AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 January

AZ Alkmaar

No standing data

6-0

AZ Alkmaar
Win Probability 43%

14/01/2026 16:00

AFC Ajax

No standing data

KNVB Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax on 14 January 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

AZ Alkmaar will face AFC Ajax in KNVB Cup on January 14, 2026 at 16:00.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.08.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-01-14

AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax - Prediction & Odds

AZ Alkmaar

AFC Ajax

2026-01-14 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/01/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of AZ Alkmaar and AFC Ajax in the KNVB Cup football standings for the 2025-2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

18/10/2025 15:00

AFC Ajax

0 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

16/03/2025 11:50

AFC Ajax

2 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

14/01/2025 13:45

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 0

AFC Ajax

HOLC

08/12/2024 09:30

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

25/02/2024 11:45

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 0

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

08/10/2023 08:30

AFC Ajax

1 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

AFC Ajax

50%

Draw

17%

AZ Alkmaar

33%

AZ Alkmaar Last 6 matches

10/01/2026 11:30

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Volendam

HOL D1

21/12/2025 11:45

Fortuna Sittard 4 - 3 AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

18/12/2025 16:00

AZ Alkmaar 0 - 0 Jagiellonia Bialystok

UEFA ECL

11/12/2025 13:45

KF Drita Gjilan 0 - 3 AZ Alkmaar

UEFA ECL

07/12/2025 09:30

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles

HOL D1

03/12/2025 15:00

PEC Zwolle 1 - 3 AZ Alkmaar

HOLC

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

11/01/2026 09:30

SC Telstar 2 - 3 AFC Ajax

HOL D1

05/01/2026 09:00

AFC Ajax 4 - 0 Seraing United

INT CF

20/12/2025 15:00

NEC Nijmegen 2 - 2 AFC Ajax

HOL D1

17/12/2025 13:45

Excelsior Maassluis 2 - 7 AFC Ajax

HOLC

14/12/2025 09:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 0 Feyenoord

HOL D1

10/12/2025 13:45

Qarabag 2 - 4 AFC Ajax

UEFA CL

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues KNVB Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

AZ Alkmaar

AFC Ajax

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.17

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 30 home matches

YesNo

20 (67%)10 (33%)

In last 30 home matches

NoYes

13 (57%)10 (43%)

AZ Alkmaar

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(90%)27 3(10%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(96%)22 1(4%)

Under /Over

(57%)17 13(43%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(39%)9 14(61%)

Under /Over

(60%)18 12(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(35%)8 15(65%)

/Yes

(63%)19 11(37%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(48%)11 12(52%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AZ Alkmaar

AFC Ajax

Shots

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

16.97 avg / game

Blocked

136 total

Avg. 4.69

AFC Ajax

Total shots

14.78 avg / game

Blocked

83 total

Avg. 3.77

AZ Alkmaar Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

13896

Avg. 463 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

12391

Avg. 539 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AZ Alkmaar

Played games

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.35

6.07

182

Corners

123

5.35

18.70

561

Throw-ins

356

15.48

1.70

Offsides

1.43

2.47

GK saves

2.96

AZ Alkmaar

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.07

1.52

0.00

0.00

10.73

322

Fouls

246

10.70

13.07

392

Tackles

235

10.22

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax on 14 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this KNVB Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AZ Alkmaar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

KNVB Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live KNVB Cup standings and the KNVB Cup form table to understand exactly where AZ Alkmaar and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our KNVB Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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