2025 09:00

Llantwit Major 2 - 0 Baglan Dragons WALC

12/09/2025 14:30

Caerau Ely 0 - 0 Llantwit Major WAL FAWC

06/09/2025 09:30

Llantwit Major 2 - 1 Trey Thomas Drossel WAL FAWC

25/08/2025 09:30

Trefelin 3 - 3 Llantwit Major WAL FAWC

22/08/2025 14:30

Cambrian Clydach 2 - 1 Llantwit Major WAL FAWC

16/08/2025 09:30

Llantwit Major 0 - 0 Carmarthen WAL FAWC

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Wales FAW Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored

124

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

111

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 103 matches

YesNo

46 (45%)57 (55%)

In last 103 matches

NoYes

88 (52%)82 (48%)

Baglan Dragons

Recent matches

Llantwit Major

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Baglan Dragons

Llantwit Major

Shots

Baglan Dragons

Total shots

9.12 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Llantwit Major

Total shots

9.15 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Baglan Dragons Pass Llantwit Major

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Baglan Dragons

103

Played games

Llantwit Major

170

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.28

3.15

324

Corners

474

2.79

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.43

Offsides

0.34

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Baglan Dragons

DISCIPLINARY

Llantwit Major

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.08

111

186

1.09

0.13

0.07

1.65

170

Fouls

143

0.84

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Cardiff Draconians FC

WAL

How We Build the Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major on 04 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales FAW Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Baglan Dragons vs Llantwit Major Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Baglan Dragons's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Llantwit Major's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales FAW Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales FAW Championship standings and the Wales FAW Championship form table to understand exactly where Baglan Dragons and Llantwit Major sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales FAW Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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