Baghdad vs Arbil: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 31 January

Baghdad

D L L W L

18th place in Iraqi Premier League

1-1

31/01/2026 08:00

Arbil

D W L W W

3rd place in Iraqi Premier League

Iraqi Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Baghdad vs Arbil on 31 January 2026 (kick-off: 08:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Baghdad vs Arbil preview before placing your bet.

Baghdad are currently 18th with 32 points after 38 matches.
Arbil sit 3rd with 80 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Arbil to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Arbil, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Baghdad have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:00

2026-01-31

Baghdad vs Arbil - Prediction & Odds

Baghdad

Arbil

2026-01-31 08:00

STANDINGS UP TO 31/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Al Quwa Al Jawiya	89	38	27	8	3	62	28	34
02 Al Shorta	80	38	24	8	6	69	32	37
03 Arbil	80	38	23	11	4	60	30	30
04 Al Zawraa	66	38	17	15	6	50	32	18
05 Al Karma SC	65	38	17	14	7	53	26	27
06 Al Talaba	65	38	18	11	9	53	38	15
07 Al Karkh	60	38	16	12	10	51	41	10
08 Zakho	56	38	15	11	12	51	43	8
09 Newroz SC(IRQ)	54	38	16	6	16	48	47	1
10 Duhok	50	38	13	11	14	44	45	-1
11 Dyala	49	38	13	10	15	40	42	-2
12 Al-Naft	48	38	11	15	12	33	34	-1
13 Mosul FC	47	38	11	14	13	46	49	-3
14 Al Gharraf	44	38	11	11	16	40	43	-3
15 Naft Misan	43	38	11	10	17	48	57	-9
16 AL Minaa	40	38	9	13	16	38	47	-9
17 AI Kahrabaa	38	37	11	5	21	44	56	-12
18 Baghdad	32	38	8	8	22	43	71	-28
19 AL Najaf	23	37	6	5	26	31	68	-37
20 Al Qasim Sport Club	6	38	0	6	32	21	96	-75

Head To Head

26/05/2024 11:00

Baghdad

1 - 3

Arbil

IRQ SL

29/02/2024 10:00

Arbil

4 - 1

Baghdad

IRQ SL

15/02/2022 06:30

Baghdad

1 - 1

Arbil

IRQ SL

26/09/2021 11:00

Arbil

1 - 2

Baghdad

IRQ SL

24/02/2021 06:00

Arbil

2 - 2

Baghdad

IRQ SL

26/10/2020 08:00

Baghdad

0 - 2

Arbil

IRQ SL

Baghdad

17%

Draw

33%

Arbil

50%

Baghdad Last 6 matches

26/01/2026 10:30

Al Gharraf 3 - 2 Baghdad IRQ SL

22/01/2026 10:30

Al Karma SC 2 - 1 Baghdad IRQ SL

18/01/2026 08:00

Baghdad 1 - 1 Al Karkh IRQ SL

13/01/2026 10:30

Baghdad 0 - 2 Al Quwa Al Jawiya IRQ SL

09/01/2026 08:00

Zakho 2 - 2 Baghdad IRQ SL

04/01/2026 11:30

Duhok 1 - 0 Baghdad IRQ SL

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Arbil

27/01/2026 08:00

Al Karkh 1 - 1 Arbil IRQ SL

23/01/2026 08:00

Arbil 0 - 2 Al Talaba IRQ SL

17/01/2026 08:00

Al Zawraa 1 - 0 Arbil IRQ SL

13/01/2026 10:40

Arbil 2 - 1 Duhok IRQ SL

08/01/2026 10:30

Mosul FC 0 - 2 Arbil IRQ SL

04/01/2026 09:00

Arbil 0 - 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya IRQ SL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Iraqi Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.41

Conceded

102

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored

106

Avg. per game

0.45

Conceded

108

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 189 matches

YesNo

64 (34%)125 (66%)

In last 189 matches

NoYes

84 (36%)150 (64%)

Baghdad

Recent matches

Arbil

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Baghdad

Arbil

Shots

Baghdad

Total shots

8.69 avg / game

Blocked

15 total

Avg. 1.88

Arbil

Total shots

9.20 avg / game

Blocked

9 total

Avg. 1.29

Baghdad Pass Arbil

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Baghdad

189

Played games

Arbil

234

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.32

2.86

540

Corners

483

2.06

2.14

404

Throw-ins

389

1.66

0.08

Offsides

0.17

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Baghdad

DISCIPLINARY

Arbil

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

300

273

1.17

0.10

0.05

1.31

248

Fouls

374

1.60

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Baghdad vs Arbil Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Baghdad vs Arbil on 31 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Iraqi Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Baghdad vs Arbil Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Baghdad's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Arbil's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Iraqi Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Iraqi Premier League standings and the Iraqi Premier League form table to understand exactly where Baghdad and Arbil sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Iraqi Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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