Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – January 28

Atletico Mineiro

D W L W D

10th place in Brazil Serie A

2-2

28/01/2026 15:00

Palmeiras

D W W W L

1st place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras on January 28, 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras preview before placing for you.

Atletico Mineiro are currently 10th with 28 points after 20 matches.
Palmeiras sit 1st with 47 points from 21 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Palmeiras to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Palmeiras, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Atletico Mineiro have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-01-28

Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Mineiro

Palmeiras

2026-01-28 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	47	21	14	5	2	38	16	22
02 Flamengo	39	20	11	6	3	37	18	19
03 Atletico Paranaense	37	21	11	4	6	28	19	9
04 Fluminense RJ	34	21	9	7	5	30	25	5
05 Bahia	32	21	8	8	5	29	25	4
06 Bragantino	31	20	9	4	7	26	20	6
07 Cruzeiro	30	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3
08 Botafogo RJ	29	20	8	5	7	34	32	2
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	29	21	7	8	6	22	20	2
10 Atletico Mineiro	28	20	8	4	8	25	25	0
11 Coritiba PR	27	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3
12 Sao Paulo	26	20	7	5	8	25	23	2
13 Vitoria BA	26	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9
14 Mirassol	23	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4
15 Santos	22	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4
16 Internacional RS	22	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4
17 Gremio (RS)	22	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4
18 Vasco da Gama	21	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8
19 Remo Belem (PA)	21	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10
20 Chapecoense SC	10	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22

Head To Head

03/12/2025 17:30

Atletico Mineiro

0 - 3

Palmeiras

BRA D1

20/07/2025 13:30

Palmeiras

3 - 2

Atletico Mineiro

BRA D1

28/09/2024 14:30

Palmeiras

2 - 1

Atletico Mineiro

BRA D1

17/06/2024 16:30

Atletico Mineiro

0 - 4

Palmeiras

BRA D1

19/10/2023 15:00

Palmeiras

0 - 2

Atletico Mineiro

BRA D1

09/08/2023 17:30

Palmeiras

0 - 0

Atletico Mineiro

CON CLA

Atletico Mineiro

17%

Draw

17%

Palmeiras

67%

Atletico Mineiro Last 6 matches

25/01/2026 14:00

Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Cruzeiro BRA MG

21/01/2026 17:30

America MG 1 - 1 Atletico Mineiro BRA MG

18/01/2026 14:00

Atletico Mineiro 0 - 0 Tombense BRA MG

14/01/2026 15:30

North Esporte Clube 1 - 1 Atletico Mineiro BRA MG

11/01/2026 14:00

Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Betim FC BRA MG

07/12/2025 12:00

Atletico Mineiro 5 - 0 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Last 6 matches Palmeiras

24/01/2026 14:30

Palmeiras 3 - 1 Sao Paulo BRA SP

20/01/2026 16:00

Gremio Novorizontino 4 - 0 Palmeiras BRA SP

17/01/2026 16:30

Palmeiras 1 - 0 Mirassol BRA SP

14/01/2026 15:30

Palmeiras 1 - 0 Santos BRA SP

10/01/2026 16:30

Portuguesa Desportos 0 - 1 Palmeiras BRA SP

07/12/2025 12:00

Ceara 1 - 3 Palmeiras BRA D1

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

227

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

166

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored

284

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

126

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

162 (54%)138 (46%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

185 (62%)115 (38%)

Atletico Mineiro

Recent matches

Palmeiras

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Mineiro

Palmeiras

Shots

Atletico Mineiro

Total shots

12.85 avg / game

Blocked

710 total

Avg. 3.55

Palmeiras

Total shots

14.41 avg / game

Blocked

815 total

Avg. 3.76

Atletico Mineiro Pass Palmeiras

Total passes

115017

Avg. 439 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

104778

Avg. 377 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Mineiro

300

Played games

Palmeiras

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

109

Clean sheets

134

0.45

5.03

1508

Corners

1728

5.76

13.36

4007

Throw-ins

4039

13.46

1.39

417

Offsides

549

1.83

2.15

646

GK saves

751

2.50

Atletico Mineiro

DISCIPLINARY

Palmeiras

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.21

663

518

1.73

0.11

0.07

11.00

3299

Fouls

3575

11.92

11.89

3567

Tackles

3671

12.24

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras on 28 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Mineiro's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Palmeiras's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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