AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 January

AZ Alkmaar

D W W W D

No standing data

2-0

14/01/2025 13:45

AFC Ajax

W D W W W

No standing data

KNVB Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax on 14 January 2025 (kick-off: 13:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors AZ Alkmaar, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. AFC Ajax have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:45

2025-01-14

AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax - Prediction & Odds

AZ Alkmaar

AFC Ajax

2025-01-14 13:45

STANDINGS UP TO 14/01/2025

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of AZ Alkmaar and AFC Ajax in the KNVB Cup football standings for the 2024-2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

08/12/2024 09:30

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

25/02/2024 11:45

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 0

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

08/10/2023 08:30

AFC Ajax

1 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

06/05/2023 15:00

AFC Ajax

0 - 0

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

18/09/2022 10:45

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

08/05/2022 08:30

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

AZ Alkmaar

67%

Draw

33%

AFC Ajax

AZ Alkmaar Last 6 matches

11/01/2025 16:00

PSV Eindhoven 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

21/12/2024 15:00

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 FC Twente Enschede HOL D1

18/12/2024 16:00

AZ Alkmaar 3 - 1 Groningen HOLC

15/12/2024 15:00

NAC Breda 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

12/12/2024 13:45

Ludogorets Razgrad 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar UEFA EL

08/12/2024 09:30

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 AFC Ajax HOL D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

11/01/2025 13:45

AFC Ajax 2 - 1 RKC Waalwijk HOL D1

05/01/2025 09:00

VfB Stuttgart 2 - 2 AFC Ajax INT CF

22/12/2024 07:15

Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

19/12/2024 16:00

AFC Ajax 2 - 0 SC Telstar HOLC

15/12/2024 11:45

AFC Ajax 3 - 0 Almere City FC HOL D1

12/12/2024 16:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 3 Lazio UEFA EL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues KNVB Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

320

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

335

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

226

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

203 (68%)97 (32%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

199 (66%)101 (34%)

AZ Alkmaar

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AZ Alkmaar

AFC Ajax

Shots

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

13.84 avg / game

Blocked

805 total

Avg. 3.61

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.05 avg / game

Blocked

917 total

Avg. 3.99

AZ Alkmaar Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

125977

Avg. 498 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

146219

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AZ Alkmaar

300

Played games

AFC Ajax

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

101

0.34

5.42

1626

Corners

1709

5.70

14.13

4240

Throw-ins

4370

14.57

1.64

492

Offsides

495

1.65

2.10

629

GK saves

765

2.55

AZ Alkmaar

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

476

440

1.47

0.05

0.08

9.84

2953

Fouls

2936

9.79

12.63

3788

Tackles

3597

11.99

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax on 14 January 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this KNVB Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AZ Alkmaar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

KNVB Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live KNVB Cup standings and the KNVB Cup form table to understand exactly where AZ Alkmaar and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our KNVB Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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