Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Deportes Tolima: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 May

Atletico Nacional Medellin

DWWWL

1st place in Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura

3-1

Atletico Nacional Medellin
Win Probability 55%

23/05/2026 19:00

Deportes Tolima

WDLWL

6th place in Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura

Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Deportes Tolima on 23 May 2026 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Deportes Tolima preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Nacional Medellin will face Deportes Tolima in Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura on May 23, 2026 at 19:00.
Atletico Nacional Medellin are currently 1st with 40 points after 19 matches.
Deportes Tolima sit 6th with 31 points from 19 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.53.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2026-05-23

Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Deportes Tolima - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Deportes Tolima

2026-05-23 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 23/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Atletico Nacional Medellin	40	19	13	1	5	35	15	20
02 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	35	19	11	2	6	31	24	7
03 Deportivo Pasto	34	19	10	4	5	29	25	4
04 America de Cali	33	19	10	3	6	25	15	10
05 Deportiva Once Caldas	33	19	8	9	2	31	22	9
06 Deportes Tolima	31	19	8	7	4	27	17	10
07 Independiente Santa Fe	29	19	7	8	4	29	22	7
08 Internacional de Bogota	28	19	7	7	5	26	26	0
09 Deportivo Cali	27	19	7	6	6	20	16	4
10 Millonarios	26	19	7	5	7	31	23	8
11 Dep.Independiente Medellin	26	19	7	5	7	26	24	2
12 Aguilas Doradas	26	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5
13 Atletico Bucaramanga	23	19	5	8	6	26	20	6
14 Llaneros FC	22	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3
15 Fortaleza F.C	22	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5
16 Jaguares de Cordoba	18	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13
17 Alianza Petrolera	17	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14
18 Boyaca Chico	17	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17
19 Cucuta	16	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13
20 Deportivo Pereira	10	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17

Head To Head

16/05/2026 19:00

Deportes Tolima

0 - 1

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

01/03/2026 21:30

Deportes Tolima

1 - 0

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

02/08/2025 19:20

Deportes Tolima

0 - 0

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

19/03/2025 21:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin

4 - 3

Deportes Tolima

COL D1

22/12/2024 19:00

Atletico Nacional Medellin

2 - 0

Deportes Tolima

COL D1

18/12/2024 20:30

Deportes Tolima

1 - 1

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

Deportes Tolima

50%

Draw

33%

Atletico Nacional Medellin

17%

Atletico Nacional Medellin Last 6 matches

16/05/2026 19:00

Deportes Tolima 0 - 1 Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

12/05/2026 19:20

Atletico Nacional Medellin 7 - 1 Internacional de Bogota

COL D1

09/05/2026 17:00

Internacional de Bogota 1 - 2 Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

01/05/2026 19:00

Deportiva Once Caldas 1 - 0 Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

25/04/2026 16:55

Deportivo Pereira 1 - 0 Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

20/04/2026 21:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin 2 - 0 Atletico Bucaramanga

COL D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Deportes Tolima

19/05/2026 18:00

Coquimbo Unido 3 - 0 Deportes Tolima

CON CLA

16/05/2026 19:00

Deportes Tolima 0 - 1 Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

13/05/2026 19:00

Deportivo Pasto 0 - 2 Deportes Tolima

COL D1

09/05/2026 19:10

Deportes Tolima 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto

COL D1

06/05/2026 22:00

Deportes Tolima 3 - 0 Nacional Montevideo

CON CLA

03/05/2026 16:30

Deportes Tolima 1 - 1 Deportivo Cali

COL D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Co...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Deportes Tolima

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.21

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 29 matches

YesNo

19 (66%)10 (34%)

In last 29 matches

NoYes

16 (48%)17 (52%)

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Recent matches

Deportes Tolima

Under /Over

(76%)22 7(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)21 12(36%)

Under /Over

(31%)9 20(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)6 27(82%)

Under /Over

(45%)13 16(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(27%)9 24(73%)

/Yes

(45%)13 16(55%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)11 22(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Deportes Tolima

Shots

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Total shots

14.11 avg / game

Blocked

87 total

Avg. 3.48

Deportes Tolima

Total shots

10.58 avg / game

Blocked

63 total

Avg. 2.10

Atletico Nacional Medellin Pass Deportes Tolima

Total passes

9124

Avg. 351 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

11940

Avg. 385 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Atletico Nacional Medellin

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Atletico Nacional Medellin

OTHERS

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Played games

Deportes Tolima

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.45

4.14

120

Corners

130

3.94

13.66

396

Throw-ins

549

16.64

2.07

Offsides

1.30

1.86

GK saves

2.24

Atletico Nacional Medellin

DISCIPLINARY

Deportes Tolima

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.83

1.79

0.14

0.21

7.90

229

Fouls

302

9.15

6.72

195

Tackles

243

7.36

NEXT MATCHES

07/21

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

07/28

Tigres Zipaquira

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

08/02

Jaguares de Cordoba

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

08/05

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Atletico Junior Barranquilla

NEXT MATCHES

Atletico Junior Barranquilla

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL

How We Build the Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Deportes Tolima on 23 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Nacional Medellin's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Deportes Tolima's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura standings and the Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura form table to understand exactly where Atletico Nacional Medellin and Deportes Tolima sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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