Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 July

Atletico Mineiro

L D D L L

12th place in Brazil Serie A

2-0

21/07/2024 15:00

Vasco da Gama

L L L D W

10th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama on 21 July 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Mineiro are currently 12th with 47 points after 38 matches.
Vasco da Gama sit 10th with 50 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Mineiro to win with probability 51%.
Head-to-head history favors Vasco da Gama, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Atletico Mineiro have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2024-07-21

Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Mineiro

Vasco da Gama

2024-07-21 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/07/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Botafogo RJ	79	38	23	10	5	59	29	30
02 Palmeiras	73	38	22	7	9	60	33	27
03 Flamengo	70	38	20	10	8	61	42	19
04 Fortaleza	68	38	19	11	8	53	39	14
05 Internacional RS	65	38	18	11	9	53	36	17
06 Sao Paulo	59	38	17	8	13	53	43	10
07 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	56	38	15	11	12	54	45	9
08 Bahia	53	38	15	8	15	49	49	0
09 Cruzeiro	52	38	14	10	14	43	41	2
10 Vasco da Gama	50	38	14	8	16	43	56	-13
11 Vitoria BA	47	38	13	8	17	45	52	-7
12 Atletico Mineiro	47	38	11	14	13	47	54	-7
13 Fluminense RJ	46	38	12	10	16	33	39	-6
14 Gremio (RS)	45	38	12	9	17	44	50	-6
15 Juventude	45	38	11	12	15	48	59	-11
16 Bragantino	44	38	10	14	14	44	48	-4
17 Atletico Paranaense	42	38	11	9	18	40	46	-6
18 Criciuma	38	38	9	11	18	42	61	-19
19 Atletico Clube Goianiense	30	38	7	9	22	29	58	-29
20 Cuiaba	30	38	6	12	20	29	49	-20

Head To Head

20/08/2023 10:00

Vasco da Gama

1 - 0

Atletico Mineiro

BRA D1

15/04/2023 20:00

Atletico Mineiro

1 - 2

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

23/01/2021 20:00

Vasco da Gama

3 - 2

Atletico Mineiro

BRA D1

04/10/2020 19:30

Atletico Mineiro

4 - 1

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

02/10/2019 18:15

Atletico Mineiro

1 - 2

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

01/05/2019 20:30

Vasco da Gama

1 - 2

Atletico Mineiro

BRA D1

Atletico Mineiro

33%

Draw

Vasco da Gama

67%

Atletico Mineiro Last 6 matches

16/07/2024 18:00

Juventude 1 - 1 Atletico Mineiro BRA D1

11/07/2024 20:30

Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Sao Paulo BRA D1

07/07/2024 19:30

Botafogo RJ 3 - 0 Atletico Mineiro BRA D1

03/07/2024 20:30

Atletico Mineiro 2 - 4 Flamengo BRA D1

30/06/2024 10:00

Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Atletico Clube Goianiense BRA D1

26/06/2024 20:30

Internacional RS 1 - 2 Atletico Mineiro BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Vasco da Gama

17/07/2024 18:00

Atletico Clube Goianiense 0 - 1 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

10/07/2024 18:00

Vasco da Gama 2 - 0 Corinthians Paulista (SP) BRA D1

07/07/2024 17:00

Internacional RS 1 - 2 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

03/07/2024 19:00

Vasco da Gama 2 - 0 Fortaleza BRA D1

29/06/2024 17:30

Vasco da Gama 1 - 1 Botafogo RJ BRA D1

26/06/2024 20:30

Bahia 2 - 1 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

226

Avg. per game

0.75

Conceded

167

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored

214

Avg. per game

0.71

Conceded

193

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

161 (54%)139 (46%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

141 (47%)159 (53%)

Atletico Mineiro

Recent matches

Vasco da Gama

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Mineiro

Vasco da Gama

Shots

Atletico Mineiro

Total shots

12.83 avg / game

Blocked

710 total

Avg. 3.55

Vasco da Gama

Total shots

11.01 avg / game

Blocked

537 total

Avg. 2.92

Atletico Mineiro Pass Vasco da Gama

Total passes

114842

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

89736

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Mineiro

300

Played games

Vasco da Gama

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

108

Clean sheets

0.30

5.02

1507

Corners

1347

4.49

13.29

3986

Throw-ins

3079

10.26

1.40

419

Offsides

284

0.95

2.15

645

GK saves

697

2.32

Atletico Mineiro

DISCIPLINARY

Vasco da Gama

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.21

663

639

2.13

0.11

0.12

10.99

3296

Fouls

2899

9.66

11.92

3576

Tackles

3063

10.21

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama on 21 July 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Mineiro's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Vasco da Gama's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Atletico Mineiro and Vasco da Gama sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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