Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 July

Atletico Paranaense

D D D D W

7th place in Brazil Serie A

2-0

16/07/2023 17:30

Bahia

L D W L L

16th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia on 16 July 2023 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Paranaense are currently 7th with 56 points after 38 matches.
Bahia sit 16th with 44 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Paranaense to win with probability 57%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Atletico Paranaense and Bahia have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2023-07-16

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Paranaense

Bahia

2023-07-16 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 16/07/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	70	38	20	10	8	64	33	31
02 Gremio (RS)	68	38	21	5	12	63	56	7
03 Atletico Mineiro	66	38	19	9	10	52	32	20
04 Flamengo	66	38	19	9	10	56	42	14
05 Botafogo RJ	64	38	18	10	10	58	37	21
06 Bragantino	62	38	17	11	10	49	35	14
07 Atletico Paranaense	56	38	14	14	10	51	43	8
08 Fluminense RJ	56	38	16	8	14	51	47	4
09 Internacional RS	55	38	15	10	13	46	45	1
10 Fortaleza	54	38	15	9	14	45	44	1
11 Sao Paulo	53	38	14	11	13	40	38	2
12 Cuiaba	51	38	14	9	15	40	39	1
13 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	50	38	12	14	12	47	48	-1
14 Cruzeiro	47	38	11	14	13	35	32	3
15 Vasco da Gama	45	38	12	9	17	41	51	-10
16 Bahia	44	38	12	8	18	50	53	-3
17 Santos	43	38	11	10	17	39	64	-25
18 Goias	38	38	9	11	18	36	53	-17
19 Coritiba PR	30	38	8	6	24	41	73	-32
20 America MG	24	38	5	9	24	42	81	-39

Head To Head

12/07/2022 19:30

Atletico Paranaense

2 - 1

Bahia

Copa do Brasil

22/06/2022 18:30

Bahia

1 - 2

Atletico Paranaense

Copa do Brasil

09/10/2021 18:00

Atletico Paranaense

0 - 2

Bahia

BRA D1

24/06/2021 20:30

Bahia

2 - 1

Atletico Paranaense

BRA D1

20/01/2021 17:00

Bahia

1 - 0

Atletico Paranaense

BRA D1

26/09/2020 18:00

Atletico Paranaense

1 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

Atletico Paranaense

50%

Draw

Bahia

50%

Atletico Paranaense Last 6 matches

12/07/2023 20:30

Atletico Paranaense 0 - 2 Flamengo Copa do Brasil

09/07/2023 17:30

Fortaleza 1 - 0 Atletico Paranaense BRA D1

05/07/2023 20:30

Flamengo 2 - 1 Atletico Paranaense Copa do Brasil

02/07/2023 15:00

Atletico Paranaense 2 - 2 Palmeiras BRA D1

27/06/2023 18:00

Atletico Paranaense 3 - 0 Alianza Lima CON CLA

24/06/2023 15:00

Atletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Corinthians Paulista (SP) BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Bahia

12/07/2023 19:00

Gremio (RS) 1 - 1 Bahia Copa do Brasil

08/07/2023 15:00

Cuiaba 1 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

04/07/2023 20:00

Bahia 1 - 1 Gremio (RS) Copa do Brasil

01/07/2023 17:30

Bahia 1 - 2 Gremio (RS) BRA D1

24/06/2023 17:30

Fluminense RJ 2 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

21/06/2023 20:30

Bahia 1 - 0 Palmeiras BRA D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

235

Avg. per game

0.78

Conceded

156

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored

227

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

166 (55%)134 (45%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

154 (51%)146 (49%)

Atletico Paranaense

Recent matches

Bahia

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Paranaense

Bahia

Shots

Atletico Paranaense

Total shots

12.11 avg / game

Blocked

544 total

Avg. 3.14

Bahia

Total shots

12.63 avg / game

Blocked

541 total

Avg. 3.30

Atletico Paranaense Pass Bahia

Total passes

75076

Avg. 344 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

82312

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Paranaense

300

Played games

Bahia

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

104

Clean sheets

102

0.34

5.04

1511

Corners

1537

5.12

11.57

3472

Throw-ins

2481

8.27

1.01

303

Offsides

280

0.93

2.03

609

GK saves

545

1.82

Atletico Paranaense

DISCIPLINARY

Bahia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.01

604

563

1.88

0.10

0.09

9.64

2892

Fouls

2444

8.15

9.07

2721

Tackles

2632

8.77

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia on 16 July 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Paranaense's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bahia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Atletico Paranaense and Bahia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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