AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Almelo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

AZ Alkmaar

L W W W W

4th place in Holland Eredivisie

1-1

28/09/2023 14:00

Heracles Almelo

W L L L L

14th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Almelo on 28 September 2023 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Almelo preview before placing your bet.

AZ Alkmaar are currently 4th with 65 points after 34 matches.
Heracles Almelo sit 14th with 33 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 74%.
Head-to-head history favors AZ Alkmaar, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Heracles Almelo have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2023-09-28

AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Almelo - Prediction & Odds

AZ Alkmaar

Heracles Almelo

2023-09-28 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	91	34	29	4	1	111	21	90
02 Feyenoord	84	34	26	6	2	92	26	66
03 FC Twente Enschede	69	34	21	6	7	69	36	33
04 AZ Alkmaar	65	34	19	8	7	70	39	31
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	15	11	8	74	61	13
06 NEC Nijmegen	53	34	14	11	9	68	51	17
07 FC Utrecht	50	34	13	11	10	49	47	2
08 Sparta Rotterdam	49	34	14	7	13	51	48	3
09 Go Ahead Eagles	46	34	12	10	12	47	46	1
10 Fortuna Sittard	38	34	9	11	14	37	56	-19
11 SC Heerenveen	37	34	10	7	17	53	70	-17
12 PEC Zwolle	36	34	9	9	16	45	67	-22
13 Almere City FC	34	34	7	13	14	33	59	-26
14 Heracles Almelo	33	34	9	6	19	41	74	-33
15 RKC Waalwijk	29	34	7	8	19	38	56	-18
16 Excelsior SBV	29	34	6	11	17	50	73	-23
17 Volendam	19	34	4	7	23	34	88	-54
18 Vitesse Arnhem	6	34	6	6	22	30	74	-44

Head To Head

19/02/2022 16:00

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 1

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

15/12/2021 13:00

AZ Alkmaar

4 - 1

Heracles Almelo

HOLC

19/09/2021 10:45

Heracles Almelo

3 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

16/05/2021 08:30

AZ Alkmaar

5 - 0

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

29/11/2020 11:45

Heracles Almelo

1 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

29/09/2019 10:45

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 0

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

AZ Alkmaar

83%

Draw

Heracles Almelo

17%

AZ Alkmaar Last 6 matches

24/09/2023 10:45

PEC Zwolle 0 - 3 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

21/09/2023 12:45

HSK Zrinjski Mostar 4 - 3 AZ Alkmaar UEFA ECL

17/09/2023 10:45

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam HOL D1

03/09/2023 10:45

Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 2 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

31/08/2023 13:00

Brann 3 - 3 AZ Alkmaar UEFA ECL

24/08/2023 14:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Brann UEFA ECL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Heracles Almelo

23/09/2023 10:30

Volendam 2 - 2 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

16/09/2023 15:00

Heracles Almelo 1 - 3 FC Utrecht HOL D1

02/09/2023 15:00

Heracles Almelo 3 - 1 Excelsior SBV HOL D1

18/08/2023 14:00

Heracles Almelo 2 - 1 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

12/08/2023 14:00

AFC Ajax 4 - 1 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

05/08/2023 08:40

Heracles Almelo 1 - 3 Volendam INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

317

Avg. per game

1.06

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

218

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

256

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

202 (67%)98 (33%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

138 (51%)132 (49%)

AZ Alkmaar

Recent matches

Heracles Almelo

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AZ Alkmaar

Heracles Almelo

Shots

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

13.82 avg / game

Blocked

806 total

Avg. 3.61

Heracles Almelo

Total shots

11.30 avg / game

Blocked

506 total

Avg. 2.96

AZ Alkmaar Pass Heracles Almelo

Total passes

125982

Avg. 498 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

81609

Avg. 392 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AZ Alkmaar

300

Played games

Heracles Almelo

270

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.21

5.43

1629

Corners

1269

4.70

14.18

4255

Throw-ins

3870

14.33

1.65

496

Offsides

356

1.32

2.08

623

GK saves

795

2.94

AZ Alkmaar

DISCIPLINARY

Heracles Almelo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

476

398

1.47

0.05

0.06

9.84

2951

Fouls

2574

9.53

12.65

3795

Tackles

3319

12.29

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Almelo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Almelo on 28 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Almelo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AZ Alkmaar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Heracles Almelo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AZ Alkmaar and Heracles Almelo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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