AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 January

AZ Alkmaar

D W W W D

No standing data

2-0

14/01/2025 17:45

AFC Ajax

W D W W W

No standing data

KNVB Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax on 14 January 2025 (kick-off: 17:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors AZ Alkmaar, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. AFC Ajax have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:45

2025-01-14

AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax - Prediction & Odds

AZ Alkmaar

AFC Ajax

2025-01-14 17:45

STANDINGS UP TO 14/01/2025

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of AZ Alkmaar and AFC Ajax in the KNVB Cup football standings for the 2024-2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

08/12/2024 13:30

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

25/02/2024 15:45

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 0

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

08/10/2023 12:30

AFC Ajax

1 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

06/05/2023 19:00

AFC Ajax

0 - 0

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

18/09/2022 14:45

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

08/05/2022 12:30

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

AZ Alkmaar

67%

Draw

33%

AFC Ajax

AZ Alkmaar Last 6 matches

11/01/2025 20:00

PSV Eindhoven 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

21/12/2024 19:00

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 FC Twente Enschede HOL D1

18/12/2024 20:00

AZ Alkmaar 3 - 1 Groningen HOLC

15/12/2024 19:00

NAC Breda 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

12/12/2024 17:45

Ludogorets Razgrad 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar UEFA EL

08/12/2024 13:30

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 AFC Ajax HOL D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

11/01/2025 17:45

AFC Ajax 2 - 1 RKC Waalwijk HOL D1

05/01/2025 13:00

VfB Stuttgart 2 - 2 AFC Ajax INT CF

22/12/2024 11:15

Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

19/12/2024 20:00

AFC Ajax 2 - 0 SC Telstar HOLC

15/12/2024 15:45

AFC Ajax 3 - 0 Almere City FC HOL D1

12/12/2024 20:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 3 Lazio UEFA EL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues KNVB Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

AZ Alkmaar

AFC Ajax

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.50

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.25

Scored

Avg. per game

2.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

1 (100%)0 (0%)

AZ Alkmaar

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(100%)4 0(0%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)1 0(0%)

Under /Over

(50%)2 2(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(0%)0 1(100%)

Under /Over

(75%)3 1(25%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(100%)1 0(0%)

/Yes

(75%)3 1(25%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(0%)0 1(100%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AZ Alkmaar

AFC Ajax

Shots

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

22.50 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 5.67

AFC Ajax

Total shots

19.00 avg / game

Blocked

4 total

Avg. 4.00

AZ Alkmaar Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

1947

Avg. 487 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

624

Avg. 624 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

65%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AZ Alkmaar

Played games

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

1.00

6.00

Corners

4.00

13.00

Throw-ins

22.00

1.75

Offsides

0.00

2.50

GK saves

2.00

AZ Alkmaar

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.75

1.00

0.00

0.00

10.25

Fouls

12.00

10.25

Tackles

10.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax on 14 January 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this KNVB Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AZ Alkmaar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

KNVB Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live KNVB Cup standings and the KNVB Cup form table to understand exactly where AZ Alkmaar and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our KNVB Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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