Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 05

Atletico Paranaense

W W D D L

17th place in Brazil Serie A

1-0

05/05/2024 15:00

Vasco da Gama

L L L D W

10th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama on May 05, 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama preview before placing for you.

Atletico Paranaense are currently 17th with 42 points after 38 matches.
Vasco da Gama sit 10th with 50 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Paranaense to win with probability 56%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Paranaense, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Vasco da Gama have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2024-05-05

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Paranaense

Vasco da Gama

2024-05-05 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Botafogo RJ	79	38	23	10	5	59	29	30
02 Palmeiras	73	38	22	7	9	60	33	27
03 Flamengo	70	38	20	10	8	61	42	19
04 Fortaleza	68	38	19	11	8	53	39	14
05 Internacional RS	65	38	18	11	9	53	36	17
06 Sao Paulo	59	38	17	8	13	53	43	10
07 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	56	38	15	11	12	54	45	9
08 Bahia	53	38	15	8	15	49	49	0
09 Cruzeiro	52	38	14	10	14	43	41	2
10 Vasco da Gama	50	38	14	8	16	43	56	-13
11 Vitoria BA	47	38	13	8	17	45	52	-7
12 Atletico Mineiro	47	38	11	14	13	47	54	-7
13 Fluminense RJ	46	38	12	10	16	33	39	-6
14 Gremio (RS)	45	38	12	9	17	44	50	-6
15 Juventude	45	38	11	12	15	48	59	-11
16 Bragantino	44	38	10	14	14	44	48	-4
17 Atletico Paranaense	42	38	11	9	18	40	46	-6
18 Criciuma	38	38	9	11	18	42	61	-19
19 Atletico Clube Goianiense	30	38	7	9	22	29	58	-29
20 Cuiaba	30	38	6	12	20	29	49	-20

Head To Head

25/11/2023 18:30

Atletico Paranaense

0 - 0

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

23/07/2023 17:30

Vasco da Gama

0 - 2

Atletico Paranaense

BRA D1

27/12/2020 17:15

Atletico Paranaense

3 - 0

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

06/09/2020 17:00

Vasco da Gama

1 - 0

Atletico Paranaense

BRA D1

22/09/2019 15:00

Vasco da Gama

1 - 1

Atletico Paranaense

BRA D1

28/04/2019 15:00

Atletico Paranaense

4 - 1

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

Atletico Paranaense

50%

Draw

33%

Vasco da Gama

17%

Atletico Paranaense Last 6 matches

24/04/2024 18:00

Danubio FC 0 - 1 Atletico Paranaense CON CSA

21/04/2024 15:00

Atletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Internacional RS BRA D1

17/04/2024 18:00

Gremio (RS) 2 - 0 Atletico Paranaense BRA D1

14/04/2024 15:00

Atletico Paranaense 4 - 0 Cuiaba BRA D1

09/04/2024 20:30

Atletico Paranaense 6 - 0 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano CON CSA

06/04/2024 16:00

Atletico Paranaense 3 - 0 Maringa FC Bra PL

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Vasco da Gama

27/04/2024 15:00

Vasco da Gama 0 - 4 Criciuma BRA D1

20/04/2024 15:00

Fluminense RJ 2 - 1 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

17/04/2024 18:00

Bragantino 2 - 1 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

14/04/2024 15:00

Vasco da Gama 2 - 1 Gremio (RS) BRA D1

17/03/2024 15:00

Nova Iguacu 1 - 0 Vasco da Gama BRA RJ

10/03/2024 17:30

Vasco da Gama 1 - 1 Nova Iguacu BRA RJ

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

235

Avg. per game

0.78

Conceded

156

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored

214

Avg. per game

0.71

Conceded

193

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

166 (55%)134 (45%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

141 (47%)159 (53%)

Atletico Paranaense

Recent matches

Vasco da Gama

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Paranaense

Vasco da Gama

Shots

Atletico Paranaense

Total shots

12.11 avg / game

Blocked

544 total

Avg. 3.14

Vasco da Gama

Total shots

11.01 avg / game

Blocked

537 total

Avg. 2.92

Atletico Paranaense Pass Vasco da Gama

Total passes

75076

Avg. 344 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

89736

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Paranaense

300

Played games

Vasco da Gama

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

104

Clean sheets

0.30

5.04

1511

Corners

1347

4.49

11.57

3472

Throw-ins

3079

10.26

1.01

303

Offsides

284

0.95

2.03

609

GK saves

697

2.32

Atletico Paranaense

DISCIPLINARY

Vasco da Gama

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.01

604

639

2.13

0.10

0.12

9.64

2892

Fouls

2899

9.66

9.07

2721

Tackles

3063

10.21

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama on 05 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Paranaense's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Vasco da Gama's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Atletico Paranaense and Vasco da Gama sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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