Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 September

Atletico Paranaense

L L L W L

No standing data

2-1

Pen. 4-5

11/09/2024 20:30

Vasco da Gama

W W W D W

No standing data

Brasil Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama on 11 September 2024 (kick-off: 20:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Paranaense to win with probability 51%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Paranaense, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Vasco da Gama have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:30

2024-09-11

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Paranaense

Vasco da Gama

2024-09-11 20:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/09/2024

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Atletico Paranaense and Vasco da Gama in the Brasil Cup football standings for the 2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

29/08/2024 19:00

Vasco da Gama

2 - 1

Atletico Paranaense

Copa do Brasil

26/08/2024 20:00

Vasco da Gama

2 - 1

Atletico Paranaense

BRA D1

05/05/2024 15:00

Atletico Paranaense

1 - 0

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

25/11/2023 18:30

Atletico Paranaense

0 - 0

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

23/07/2023 17:30

Vasco da Gama

0 - 2

Atletico Paranaense

BRA D1

27/12/2020 17:15

Atletico Paranaense

3 - 0

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

Atletico Paranaense

50%

Draw

17%

Vasco da Gama

33%

Atletico Paranaense Last 6 matches

01/09/2024 17:30

Atletico Paranaense 0 - 2 Palmeiras BRA D1

29/08/2024 19:00

Vasco da Gama 2 - 1 Atletico Paranaense Copa do Brasil

26/08/2024 20:00

Vasco da Gama 2 - 1 Atletico Paranaense BRA D1

22/08/2024 18:00

Belgrano 0 - 2 Atletico Paranaense CON CSA

18/08/2024 17:30

Atletico Paranaense 1 - 2 Juventude BRA D1

15/08/2024 18:00

Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1 Belgrano CON CSA

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Vasco da Gama

01/09/2024 17:30

Vitoria BA 0 - 1 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

29/08/2024 19:00

Vasco da Gama 2 - 1 Atletico Paranaense Copa do Brasil

26/08/2024 20:00

Vasco da Gama 2 - 1 Atletico Paranaense BRA D1

18/08/2024 15:00

Criciuma 2 - 2 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

10/08/2024 20:30

Vasco da Gama 2 - 0 Fluminense RJ BRA D1

06/08/2024 20:45

Vasco da Gama 1 - 0 Atletico Clube Goianiense Copa do Brasil

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brasil Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

234

Avg. per game

0.78

Conceded

158

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored

214

Avg. per game

0.71

Conceded

193

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

165 (55%)135 (45%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

141 (47%)159 (53%)

Atletico Paranaense

Recent matches

Vasco da Gama

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Paranaense

Vasco da Gama

Shots

Atletico Paranaense

Total shots

12.07 avg / game

Blocked

539 total

Avg. 3.13

Vasco da Gama

Total shots

11.01 avg / game

Blocked

537 total

Avg. 2.92

Atletico Paranaense Pass Vasco da Gama

Total passes

74649

Avg. 344 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

89736

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Paranaense

300

Played games

Vasco da Gama

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

103

Clean sheets

0.30

5.02

1507

Corners

1347

4.49

11.51

3452

Throw-ins

3079

10.26

1.01

302

Offsides

284

0.95

2.03

609

GK saves

697

2.32

Atletico Paranaense

DISCIPLINARY

Vasco da Gama

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.01

604

639

2.13

0.10

0.12

9.59

2876

Fouls

2899

9.66

9.06

2718

Tackles

3063

10.21

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama on 11 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brasil Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Paranaense's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Vasco da Gama's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brasil Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brasil Cup standings and the Brasil Cup form table to understand exactly where Atletico Paranaense and Vasco da Gama sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brasil Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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