Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 25

Prediction

Baglan Dragons

D D L L D

9th place in South

? - ?

25/09/2026 14:30

Carmarthen

W L L W L

5th place in South

Wales FAW Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen on September 25, 2026 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen preview before placing for you.

Baglan Dragons are currently 9th with 1 points after 1 match.
Carmarthen sit 5th with 3 points from 1 match.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 25/09/2026

South	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Aberystwyth Town	3	1	1	0	0	5	2	3
02 Newport City	3	1	1	0	0	4	1	3
03 Pontardawe Town	3	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
04 Swansea University	3	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
05 Carmarthen	3	1	1	0	0	4	3	1
06 Pontypridd	3	1	1	0	0	3	2	1
07 Ynyshir Albions	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
08 Trey Thomas Drossel	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
09 Baglan Dragons	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
10 Caerau Ely	0	1	0	0	1	3	4	-1
11 Treowen Stars	0	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1
12 Cardiff Draconians FC	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
13 Afan Lido	0	1	0	0	1	2	5	-3
14 Llanelli	0	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3
15 Llantwit Major	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3
16 Sport in Caerphilly	0	2	0	0	2	0	6	-6

North	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Brickfield Rangers	3	1	1	0	0	5	1	4
02 Newtown AFC	3	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
03 Denbigh Town	3	1	1	0	0	4	2	2
04 Porthmadog	3	1	1	0	0	3	1	2
05 Bala Town F.C.	3	1	1	0	0	2	1	1
06 Holyhead	3	1	1	0	0	2	1	1
07 Caersws	1	1	0	1	0	2	2	0
08 Mold Alexandra	1	1	0	1	0	2	2	0
09 Rhyl FC	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0
10 Guilsfield	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0
11 Ruthin Town FC	0	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1
12 Bangor 1876	0	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1
13 Buckley Town	0	1	0	0	1	2	4	-2
14 Penrhyncoch	0	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2
15 Gresford	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3
16 Llanuwchllyn	0	1	0	0	1	1	5	-4

Baglan Dragons Last 6 matches

01/08/2026 01:45

Trey Thomas Drossel 0 - 0 Baglan Dragons Wales FAW Championship

18/04/2026 18:30

Baglan Dragons 1 - 1 Trey Thomas Drossel Wales FAW Championship

04/04/2026 01:45

Cambrian Clydach 2 - 0 Baglan Dragons Wales FAW Championship

28/03/2026 21:00

Baglan Dragons 0 - 7 Carmarthen Wales FAW Championship

25/03/2026 02:45

Baglan Dragons 0 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic Wales FAW Championship

21/03/2026 02:30

Ammanford 1 - 0 Baglan Dragons Wales FAW Championship

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Carmarthen

01/08/2026 20:30

Carmarthen 4 - 3 Caerau Ely Wales FAW Championship

15/07/2026 01:30

Carmarthen 2 - 3 Briton Ferry Athletic International Club Friendly

08/07/2026 01:30

Carmarthen 1 - 3 UWIC Inter Cardiff International Club Friendly

04/07/2026 01:30

Carmarthen 4 - 2 Trefelin International Club Friendly

18/04/2026 18:30

Treowen Stars 4 - 1 Carmarthen Wales FAW Championship

04/04/2026 20:30

Carmarthen 0 - 1 Pontypridd Wales FAW Championship

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Wales FAW Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.89

Scored

185

Avg. per game

0.99

Conceded

153

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 103 matches

YesNo

45 (44%)58 (56%)

In last 103 matches

NoYes

110 (59%)76 (41%)

Baglan Dragons

Recent matches

Carmarthen

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Baglan Dragons

Carmarthen

Shots

Baglan Dragons

Total shots

9.12 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Carmarthen

Total shots

10.89 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Baglan Dragons Pass Carmarthen

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Baglan Dragons

103

Played games

Carmarthen

186

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.30

3.15

324

Corners

601

3.23

0.00

Throw-ins

0.01

0.43

Offsides

0.35

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Baglan Dragons

DISCIPLINARY

Carmarthen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.08

111

208

1.12

0.13

0.09

1.65

170

Fouls

264

1.42

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen on 25 September 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales FAW Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Baglan Dragons's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Carmarthen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales FAW Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales FAW Championship standings and the Wales FAW Championship form table to understand exactly where Baglan Dragons and Carmarthen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales FAW Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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