AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

AZ Alkmaar

L D W W W

5th place in Holland Eredivisie

3-0

11/05/2025 10:45

Groningen

L W W L D

13th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen on 11 May 2025 (kick-off: 10:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen preview before placing your bet.

AZ Alkmaar are currently 5th with 57 points after 34 matches.
Groningen sit 13th with 39 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors AZ Alkmaar, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Groningen have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:45

2025-05-11

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen - Prediction & Odds

AZ Alkmaar

Groningen

2025-05-11 10:45

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	79	34	25	4	5	103	39	64
02 AFC Ajax	78	34	24	6	4	67	32	35
03 Feyenoord	68	34	20	8	6	76	38	38
04 FC Utrecht	64	34	18	10	6	62	45	17
05 AZ Alkmaar	57	34	16	9	9	58	37	21
06 FC Twente Enschede	54	34	15	9	10	62	49	13
07 Go Ahead Eagles	51	34	14	9	11	57	55	2
08 NEC Nijmegen	43	34	12	7	15	51	46	5
09 SC Heerenveen	43	34	12	7	15	42	57	-15
10 PEC Zwolle	41	34	10	11	13	43	51	-8
11 Fortuna Sittard	41	34	11	8	15	37	54	-17
12 Sparta Rotterdam	39	34	9	12	13	39	43	-4
13 Groningen	39	34	10	9	15	40	53	-13
14 Heracles Almelo	38	34	9	11	14	42	63	-21
15 NAC Breda	33	34	8	9	17	34	58	-24
16 Willem II	26	34	6	8	20	34	56	-22
17 RKC Waalwijk	25	34	6	7	21	44	74	-30
18 Almere City FC	22	34	4	10	20	23	64	-41

Head To Head

18/12/2024 16:00

AZ Alkmaar

3 - 1

Groningen

HOLC

25/08/2024 06:15

Groningen

0 - 0

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

11/03/2023 15:00

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 0

Groningen

HOL D1

01/10/2022 12:45

Groningen

1 - 4

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

21/12/2021 16:00

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 0

Groningen

HOL D1

24/10/2021 14:00

Groningen

2 - 0

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

AZ Alkmaar

67%

Draw

17%

Groningen

17%

AZ Alkmaar Last 6 matches

04/05/2025 08:30

Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 3 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

24/04/2025 12:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 NAC Breda HOL D1

21/04/2025 12:00

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles HOLC

13/04/2025 08:30

Heracles Almelo 1 - 0 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

05/04/2025 10:30

AZ Alkmaar 0 - 1 Feyenoord HOL D1

01/04/2025 14:00

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 2 RKC Waalwijk HOL D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Groningen

03/05/2025 14:00

Groningen 6 - 1 RKC Waalwijk HOL D1

23/04/2025 14:00

Groningen 4 - 1 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

13/04/2025 06:15

FC Utrecht 3 - 1 Groningen HOL D1

05/04/2025 14:00

Groningen 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven HOL D1

02/04/2025 14:00

Feyenoord 4 - 1 Groningen HOL D1

29/03/2025 11:30

NAC Breda 1 - 1 Groningen HOL D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

317

Avg. per game

1.06

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

216

Avg. per game

0.79

Conceded

224

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

202 (67%)98 (33%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

149 (54%)126 (46%)

AZ Alkmaar

Recent matches

Groningen

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AZ Alkmaar

Groningen

Shots

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

13.82 avg / game

Blocked

806 total

Avg. 3.61

Groningen

Total shots

12.09 avg / game

Blocked

642 total

Avg. 3.51

AZ Alkmaar Pass Groningen

Total passes

125982

Avg. 498 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

86165

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AZ Alkmaar

300

Played games

Groningen

275

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.27

5.43

1629

Corners

1232

4.48

14.18

4255

Throw-ins

3400

12.36

1.65

496

Offsides

338

1.23

2.08

623

GK saves

639

2.32

AZ Alkmaar

DISCIPLINARY

Groningen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

476

359

1.31

0.05

0.09

9.84

2951

Fouls

2258

8.21

12.65

3795

Tackles

3207

11.66

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AZ Alkmaar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Groningen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AZ Alkmaar and Groningen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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