AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 February

AZ Alkmaar

L W W W W

4th place in Holland Eredivisie

2-0

25/02/2024 08:45

AFC Ajax

L W D W W

5th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax on 25 February 2024 (kick-off: 08:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

AZ Alkmaar are currently 4th with 65 points after 34 matches.
AFC Ajax sit 5th with 56 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors AZ Alkmaar, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. AFC Ajax have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:45

2024-02-25

AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax - Prediction & Odds

AZ Alkmaar

AFC Ajax

2024-02-25 08:45

STANDINGS UP TO 25/02/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	91	34	29	4	1	111	21	90
02 Feyenoord	84	34	26	6	2	92	26	66
03 FC Twente Enschede	69	34	21	6	7	69	36	33
04 AZ Alkmaar	65	34	19	8	7	70	39	31
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	15	11	8	74	61	13
06 NEC Nijmegen	53	34	14	11	9	68	51	17
07 FC Utrecht	50	34	13	11	10	49	47	2
08 Sparta Rotterdam	49	34	14	7	13	51	48	3
09 Go Ahead Eagles	46	34	12	10	12	47	46	1
10 Fortuna Sittard	38	34	9	11	14	37	56	-19
11 SC Heerenveen	37	34	10	7	17	53	70	-17
12 PEC Zwolle	36	34	9	9	16	45	67	-22
13 Almere City FC	34	34	7	13	14	33	59	-26
14 Heracles Almelo	33	34	9	6	19	41	74	-33
15 RKC Waalwijk	29	34	7	8	19	38	56	-18
16 Excelsior SBV	29	34	6	11	17	50	73	-23
17 Volendam	19	34	4	7	23	34	88	-54
18 Vitesse Arnhem	6	34	6	6	22	30	74	-44

Head To Head

08/10/2023 05:30

AFC Ajax

1 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

06/05/2023 12:00

AFC Ajax

0 - 0

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

18/09/2022 07:45

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

08/05/2022 05:30

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

03/03/2022 12:00

AZ Alkmaar

0 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOLC

12/12/2021 08:45

AFC Ajax

1 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

AZ Alkmaar

50%

Draw

33%

AFC Ajax

17%

AZ Alkmaar Last 6 matches

17/02/2024 10:45

Fortuna Sittard 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

10/02/2024 12:00

Almere City FC 0 - 0 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

07/02/2024 13:00

Feyenoord 2 - 0 AZ Alkmaar HOLC

04/02/2024 06:30

AZ Alkmaar 0 - 1 Feyenoord HOL D1

28/01/2024 04:30

SC Heerenveen 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

20/01/2024 12:00

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 2 PEC Zwolle HOL D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

18/02/2024 06:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 2 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

15/02/2024 13:00

AFC Ajax 2 - 2 Bodo Glimt UEFA ECL

11/02/2024 06:30

SC Heerenveen 3 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

03/02/2024 12:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 1 PSV Eindhoven HOL D1

27/01/2024 13:00

Heracles Almelo 2 - 4 AFC Ajax HOL D1

21/01/2024 08:45

AFC Ajax 4 - 1 RKC Waalwijk HOL D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

317

Avg. per game

1.06

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

335

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

202 (67%)98 (33%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

199 (66%)101 (34%)

AZ Alkmaar

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AZ Alkmaar

AFC Ajax

Shots

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

13.82 avg / game

Blocked

806 total

Avg. 3.61

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.04 avg / game

Blocked

918 total

Avg. 3.99

AZ Alkmaar Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

125982

Avg. 498 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

146232

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AZ Alkmaar

300

Played games

AFC Ajax

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

101

0.34

5.43

1629

Corners

1710

5.70

14.18

4255

Throw-ins

4373

14.58

1.65

496

Offsides

496

1.65

2.08

623

GK saves

765

2.55

AZ Alkmaar

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

476

441

1.47

0.05

0.08

9.84

2951

Fouls

2938

9.79

12.65

3795

Tackles

3603

12.01

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax on 25 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AZ Alkmaar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AZ Alkmaar and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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